PolyScope
ScreenerCategoriesEventsLarge TradesWallets🐋 Top Whales⚡ Early MoversSignalsSmart MoneyPortfolioWatchlist🔔 Alerts

O/U 2.5 Rounds

● quote 42s ago
Sports→Closes: about 19 hoursLiquidity: $77.9KOfficial 24h Vol: $60.1KEvent: Noche UFC: Dan Ige vs. David Martinez (Bantamweight, Main Card)
65.5¢
Over
34.5¢
Under
1.0¢
Spread
anomaly0Activity anomaly — current observed activity versus the market baselinedirection0Direction — strength and consistency of signed flow between the two outcomeswallets0Wallet quality — contribution from verified profitable non-bot walletsexecution89Execution — spread, depth and quote quality; not expected valuepriority0Opportunity priority — ranking score, not predicted return or edgedata 66%💡 1 smartMeasured profitable wallets: positive real PnL, 20+ trades, non-bot
24h sample:3 trades$37.5K tracked33% 🐋source coverage 62%BUY/SELL known 100%
tape 340 min agoofficial metadata 2 min ago
Largest observed trade · 30d:BUYOver$37.5K@ 65¢·0x3dfb…abaf

Decision read

Evidence and execution checklist — not a trade recommendation

WAIT — EVIDENCE TOO THIN
What the tape says

No material 1h direction in the tracked BUY/SELL sample.

1h
$0
6h
+$13
tracked
$37.5K

1 verified profitable wallet: Over · $1.1K net over 7d.

Can it be executed?
1.0¢displayed spread

Tight displayed spread; depth and partial-fill risk still matter.

Data confidence 66% · priority 0

Since latest large flow: +0.0pp at executable prices.

Priority ranks review urgency; it is not probability or expected value.

Risks / missing evidence
  • •Observed tape is 340 minutes old.
  • •Less than 19h remains; resolution risk is elevated.

Stronger read requires meaningful signed flow plus confirmation across distinct observed wallets.

Resolution & market truth

Verify what settles the market before reading flow as a thesis

Resolution
OPEN
Trading
Orders accepted
Deadline
2026-09-13 03:59 UTC
Event constraint
Not verified
Resolution source: https://www.ufc.com/events
Outcome meaning

•Each market will resolve to "Over" if the fight between Dan Ige and David Martinez at Noche UFC: Silva vs. Delgado, scheduled for September 12, 2026, lasts beyond the listed round threshold.

•Each market will resolve to "Under" if the fight does not last beyond the listed round threshold.

Read full resolution rules

Each market will resolve to "Over" if the fight between Dan Ige and David Martinez at Noche UFC: Silva vs. Delgado, scheduled for September 12, 2026, lasts beyond the listed round threshold. Each market will resolve to "Under" if the fight does not last beyond the listed round threshold. For example: "Over 2.5 Rounds" will resolve "Yes" if the fight continues past the 2:30 mark of Round 3. "Under 2.5 Rounds" will resolve "Yes" if the fight ends before the 2:30 mark of Round 3. If the fight ends exactly at the threshold, it will resolve "50-50." If the bout is not scored, postponed beyond September 26, 2026, or canceled, all options will resolve "50-50." The resolution source for this market will be official information from the UFC.

Evidence receipts

Timestamped alerts and their measured outcomes; losses and unavailable checks remain visible

LARGE FLOWBUY Over@ 66.0¢6h ago
15m STALLED -1.0pp1h STALLED -1.0pp

Outcome Price History

Executable orderbook · both outcomes
Loading executable orderbook…

Market Analytics

LifecycleCanonical market state overrides the analytics stage after resolution. discovery/climax/resolving describe open-market analytics only; resolved/void are terminal states.resolving

Signed Order Flow

Directional flow: positive values favor Over; negative values favor Under. Only trades with known BUY/SELL action are included.
1hOver · $0
6hOver · $13
24hOver · $37.5K

Over price VWAP

Volume-weighted Over price. Under fills are converted to the complementary Over probability before aggregation. Distance from VWAP is displacement, not an overbought/oversold signal.
Current65.5¢
VWAP 24h65.0¢▲ above by 0.5pp
VWAP 7d65.0¢
Largest observed holdersActual token balances from Polymarket's holders endpoint. Coverage is limited to the top 20 holders per outcome; percentages are within the reported sample, not total supply.

Largest holders

Loading…

Over price Volume Profile · tracked 30d

95¢
$0
90¢
$0
85¢
$0
80¢
$0
75¢
$0
70¢
$0
65¢
← now
$38.7K
60¢
$0
55¢
$0
50¢
$0
45¢
$0
40¢
$0
35¢
$0
30¢
$0
25¢
$0
20¢
$0
15¢
$0
10¢
$0
5¢
$0
0¢
$0

VPOC = 65¢ · highlighted bar = current price · blue bar = VPOC

Observed net position building

Loading…
Observed Tape · BUY/SELL shown outcome · retained 30dupdated less than a minute ago
Loading trades…
🐋 Large Trades$10,000+ · retained 30dBUY/SELL shown outcomeΔ now
BUYOver$37.5K@ 65.0¢0x3dfb…abaf🐋—about 11 hours ago

Related Markets · same event first, then category

LoL: Hanwha Life Esports vs T1 - Game 3 Winner
0.1¢$2.8Mpriority0Opportunity priority — ranking score, not predicted return or edge
LoL: Hanwha Life Esports vs T1 (BO5) - LCK Playoffs
100.0¢$1.9Mpriority0Opportunity priority — ranking score, not predicted return or edge
LoL: Hanwha Life Esports vs T1 - Game 2 Winner
100.0¢$1.8Mpriority0Opportunity priority — ranking score, not predicted return or edge
Counter-Strike: Legacy vs MIBR (BO3) - FISSURE PLAYGROUND Playoffs
36.8¢$1.5Mpriority49Opportunity priority — ranking score, not predicted return or edge
LoL: Hanwha Life Esports vs T1 - Game 4 Winner
100.0¢$1.3Mpriority0Opportunity priority — ranking score, not predicted return or edge
Will Crystal Palace win the 2026-27 English Premier League (EPL) Championship?
0.1¢$680.8Kpriority0Opportunity priority — ranking score, not predicted return or edge
Counter-Strike: BetBoom Team vs G2 (BO3) - FISSURE PLAYGROUND Playoffs
35.5¢$485.4Kpriority0Opportunity priority — ranking score, not predicted return or edge
Will Shakhtar Donetsk win the 2026-27 UEFA Champions League Championship?
0.1¢$423.6Kpriority0Opportunity priority — ranking score, not predicted return or edge

Observed whale buys · 7d

Aggregated BUY fills of $10K+ per wallet and outcome

0x3dfb…abafOver$37.5K
BUY VWAP 65.0¢·1 fill

Observed BUY activity; current holdings and position change may be unconfirmed.