PolyScope
ScreenerCategoriesEventsLarge TradesWallets🐋 Top Whales⚡ Early MoversSignalsSmart MoneyPortfolioWatchlist🔔 Alerts

Noche UFC: Tommy McMillen vs. Marwan Rahiki (Featherweight, Main Card)

Sports→Settlement: Tommy McMillenLiquidity: $273.9KOfficial 24h Vol: $371.5KEvent: Noche UFC: Tommy McMillen vs. Marwan Rahiki (Featherweight, Main Card)
100.0¢
Tommy McMillen payout
0.0¢
Marwan Rahiki payout
Historical analytics · no executable quote
24h sample:236 trades$115.2K tracked1% 🐋source coverage 31%BUY/SELL known 100%
tape 45 min agoofficial metadata 23 min ago
Profitable-wallet flow · 7d:Tommy McMillen · $43.0K net·19 wallets(2🐋)·$56.0K gross
Largest observed trade · 30d:BUYTommy McMillen$17.4K@ 61¢·0x2c33…0563

Historical decision record

Market resolved · outcome Tommy McMillen. Flow, alerts and prices below are retained evidence, not an executable setup.

RESOLVED

Resolution & market truth

Verify what settles the market before reading flow as a thesis

Resolution
RESOLVED
Trading
Orders paused
Deadline
2026-09-13 03:59 UTC
Event constraint
Not verified
Resolution source: https://www.ufc.com/events
Outcome meaning

•This market will resolve to "Tommy McMillen" if Tommy McMillen is officially declared the winner of the fight against Marwan Rahiki at Noche UFC: Silva vs. Delgado, scheduled for September 12, 2026.

•It will resolve to "Marwan Rahiki" if Marwan Rahiki is officially declared the winner.

Read full resolution rules

This market will resolve to "Tommy McMillen" if Tommy McMillen is officially declared the winner of the fight against Marwan Rahiki at Noche UFC: Silva vs. Delgado, scheduled for September 12, 2026. It will resolve to "Marwan Rahiki" if Marwan Rahiki is officially declared the winner. If the fight is declared a draw or technical draw, ruled a No Contest, not scored, canceled, or postponed beyond September 26, 2026, this market will resolve "50-50." The resolution source for this market will be official information from the UFC.

Event-level hedge context · observed 7d flow
dips.2 linked markets · $2.6K gross
0x7d93…fdef2 linked markets · $1.4K gross
0xe911…3d4e2 linked markets · $989 gross

Multi-market activity can be a hedge; do not read one leg as the wallet’s full thesis.

Evidence receipts

Timestamped alerts and their measured outcomes; losses and unavailable checks remain visible

ANTI CHASEBUY Tommy McMillen1h ago
Outcome checks pending
LARGE FLOWBUY Tommy McMillen@ 95.0¢1h ago
15m UNAVAILABLE
MARKET SWEEPBUY Tommy McMillen@ 86.0¢1h ago
15m UNAVAILABLE
ANTI CHASEBUY Tommy McMillen1h ago
Outcome checks pending
Latest book event: Tommy McMillen DOWN 3.5pp · near-book depth $5.2K → $25 · 1s

Outcome Price History

Execution status
Market resolved · the orderbook is not executable.

Signals Trend

Market Analytics

LifecycleCanonical market state overrides the analytics stage after resolution. discovery/climax/resolving describe open-market analytics only; resolved/void are terminal states.resolved

Signed Order Flow

Directional flow: positive values favor Tommy McMillen; negative values favor Marwan Rahiki. Only trades with known BUY/SELL action are included.
1hTommy McMillen · $47.3K
6hTommy McMillen · $46.0K
24hTommy McMillen · $46.4K

Tommy McMillen price VWAP

Volume-weighted Tommy McMillen price. Marwan Rahiki fills are converted to the complementary Tommy McMillen probability before aggregation. Distance from VWAP is displacement, not an overbought/oversold signal.
Current100.0¢
VWAP 24h76.1¢▲ above by 23.9pp
VWAP 7d75.0¢
Largest observed holdersActual token balances from Polymarket's holders endpoint. Coverage is limited to the top 20 holders per outcome; percentages are within the reported sample, not total supply.

Largest holders

Loading…

Tommy McMillen price Volume Profile · tracked 30d

95¢
← now
$34.4K
90¢
$3.3K
85¢
$433
80¢
$0
75¢
$5.3K
70¢
$8.0K
65¢
$26.0K
60¢
$40.0K
55¢
$6.2K
50¢
$0
45¢
$0
40¢
$0
35¢
$0
30¢
$0
25¢
$0
20¢
$0
15¢
$0
10¢
$0
5¢
$0
0¢
$0

VPOC = 60¢ · highlighted bar = current price · blue bar = VPOC

Observed net position building

Loading…
Historical observed tape · BUY/SELL shown outcome · retained 30dupdated less than a minute ago
Loading trades…
🐋 Large Trades$10,000+ · retained 30dBUY/SELL shown outcomeΔ now
BUYTommy McMillen$16.1K@ 66.9¢
fkcvffcjt0x67ac…edf1
🐋—about 1 hour ago
BUYTommy McMillen$17.4K@ 61.0¢0x2c33…0563🐋—about 1 hour ago

Related Markets · same event first, then category

Will Crystal Palace win the 2026-27 English Premier League (EPL) Championship?
0.1¢$680.8Kpriority0Opportunity priority — ranking score, not predicted return or edge
Guadalajara Open Akron, Qualification: Varvara Lepchenko vs Nicole Melichar
50.5¢$574.5Kpriority0Opportunity priority — ranking score, not predicted return or edge
Will Shakhtar Donetsk win the 2026-27 UEFA Champions League Championship?
0.1¢$428.1Kpriority0Opportunity priority — ranking score, not predicted return or edge
Barranquilla: Claire Liu vs Anna Blinkova
100.0¢$422.0Kpriority0Opportunity priority — ranking score, not predicted return or edge
Houston Astros vs. Tampa Bay Rays
16.0¢$370.3Kpriority38Opportunity priority — ranking score, not predicted return or edge
Will Boston Celtics win the 2027 NBA Finals?
4.5¢$344.6Kpriority0Opportunity priority — ranking score, not predicted return or edge
Will Coventry City win the 2026-27 English Premier League (EPL) Championship?
0.1¢$307.6Kpriority0Opportunity priority — ranking score, not predicted return or edge
Will Nottingham Forest win the 2026-27 English Premier League (EPL) Championship?
0.1¢$305.8Kpriority0Opportunity priority — ranking score, not predicted return or edge

Observed whale buys · 7d

Aggregated BUY fills of $10K+ per wallet and outcome

fkcvffcjtTommy McMillen$19.8K
BUY VWAP 71.2¢·3 fills
0x2c33…0563Tommy McMillen$18.1K
BUY VWAP 61.2¢·2 fills

Observed BUY activity; current holdings and position change may be unconfirmed.