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Plovdiv 3: Amit Vales vs Vardan Manukyan

Sports→Settlement: Amit ValesLiquidity: $101.8KOfficial 24h Vol: $87.3KEvent: Plovdiv 3: Amit Vales vs Vardan Manukyan
100.0¢
Amit Vales payout
0.0¢
Vardan Manukyan payout
Historical analytics · no executable quote
Largest observed trade · 30d:SELLAmit Vales$20.9K@ 81¢·0x5f65…2036

Historical decision record

Market resolved · outcome Amit Vales. Flow, alerts and prices below are retained evidence, not an executable setup.

RESOLVED

Resolution & market truth

Verify what settles the market before reading flow as a thesis

Resolution
RESOLVED
Trading
Orders paused
Deadline
2026-09-06 07:30 UTC
Event constraint
Not verified
Resolution source: https://www.atptour.com/en/scores/current
Read full resolution rules

This market refers to the tennis match between Amit Vales and Vardan Manukyan in the Plovdiv 3, Bulgaria, Qualifying, originally scheduled for August 30, 2026 at 3:30AM ET. This market will resolve to 'Amit Vales' if Amit Vales advances against Vardan Manukyan. This market will resolve to 'Vardan Manukyan' if Vardan Manukyan advances against Amit Vales. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or a winner has not been determined by September 13, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the ATP Tour. A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

Evidence receipts

Timestamped alerts and their measured outcomes; losses and unavailable checks remain visible

No decision-grade alert has been emitted for this market yet.

Outcome Price History

Execution status
Market resolved · the orderbook is not executable.

Market Analytics

LifecycleCanonical market state overrides the analytics stage after resolution. discovery/climax/resolving describe open-market analytics only; resolved/void are terminal states.resolved

Signed Order Flow

Directional flow: positive values favor Amit Vales; negative values favor Vardan Manukyan. Only trades with known BUY/SELL action are included.
1hVardan Manukyan · $20.7K
6hVardan Manukyan · $6.8K
24hVardan Manukyan · $6.8K

Amit Vales price VWAP

Volume-weighted Amit Vales price. Vardan Manukyan fills are converted to the complementary Amit Vales probability before aggregation. Distance from VWAP is displacement, not an overbought/oversold signal.
Current100.0¢
VWAP 24h70.5¢▲ above by 29.5pp
VWAP 7d70.5¢
Largest observed holdersActual token balances from Polymarket's holders endpoint. Coverage is limited to the top 20 holders per outcome; percentages are within the reported sample, not total supply.

Largest holders

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Amit Vales price Volume Profile · tracked 30d

95¢
← now
$0
90¢
$0
85¢
$158
80¢
$20.9K
75¢
$0
70¢
$0
65¢
$0
60¢
$3
55¢
$5
50¢
$14.0K
45¢
$0
40¢
$0
35¢
$0
30¢
$0
25¢
$0
20¢
$0
15¢
$0
10¢
$0
5¢
$0
0¢
$0

VPOC = 80¢ · highlighted bar = current price · blue bar = VPOC

Observed net position building

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Historical observed tape · BUY/SELL shown outcome · retained 30dupdated less than a minute ago
Loading trades…
🐋 Large Trades$10,000+ · retained 30dBUY/SELL shown outcomeΔ now
SELLAmit Vales$20.9K@ 81.2¢0x5f65…2036🐋—5 days ago
BUYAmit Vales$14.0K@ 54.4¢0x5f65…2036🐋—5 days ago

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Observed whale buys · 7d

Aggregated BUY fills of $10K+ per wallet and outcome

0x5f65…2036Amit Vales$14.0K
BUY VWAP 54.4¢·1 fill

Observed BUY activity; current holdings and position change may be unconfirmed.