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Spread: Chelsea FC (-2.5)

● quote just now
Sports→Closes: about 1 hourLiquidity: $41.0KOfficial 24h Vol: $168.0KEvent: Chelsea FC vs. Hull City AFC - More Markets
5.5¢
Chelsea FC
94.5¢
Hull City AFC
5.0¢
Spread
anomaly100Activity anomaly — current observed activity versus the market baselinedirection4Direction — strength and consistency of signed flow between the two outcomeswallets100Wallet quality — contribution from verified profitable non-bot walletsexecution82Execution — spread, depth and quote quality; not expected valuepriority0Opportunity priority — ranking score, not predicted return or edgedata 74%💡 4 smartMeasured profitable wallets: positive real PnL, 20+ trades, non-bot
24h sample:27 trades$60.0K trackedsource coverage 36%BUY/SELL known 100%
tape 24 min agoofficial metadata 10s ago
Profitable-wallet flow · 7d:Hull City AFC · $33.7K net·4 wallets·$33.7K gross
Largest observed trade · 30d:BUYHull City AFC$8.7K@ 64¢·0x076d…8d4c

Decision read

Evidence and execution checklist — not a trade recommendation

WAIT — EVIDENCE TOO THIN
What the tape says

Hull City AFC pressure: $2.4K net directional flow in 1h.

1h
−$2.4K
6h
−$14.9K
tracked
$60.0K

4 verified profitable wallets: Hull City AFC · $33.7K net over 7d.

Can it be executed?
5.0¢displayed spread

Expensive before size: wait for tighter quotes or reduce size.

Data confidence 74% · priority 0

Priority ranks review urgency; it is not probability or expected value.

Risks / missing evidence
  • •Observed tape is 24 minutes old.
  • •Spread is 5.0¢ before size-dependent slippage.

The read weakens if 1h flow flips away from Hull City AFC or execution deteriorates.

Resolution & market truth

Verify what settles the market before reading flow as a thesis

Resolution
OPEN
Trading
Orders accepted
Deadline
2026-09-12 14:00 UTC
Event constraint
Not verified
Resolution source: https://www.premierleague.com/
Outcome meaning

•This market will resolve to "Chelsea FC" if Chelsea FC win the game by 3 or more goals.

•Otherwise, this market will resolve to "Hull City AFC".

Read full resolution rules

In the upcoming Premier League game, scheduled for September 12 at 10:00 AM ET: This market will resolve to "Chelsea FC" if Chelsea FC win the game by 3 or more goals. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "Hull City AFC". If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed. If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this market will resolve 50–50. This market will resolve according to the official final score published on premierleague.com. This market refers only to the outcome within the first 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time. The primary resolution source for this market is the official statistics of the event as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. However, if the governing body or event organizers have not published final match statistics within 2 hours after the event's conclusion, data from Flashscore may be used; if Flashscore data is unavailable, data from Sofascore may be used; if neither is available, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead. All markets will settle based on the official final result as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. Revisions to officially declared final scores made after market resolution will not be accounted for in determining the outcome.

Event-level hedge context · observed 7d flow
Flaznorp5 linked markets · $96.6K gross
0F622 linked markets · $76.8K gross
plonker20262 linked markets · $75.1K gross

Multi-market activity can be a hedge; do not read one leg as the wallet’s full thesis.

Evidence receipts

Timestamped alerts and their measured outcomes; losses and unavailable checks remain visible

No decision-grade alert has been emitted for this market yet.
Latest book event: Chelsea FC DOWN 4.0pp · near-book depth $452 → $573 · 7s

Outcome Price History

Executable orderbook · both outcomes
Loading executable orderbook…

Signals Trend

Market Analytics

LifecycleCanonical market state overrides the analytics stage after resolution. discovery/climax/resolving describe open-market analytics only; resolved/void are terminal states.resolving

Signed Order Flow

Directional flow: positive values favor Chelsea FC; negative values favor Hull City AFC. Only trades with known BUY/SELL action are included.
1hHull City AFC · $2.4K
6hHull City AFC · $14.9K
24hHull City AFC · $12.2K

Chelsea FC price VWAP

Volume-weighted Chelsea FC price. Hull City AFC fills are converted to the complementary Chelsea FC probability before aggregation. Distance from VWAP is displacement, not an overbought/oversold signal.
Current5.5¢
VWAP 24h36.8¢▼ below by 31.3pp
VWAP 7d36.8¢
Largest observed holdersActual token balances from Polymarket's holders endpoint. Coverage is limited to the top 20 holders per outcome; percentages are within the reported sample, not total supply.

Largest holders

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Chelsea FC price Volume Profile · tracked 30d

95¢
$0
90¢
$0
85¢
$0
80¢
$0
75¢
$0
70¢
$0
65¢
$0
60¢
$0
55¢
$0
50¢
$73
45¢
$0
40¢
$0
35¢
$57.0K
30¢
$395
25¢
$0
20¢
$2.5K
15¢
$0
10¢
$0
5¢
← now
$47
0¢
$0

VPOC = 35¢ · highlighted bar = current price · blue bar = VPOC

Observed net position building

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Observed Tape · BUY/SELL shown outcome · retained 30dupdated less than a minute ago
Loading trades…
🐋 Large Trades$10,000+ · retained 30dBUY/SELL shown outcomeΔ now
No whale activity

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Observed whale buys · 7d

Aggregated BUY fills of $10K+ per wallet and outcome

FlaznorpHull City AFC$14.9K
BUY VWAP 64.5¢·4 fills
plonker2026Chelsea FC$11.9K
BUY VWAP 37.8¢·4 fills

Observed BUY activity; current holdings and position change may be unconfirmed.