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Manacor: Ziga Sesko vs Alexandre Muller

Sports→Settlement: RESOLVEDLiquidity: $180.4KOfficial 24h Vol: $167.8KEvent: Manacor: Ziga Sesko vs Alexandre Muller
44.5¢
Ziga Sesko payout
55.5¢
Alexandre Muller payout
Historical analytics · no executable quote
Profitable-wallet flow · 7d:Alexandre Muller · $24.0K net·5 wallets(1🐋)·$43.0K gross
Largest observed trade · 30d:BUYAlexandre Muller$19.0K@ 59¢·0x5f65…2036

Historical decision record

Market resolved. Flow, alerts and prices below are retained evidence, not an executable setup.

RESOLVED

Resolution & market truth

Verify what settles the market before reading flow as a thesis

Resolution
RESOLVED
Trading
Orders paused
Deadline
2026-09-08 08:00 UTC
Event constraint
Not verified
Resolution source: https://www.atptour.com/en/scores/current
Read full resolution rules

This market refers to the tennis match between Ziga Sesko and Alexandre Muller in the Manacor, originally scheduled for September 1, 2026 at 4:00AM ET. This market will resolve to 'Ziga Sesko' if Ziga Sesko advances against Alexandre Muller. This market will resolve to 'Alexandre Muller' if Alexandre Muller advances against Ziga Sesko. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or a winner has not been determined by September 15, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the ATP Tour. A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

Recent definition/status changes
RESOLUTION STATUS CHANGED · 2d ago
TRADING STATUS CHANGED · 2d ago

Evidence receipts

Timestamped alerts and their measured outcomes; losses and unavailable checks remain visible

LARGE FLOWBUY Alexandre Muller@ 96.0¢2d ago
15m STALLED +2.5pp1h UNAVAILABLE6h UNAVAILABLE24h UNAVAILABLE
ANTI CHASEBUY Alexandre Muller2d ago
Outcome checks pending
LARGE FLOWBUY Alexandre Muller@ 89.0¢2d ago
15m CONFIRMED +6.4pp1h UNAVAILABLE6h UNAVAILABLE24h UNAVAILABLE

Outcome Price History

Execution status
Market resolved · the orderbook is not executable.

Signals Trend

Market Analytics

LifecycleCanonical market state overrides the analytics stage after resolution. discovery/climax/resolving describe open-market analytics only; resolved/void are terminal states.resolved

Signed Order Flow

Directional flow: positive values favor Ziga Sesko; negative values favor Alexandre Muller. Only trades with known BUY/SELL action are included.
1hAlexandre Muller · $20.1K
6hAlexandre Muller · $24.4K
24hAlexandre Muller · $24.4K

Ziga Sesko price VWAP

Volume-weighted Ziga Sesko price. Alexandre Muller fills are converted to the complementary Ziga Sesko probability before aggregation. Distance from VWAP is displacement, not an overbought/oversold signal.
Current44.5¢
VWAP 24h21.3¢▲ above by 23.2pp
VWAP 7d21.3¢
Largest observed holdersActual token balances from Polymarket's holders endpoint. Coverage is limited to the top 20 holders per outcome; percentages are within the reported sample, not total supply.

Largest holders

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Ziga Sesko price Volume Profile · tracked 30d

95¢
$0
90¢
$0
85¢
$0
80¢
$0
75¢
$0
70¢
$0
65¢
$0
60¢
$0
55¢
$0
50¢
$0
45¢
$0
40¢
← now
$19.0K
35¢
$5.4K
30¢
$10.1K
25¢
$4.3K
20¢
$11
15¢
$0
10¢
$16.2K
5¢
$4.0K
0¢
$33.5K

VPOC = 0¢ · highlighted bar = current price · blue bar = VPOC

Observed net position building

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Historical observed tape · BUY/SELL shown outcome · retained 30dupdated less than a minute ago
Loading trades…
🐋 Large Trades$10,000+ · retained 30dBUY/SELL shown outcomeΔ now
BUYAlexandre Muller$11.2K@ 97.0¢
Flaznorp0x821d…cf16
🐋—2 days ago
BUYAlexandre Muller$11.7K@ 97.0¢
Flaznorp0x821d…cf16
🐋—2 days ago
SELLAlexandre Muller$14.9K@ 85.4¢0x5f65…2036🐋—2 days ago
SELLAlexandre Muller$10.1K@ 68.0¢0x5f65…2036🐋—2 days ago
BUYAlexandre Muller$19.0K@ 58.9¢0x5f65…2036🐋—2 days ago

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Observed whale buys · 7d

Aggregated BUY fills of $10K+ per wallet and outcome

FlaznorpAlexandre Muller$22.9K
BUY VWAP 97.0¢·2 fills
0x5f65…2036Alexandre Muller$19.0K
BUY VWAP 58.9¢·1 fill

Observed BUY activity; current holdings and position change may be unconfirmed.