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US Open ATP: Otto Virtanen vs Andrey Rublev

● quote just now
Sports→Closes: 7 daysLiquidity: $198.1KOfficial 24h Vol: $133.0KEvent: US Open ATP: Otto Virtanen vs Andrey Rublev
17.5¢
Otto Virtanen
82.5¢
Andrey Rublev
1.0¢
Spread
anomaly100Activity anomaly — current observed activity versus the market baselinedirection0Direction — strength and consistency of signed flow between the two outcomeswallets82Wallet quality — contribution from verified profitable non-bot walletsexecution93Execution — spread, depth and quote quality; not expected valuepriority0Opportunity priority — ranking score, not predicted return or edgedata 82%💡 5 smartMeasured profitable wallets: positive real PnL, 20+ trades, non-bot
24h sample:17 trades$38.3K tracked6% 🐋source coverage 29%BUY/SELL known 100%
tape 3 min agoofficial metadata 2 min ago
Profitable-wallet flow · 7d:Andrey Rublev · $15.7K net·5 wallets·$19.3K gross
Largest observed trade · 30d:BUYAndrey Rublev$13.7K@ 81¢·pleasent242

Decision read

Evidence and execution checklist — not a trade recommendation

WATCH — NO CONFIRMED SETUP
What the tape says

No material 1h direction in the tracked BUY/SELL sample.

1h
+$29
6h
−$25.3K
tracked
$38.3K

5 verified profitable wallets: Andrey Rublev · $15.7K net over 7d.

Can it be executed?
1.0¢displayed spread

Tight displayed spread; depth and partial-fill risk still matter.

Data confidence 82% · priority 0

Priority ranks review urgency; it is not probability or expected value.

Risks / missing evidence
  • •No hard data-quality flag; still verify rules, news and orderbook depth.

Stronger read requires meaningful signed flow plus confirmation across distinct observed wallets.

Resolution & market truth

Verify what settles the market before reading flow as a thesis

Resolution
OPEN
Trading
Orders accepted
Deadline
2026-09-07 15:00 UTC
Event constraint
Not verified
Resolution source: https://www.atptour.com/en/scores/current
Read full resolution rules

This market refers to the tennis match between Otto Virtanen and Andrey Rublev in the US Open ATP, originally scheduled for August 31, 2026 at 11:00AM ET. This market will resolve to 'Otto Virtanen' if Otto Virtanen advances against Andrey Rublev. This market will resolve to 'Andrey Rublev' if Andrey Rublev advances against Otto Virtanen. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or a winner has not been determined by September 14, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the ATP Tour. A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

Evidence receipts

Timestamped alerts and their measured outcomes; losses and unavailable checks remain visible

No decision-grade alert has been emitted for this market yet.

Outcome Price History

Executable orderbook · both outcomes
Loading executable orderbook…

Signals Trend

Market Analytics

Signed Order Flow

Directional flow: positive values favor Otto Virtanen; negative values favor Andrey Rublev. Only trades with known BUY/SELL action are included.
1hOtto Virtanen · $29
6hAndrey Rublev · $25.3K
24hAndrey Rublev · $24.2K

Otto Virtanen price VWAP

Volume-weighted Otto Virtanen price. Andrey Rublev fills are converted to the complementary Otto Virtanen probability before aggregation. Distance from VWAP is displacement, not an overbought/oversold signal.
Current17.5¢
VWAP 24h18.6¢▼ below by 1.1pp
VWAP 7d18.6¢
Largest observed holdersActual token balances from Polymarket's holders endpoint. Coverage is limited to the top 20 holders per outcome; percentages are within the reported sample, not total supply.

Largest holders

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Otto Virtanen price Volume Profile · tracked 30d

95¢
$0
90¢
$0
85¢
$0
80¢
$0
75¢
$0
70¢
$0
65¢
$0
60¢
$0
55¢
$0
50¢
$0
45¢
$0
40¢
$0
35¢
$0
30¢
$0
25¢
$0
20¢
$1.1K
15¢
← now
$37.2K
10¢
$0
5¢
$0
0¢
$0

VPOC = 15¢ · highlighted bar = current price · blue bar = VPOC

Observed net position building

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Observed Tape · BUY/SELL shown outcome · retained 30dupdated less than a minute ago
Loading trades…
🐋 Large Trades$10,000+ · retained 30dBUY/SELL shown outcomeΔ now
BUYAndrey Rublev$13.7K@ 81.0¢
pleasent2420x698b…4426
🐋—about 4 hours ago

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Observed whale buys · 7d

Aggregated BUY fills of $10K+ per wallet and outcome

pleasent242Andrey Rublev$13.7K
BUY VWAP 81.0¢·1 fill

Observed BUY activity; current holdings and position change may be unconfirmed.