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Will Liverpool FC win on 2026-09-12?

Sports→Closes: about 8 hoursLiquidity: $1.7MOfficial 24h Vol: $2.1MEvent: Liverpool FC vs. Fulham FC
0.1¢
YES
99.9¢
NO
Historical analytics · no executable quote
24h sample:507 trades$956.3K tracked2% 🐋source coverage 47%BUY/SELL known 100%
tape 364 min agoofficial metadata 351 min ago
Profitable-wallet flow · 7d:NO · $106.9K net·20 wallets(2🐋)·$214.7K gross
Largest observed trade · 30d:BUYYES$304.0K@ 65¢·00gringo00

Decision read paused

Market status is CLOSED. No executable setup is shown until trading is open again.

CLOSED

Resolution & market truth

Verify what settles the market before reading flow as a thesis

Resolution
CLOSED
Trading
Orders paused
Deadline
2026-09-12 14:00 UTC
Event constraint
Mutually exclusive
Resolution source: https://www.premierleague.com/
Outcome meaning

•If Liverpool FC wins, this market will resolve to "Yes".

•Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".

Read full resolution rules

In the upcoming game, scheduled for September 12, 2026 If Liverpool FC wins, this market will resolve to "Yes". Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed. If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this market will resolve "No". This market refers only to the outcome within the first 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time. The primary resolution source for this market is the official statistics of the event as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. However, if the governing body or event organizers have not published final match statistics within 2 hours after the event's conclusion, data from Flashscore may be used; if Flashscore data is unavailable, data from Sofascore may be used; if neither is available, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead. All markets will settle based on the official final result as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. Revisions to officially declared final scores made after market resolution will not be accounted for in determining the outcome.

Recent definition/status changes
RESOLUTION STATUS CHANGED · 6h ago
TRADING STATUS CHANGED · 6h ago
Event-level hedge context · observed 7d flow
UpTheBlues3 linked markets · $61.4K gross
Flaznorp3 linked markets · $43.7K gross
Obey21622 linked markets · $31.1K gross

Multi-market activity can be a hedge; do not read one leg as the wallet’s full thesis.

Evidence receipts

Timestamped alerts and their measured outcomes; losses and unavailable checks remain visible

WHALE FOLLOW THROUGHBUY YES@ 64.0¢9h ago
15m STALLED -1.0pp1h INVALIDATED -4.0pp6h UNAVAILABLE
LARGE FLOWBUY YES@ 65.0¢9h ago
15m STALLED -2.0pp1h STALLED -1.0pp6h UNAVAILABLE
LIQUIDITY ABSORPTIONBUY YES@ 65.0¢9h ago
15m STALLED -1.0pp1h STALLED -2.0pp6h UNAVAILABLE
LARGE FLOWBUY YES@ 65.0¢9h ago
15m STALLED -1.0pp1h STALLED -2.0pp6h UNAVAILABLE
Latest book event: NO UP 4.0pp · near-book depth $2.0K → $371 · 2s

Outcome Price History

Execution status
Market closed · the orderbook is not executable.

Signals Trend

Market Analytics

LifecycleCanonical market state overrides the analytics stage after resolution. discovery/climax/resolving describe open-market analytics only; resolved/void are terminal states.resolving

Signed Order Flow

Directional flow: positive values favor YES; negative values favor NO. Only trades with known BUY/SELL action are included.
1hNO · $17.4K
6hYES · $508.6K
24hYES · $523.3K

YES price VWAP

Volume-weighted YES price. NO fills are converted to the complementary YES probability before aggregation. Distance from VWAP is displacement, not an overbought/oversold signal.
Current0.1¢
VWAP 24h59.6¢▼ below by 59.5pp
VWAP 7d59.6¢
Largest observed holdersActual token balances from Polymarket's holders endpoint. Coverage is limited to the top 20 holders per outcome; percentages are within the reported sample, not total supply.

Largest holders

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YES price Volume Profile · tracked 30d

95¢
$0
90¢
$0
85¢
$0
80¢
$0
75¢
$0
70¢
$0
65¢
$577.9K
60¢
$231.0K
55¢
$28.3K
50¢
$47.9K
45¢
$6.2K
40¢
$15.1K
35¢
$5.6K
30¢
$7.1K
25¢
$11
20¢
$3.9K
15¢
$9.6K
10¢
$4.3K
5¢
$11.2K
0¢
← now
$36.9K

VPOC = 65¢ · highlighted bar = current price · blue bar = VPOC

Observed net position building

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Historical observed tape · BUY/SELL shown outcome · retained 30dupdated less than a minute ago
Loading trades…
🐋 Large Trades$10,000+ · retained 30dBUY/SELL shown outcomeΔ now
SELLNO$19.0K@ 99.9¢
GrizzliesSuck0x412f…30fa
🐋—about 6 hours ago
BUYYES$11.2K@ 55.6¢0x197c…e025🐋—about 7 hours ago
BUYYES$15.3K@ 62.3¢
0xsven0x17cb…3ab8
🐋—about 8 hours ago
BUYYES$19.6K@ 64.0¢
phkjjd0x8fbc…5c63
🐋—about 9 hours ago
BUYYES$304.0K@ 65.0¢
00gringo000x5169…1842
🐋—about 9 hours ago
BUYYES$163.8K@ 65.0¢
Supremeleader750x5dab…22e1
🐋—about 10 hours ago
BUYNO$11.8K@ 36.0¢
sbsigner0x1b47…d814
🐋—about 14 hours ago
BUYYES$29.4K@ 65.0¢
ptrck70x96c2…5741
🐋—about 14 hours ago
BUYYES$12.1K@ 65.0¢
isco230x86eb…6566
🐋—about 15 hours ago

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Observed whale buys · 7d

Aggregated BUY fills of $10K+ per wallet and outcome

00gringo00Yes$304.0K
BUY VWAP 65.0¢·1 fill
Supremeleader75Yes$169.5K
BUY VWAP 65.0¢·2 fills
UpTheBluesNo$41.7K
BUY VWAP 53.3¢·20 fills
sbsignerNo$38.9K
BUY VWAP 35.9¢·11 fills
0x076d…8d4cNo$31.5K
BUY VWAP 35.4¢·11 fills
ptrck7Yes$29.4K
BUY VWAP 65.0¢·1 fill
phkjjdYes$19.6K
BUY VWAP 64.0¢·1 fill
matanovikNo$18.0K
BUY VWAP 36.0¢·6 fills
0xsvenYes$15.3K
BUY VWAP 62.3¢·1 fill
xxzws1No$13.8K
BUY VWAP 36.7¢·2 fills

Observed BUY activity; current holdings and position change may be unconfirmed.