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Plovdiv 3: Marko Topo vs Valerio Aboian

Sports→Settlement: Valerio AboianLiquidity: $43.8KOfficial 24h Vol: $115.4KEvent: Plovdiv 3: Marko Topo vs Valerio Aboian
0.0¢
Marko Topo payout
100.0¢
Valerio Aboian payout
Historical analytics · no executable quote
Largest observed trade · 30d:BUYValerio Aboian$22.2K@ 97¢·tenniz

Historical decision record

Market resolved · outcome Valerio Aboian. Flow, alerts and prices below are retained evidence, not an executable setup.

RESOLVED

Resolution & market truth

Verify what settles the market before reading flow as a thesis

Resolution
RESOLVED
Trading
Orders paused
Deadline
2026-09-07 08:00 UTC
Event constraint
Not verified
Resolution source: https://www.atptour.com/en/scores/current
Read full resolution rules

This market refers to the tennis match between Marko Topo and Valerio Aboian in the Plovdiv 3, originally scheduled for August 31, 2026 at 4:00AM ET. This market will resolve to 'Marko Topo' if Marko Topo advances against Valerio Aboian. This market will resolve to 'Valerio Aboian' if Valerio Aboian advances against Marko Topo. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or a winner has not been determined by September 14, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the ATP Tour. A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

Evidence receipts

Timestamped alerts and their measured outcomes; losses and unavailable checks remain visible

No decision-grade alert has been emitted for this market yet.
Execution status
Market resolved · the orderbook is not executable.

Market Analytics

LifecycleCanonical market state overrides the analytics stage after resolution. discovery/climax/resolving describe open-market analytics only; resolved/void are terminal states.resolved

Signed Order Flow

Directional flow: positive values favor Marko Topo; negative values favor Valerio Aboian. Only trades with known BUY/SELL action are included.
1hValerio Aboian · $24.3K
6hValerio Aboian · $24.3K
24hValerio Aboian · $24.3K

Marko Topo price VWAP

Volume-weighted Marko Topo price. Valerio Aboian fills are converted to the complementary Marko Topo probability before aggregation. Distance from VWAP is displacement, not an overbought/oversold signal.
Current0.0¢
VWAP 24h2.7¢▼ below by 2.7pp
VWAP 7d2.7¢
Largest observed holdersActual token balances from Polymarket's holders endpoint. Coverage is limited to the top 20 holders per outcome; percentages are within the reported sample, not total supply.

Largest holders

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Marko Topo price Volume Profile · tracked 30d

95¢
$0
90¢
$0
85¢
$0
80¢
$0
75¢
$0
70¢
$0
65¢
$0
60¢
$0
55¢
$0
50¢
$0
45¢
$0
40¢
$0
35¢
$0
30¢
$2.4K
25¢
$0
20¢
$1.5K
15¢
$0
10¢
$0
5¢
$0
0¢
← now
$78.6K

VPOC = 0¢ · highlighted bar = current price · blue bar = VPOC

Observed net position building

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Historical observed tape · BUY/SELL shown outcome · retained 30dupdated less than a minute ago
Loading trades…
🐋 Large Trades$10,000+ · retained 30dBUY/SELL shown outcomeΔ now
SELLValerio Aboian$19.2K@ 99.9¢
tenniz0xeae1…a67b
🐋—9 days ago
BUYValerio Aboian$10.8K@ 99.0¢0x5fd2…afce🐋—9 days ago
BUYValerio Aboian$16.4K@ 98.0¢0x076d…8d4c🐋—9 days ago
BUYValerio Aboian$22.2K@ 97.2¢
tenniz0xeae1…a67b
🐋—9 days ago

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Observed whale buys · 7d

Aggregated BUY fills of $10K+ per wallet and outcome

No observed $10K+ whale buys

Observed BUY activity; current holdings and position change may be unconfirmed.