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Noche UFC: Curtis Blaydes vs. Waldo Cortes Acosta (Heavyweight, Main Card)

Sports→Settlement: Curtis BlaydesLiquidity: $246.7KOfficial 24h Vol: $534.5KEvent: Noche UFC: Curtis Blaydes vs. Waldo Cortes Acosta (Heavyweight, Main Card)
100.0¢
Curtis Blaydes payout
0.0¢
Waldo Cortes Acosta payout
Historical analytics · no executable quote
24h sample:106 trades$192.1K tracked3% 🐋source coverage 36%BUY/SELL known 100%
tape 46 min agoofficial metadata 28 min ago
Profitable-wallet flow · 7d:Curtis Blaydes · $24.5K net·10 wallets·$35.9K gross
Largest observed trade · 30d:BUYCurtis Blaydes$65.1K@ 38¢·Talvez10

Historical decision record

Market resolved · outcome Curtis Blaydes. Flow, alerts and prices below are retained evidence, not an executable setup.

RESOLVED

Resolution & market truth

Verify what settles the market before reading flow as a thesis

Resolution
RESOLVED
Trading
Orders paused
Deadline
2026-09-13 03:59 UTC
Event constraint
Not verified
Resolution source: https://www.ufc.com/events
Outcome meaning

•This market will resolve to "Curtis Blaydes" if Curtis Blaydes is officially declared the winner of the fight against Waldo Cortes Acosta at Noche UFC: Silva vs. Delgado, scheduled for September 12, 2026.

•It will resolve to "Waldo Cortes Acosta" if Waldo Cortes Acosta is officially declared the winner.

Read full resolution rules

This market will resolve to "Curtis Blaydes" if Curtis Blaydes is officially declared the winner of the fight against Waldo Cortes Acosta at Noche UFC: Silva vs. Delgado, scheduled for September 12, 2026. It will resolve to "Waldo Cortes Acosta" if Waldo Cortes Acosta is officially declared the winner. If the fight is declared a draw or technical draw, ruled a No Contest, not scored, canceled, or postponed beyond September 26, 2026, this market will resolve "50-50." The resolution source for this market will be official information from the UFC.

Evidence receipts

Timestamped alerts and their measured outcomes; losses and unavailable checks remain visible

LARGE FLOWBUY Waldo Cortes Acosta@ 36.0¢1h ago
15m UNAVAILABLE
ANTI CHASEBUY Curtis Blaydes1h ago
Outcome checks pending
POSITION CHANGEBUY Waldo Cortes Acosta@ 48.0¢1h ago
15m UNAVAILABLE1h UNAVAILABLE
LARGE FLOWBUY Curtis Blaydes@ 39.0¢1h ago
15m CONFIRMED +39.0pp1h UNAVAILABLE
Latest book event: Waldo Cortes Acosta DOWN 4.5pp · near-book depth $8 → $4 · 2s

Outcome Price History

Execution status
Market resolved · the orderbook is not executable.

Signals Trend

Market Analytics

LifecycleCanonical market state overrides the analytics stage after resolution. discovery/climax/resolving describe open-market analytics only; resolved/void are terminal states.resolved

Signed Order Flow

Directional flow: positive values favor Curtis Blaydes; negative values favor Waldo Cortes Acosta. Only trades with known BUY/SELL action are included.
1hCurtis Blaydes · $78.4K
6hCurtis Blaydes · $82.5K
24hCurtis Blaydes · $80.1K

Curtis Blaydes price VWAP

Volume-weighted Curtis Blaydes price. Waldo Cortes Acosta fills are converted to the complementary Curtis Blaydes probability before aggregation. Distance from VWAP is displacement, not an overbought/oversold signal.
Current100.0¢
VWAP 24h59.2¢▲ above by 40.8pp
VWAP 7d59.1¢
Largest observed holdersActual token balances from Polymarket's holders endpoint. Coverage is limited to the top 20 holders per outcome; percentages are within the reported sample, not total supply.

Largest holders

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Curtis Blaydes price Volume Profile · tracked 30d

95¢
← now
$45.3K
90¢
$1.1K
85¢
$15.6K
80¢
$3.3K
75¢
$1.6K
70¢
$157
65¢
$514
60¢
$5.9K
55¢
$1.3K
50¢
$11.9K
45¢
$392
40¢
$0
35¢
$106.3K
30¢
$0
25¢
$0
20¢
$0
15¢
$0
10¢
$0
5¢
$0
0¢
$0

VPOC = 35¢ · highlighted bar = current price · blue bar = VPOC

Observed net position building

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Historical observed tape · BUY/SELL shown outcome · retained 30dupdated less than a minute ago
Loading trades…
🐋 Large Trades$10,000+ · retained 30dBUY/SELL shown outcomeΔ now
BUYCurtis Blaydes$27.2K@ 95.9¢
KARTEROR0x6373…a0b7
🐋—about 1 hour ago
BUYCurtis Blaydes$65.1K@ 38.0¢
Talvez100xa710…23c4
🐋—about 1 hour ago
BUYWaldo Cortes Acosta$29.9K@ 62.0¢
Sassy-Bucket0x4bff…fc26
🐋—about 1 hour ago

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Observed whale buys · 7d

Aggregated BUY fills of $10K+ per wallet and outcome

Talvez10Curtis Blaydes$65.1K
BUY VWAP 38.0¢·1 fill
Sassy-BucketWaldo Cortes Acosta$29.9K
BUY VWAP 62.0¢·1 fill
KARTERORCurtis Blaydes$27.2K
BUY VWAP 95.9¢·1 fill
ferrariChampions2026Curtis Blaydes$19.8K
BUY VWAP 65.8¢·4 fills

Observed BUY activity; current holdings and position change may be unconfirmed.