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Spread: Paris Saint-Germain FC (-3.5)

● quote just now
Sports→Closes: about 8 hoursLiquidity: $183.0KOfficial 24h Vol: $150.3KEvent: Paris Saint-Germain FC vs. ŠK Slovan Bratislava - More Markets
52.5¢
Paris Saint-Germain FC
47.5¢
ŠK Slovan Bratislava
1.0¢
Spread
anomaly0Activity anomaly — current observed activity versus the market baselinedirection0Direction — strength and consistency of signed flow between the two outcomeswallets12Wallet quality — contribution from verified profitable non-bot walletsexecution93Execution — spread, depth and quote quality; not expected valuepriority0Opportunity priority — ranking score, not predicted return or edgedata 62%💡 2 smartMeasured profitable wallets: positive real PnL, 20+ trades, non-bot
24h sample:24 trades$71.7K tracked13% 🐋source coverage 48%BUY/SELL known 100%
tape 56 min agoofficial metadata 2 min ago
Profitable-wallet flow · 7d:ŠK Slovan Bratislava · $2.2K net·2 wallets·$12.2K gross
Largest observed trade · 30d:BUYŠK Slovan Bratislava$16.7K@ 48¢·SemyonMarmeladov

Decision read

Evidence and execution checklist — not a trade recommendation

WAIT — EVIDENCE TOO THIN
What the tape says

No material 1h direction in the tracked BUY/SELL sample.

1h
−$1
6h
+$23.8K
tracked
$71.7K

2 verified profitable wallets: ŠK Slovan Bratislava · $2.2K net over 7d.

Can it be executed?
1.0¢displayed spread

Tight displayed spread; depth and partial-fill risk still matter.

Data confidence 62% · priority 0

Since latest large flow: -1.0pp at executable prices.

Priority ranks review urgency; it is not probability or expected value.

Risks / missing evidence
  • •Observed tape is 56 minutes old.
  • •Less than 8h remains; resolution risk is elevated.

Stronger read requires meaningful signed flow plus confirmation across distinct observed wallets.

Resolution & market truth

Verify what settles the market before reading flow as a thesis

Resolution
OPEN
Trading
Orders accepted
Deadline
2026-09-09 19:00 UTC
Event constraint
Not verified
Resolution source: https://www.uefa.com/
Outcome meaning

•This market will resolve to "Paris Saint-Germain FC" if Paris Saint-Germain FC win the game by 4 or more goals.

•Otherwise, this market will resolve to "ŠK Slovan Bratislava".

Read full resolution rules

In the upcoming UEFA Champions League game, scheduled for September 9 at 3:00 PM ET: This market will resolve to "Paris Saint-Germain FC" if Paris Saint-Germain FC win the game by 4 or more goals. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "ŠK Slovan Bratislava". If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed. If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this market will resolve 50–50. This market will resolve according to the official final score published on uefa.com. This market refers only to the outcome within the first 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time. The primary resolution source for this market is the official statistics of the event as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. However, if the governing body or event organizers have not published final match statistics within 2 hours after the event's conclusion, data from Flashscore may be used; if Flashscore data is unavailable, data from Sofascore may be used; if neither is available, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead. All markets will settle based on the official final result as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. Revisions to officially declared final scores made after market resolution will not be accounted for in determining the outcome.

Event-level hedge context · observed 7d flow
gransaaa2 linked markets · $84.2K gross
Flaznorp2 linked markets · $3.5K gross
bravewarriorrrrrr2 linked markets · $21 gross

Multi-market activity can be a hedge; do not read one leg as the wallet’s full thesis.

Evidence receipts

Timestamped alerts and their measured outcomes; losses and unavailable checks remain visible

LARGE FLOWBUY Paris Saint-Germain FC@ 54.0¢3h ago
15m STALLED -1.0pp1h STALLED -1.0pp
LARGE FLOWBUY ŠK Slovan Bratislava@ 48.0¢3h ago
15m STALLED -2.0pp1h STALLED -2.0pp
LARGE FLOWBUY Paris Saint-Germain FC@ 53.0¢3h ago
15m STALLED +0.0pp1h STALLED +0.0pp

Outcome Price History

Executable orderbook · both outcomes
Loading executable orderbook…

Signals Trend

Market Analytics

LifecycleCanonical market state overrides the analytics stage after resolution. discovery/climax/resolving describe open-market analytics only; resolved/void are terminal states.resolving

Signed Order Flow

Directional flow: positive values favor Paris Saint-Germain FC; negative values favor ŠK Slovan Bratislava. Only trades with known BUY/SELL action are included.
1hŠK Slovan Bratislava · $1
6hParis Saint-Germain FC · $23.8K
24hParis Saint-Germain FC · $23.8K

Paris Saint-Germain FC price VWAP

Volume-weighted Paris Saint-Germain FC price. ŠK Slovan Bratislava fills are converted to the complementary Paris Saint-Germain FC probability before aggregation. Distance from VWAP is displacement, not an overbought/oversold signal.
Current52.5¢
VWAP 24h52.3¢▲ above by 0.2pp
VWAP 7d52.3¢
Largest observed holdersActual token balances from Polymarket's holders endpoint. Coverage is limited to the top 20 holders per outcome; percentages are within the reported sample, not total supply.

Largest holders

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Paris Saint-Germain FC price Volume Profile · tracked 30d

95¢
$0
90¢
$0
85¢
$0
80¢
$0
75¢
$0
70¢
$0
65¢
$0
60¢
$0
55¢
$0
50¢
← now
$71.7K
45¢
$0
40¢
$0
35¢
$0
30¢
$0
25¢
$0
20¢
$0
15¢
$0
10¢
$0
5¢
$0
0¢
$0

VPOC = 50¢ · highlighted bar = current price · blue bar = VPOC

Observed net position building

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Observed Tape · BUY/SELL shown outcome · retained 30dupdated less than a minute ago
Loading trades…
🐋 Large Trades$10,000+ · retained 30dBUY/SELL shown outcomeΔ now
BUYParis Saint-Germain FC$13.0K@ 53.0¢
gransaaa0x4d30…a42d
🐋—about 3 hours ago
BUYParis Saint-Germain FC$10.1K@ 53.0¢
gransaaa0x4d30…a42d
🐋—about 4 hours ago
BUYŠK Slovan Bratislava$16.7K@ 48.0¢
SemyonMarmeladov0x37e4…c991
🐋—about 4 hours ago

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Observed whale buys · 7d

Aggregated BUY fills of $10K+ per wallet and outcome

gransaaaParis Saint-Germain FC$42.8K
BUY VWAP 52.5¢·8 fills
SemyonMarmeladovŠK Slovan Bratislava$16.7K
BUY VWAP 48.0¢·1 fill

Observed BUY activity; current holdings and position change may be unconfirmed.