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Spread: FC Barcelona (-2.5)

● quote just now
Sports→Closes: about 8 hoursLiquidity: $144.4KOfficial 24h Vol: $176.3KEvent: Levante UD vs. FC Barcelona - More Markets
44.5¢
FC Barcelona
55.5¢
Levante UD
1.0¢
Spread
anomaly100Activity anomaly — current observed activity versus the market baselinedirection9Direction — strength and consistency of signed flow between the two outcomeswallets86Wallet quality — contribution from verified profitable non-bot walletsexecution93Execution — spread, depth and quote quality; not expected valuepriority0Opportunity priority — ranking score, not predicted return or edgedata 75%💡 8 smartMeasured profitable wallets: positive real PnL, 20+ trades, non-bot
24h sample:47 trades$70.0K tracked4% 🐋source coverage 40%BUY/SELL known 100%
tape 11 min agoofficial metadata 2 min ago
Profitable-wallet flow · 7d:Levante UD · $56.4K net·8 wallets(2🐋)·$65.9K gross
Largest observed trade · 30d:BUYLevante UD$11.8K@ 53¢·ferrariChampions2026

Decision read

Evidence and execution checklist — not a trade recommendation

WAIT — EVIDENCE TOO THIN
What the tape says

Levante UD pressure: $6.3K net directional flow in 1h.

1h
−$6.3K
6h
−$52.8K
tracked
$70.0K

8 verified profitable wallets: Levante UD · $56.4K net over 7d.

Can it be executed?
1.0¢displayed spread

Tight displayed spread; depth and partial-fill risk still matter.

Data confidence 75% · priority 0

Since latest large flow: -1.0pp at executable prices.

Priority ranks review urgency; it is not probability or expected value.

Risks / missing evidence
  • •Observed tape is 11 minutes old.
  • •Less than 8h remains; resolution risk is elevated.

The read weakens if 1h flow flips away from Levante UD or execution deteriorates.

Resolution & market truth

Verify what settles the market before reading flow as a thesis

Resolution
OPEN
Trading
Orders accepted
Deadline
2026-09-13 14:15 UTC
Event constraint
Not verified
Resolution source: https://www.laliga.com/
Outcome meaning

•This market will resolve to "FC Barcelona" if FC Barcelona win the game by 3 or more goals.

•Otherwise, this market will resolve to "Levante UD".

Read full resolution rules

In the upcoming La Liga game, scheduled for September 13 at 10:15 AM ET: This market will resolve to "FC Barcelona" if FC Barcelona win the game by 3 or more goals. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "Levante UD". If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed. If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this market will resolve 50–50. This market will resolve according to the official final score published on laliga.com. This market refers only to the outcome within the first 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time. The primary resolution source for this market is the official statistics of the event as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. However, if the governing body or event organizers have not published final match statistics within 2 hours after the event's conclusion, data from Flashscore may be used; if Flashscore data is unavailable, data from Sofascore may be used; if neither is available, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead. All markets will settle based on the official final result as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. Revisions to officially declared final scores made after market resolution will not be accounted for in determining the outcome.

Event-level hedge context · observed 7d flow
0F622 linked markets · $43.2K gross
UpTheBlues2 linked markets · $20.2K gross
quavoo2 linked markets · $8.9K gross

Multi-market activity can be a hedge; do not read one leg as the wallet’s full thesis.

Evidence receipts

Timestamped alerts and their measured outcomes; losses and unavailable checks remain visible

LARGE FLOWBUY Levante UD@ 57.0¢39m ago
15m STALLED -2.0pp

Outcome Price History

Executable orderbook · both outcomes
Loading executable orderbook…

Signals Trend

Market Analytics

LifecycleCanonical market state overrides the analytics stage after resolution. discovery/climax/resolving describe open-market analytics only; resolved/void are terminal states.resolving

Signed Order Flow

Directional flow: positive values favor FC Barcelona; negative values favor Levante UD. Only trades with known BUY/SELL action are included.
1hLevante UD · $6.3K
6hLevante UD · $52.8K
24hLevante UD · $52.8K

FC Barcelona price VWAP

Volume-weighted FC Barcelona price. Levante UD fills are converted to the complementary FC Barcelona probability before aggregation. Distance from VWAP is displacement, not an overbought/oversold signal.
Current44.5¢
VWAP 24h46.5¢▼ below by 2.0pp
VWAP 7d46.5¢
Largest observed holdersActual token balances from Polymarket's holders endpoint. Coverage is limited to the top 20 holders per outcome; percentages are within the reported sample, not total supply.

Largest holders

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FC Barcelona price Volume Profile · tracked 30d

95¢
$0
90¢
$0
85¢
$0
80¢
$0
75¢
$0
70¢
$0
65¢
$0
60¢
$0
55¢
$0
50¢
$0
45¢
$62.0K
40¢
← now
$8.0K
35¢
$0
30¢
$0
25¢
$0
20¢
$0
15¢
$0
10¢
$0
5¢
$0
0¢
$0

VPOC = 45¢ · highlighted bar = current price · blue bar = VPOC

Observed net position building

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Observed Tape · BUY/SELL shown outcome · retained 30dupdated less than a minute ago
Loading trades…
🐋 Large Trades$10,000+ · retained 30dBUY/SELL shown outcomeΔ now
BUYLevante UD$11.3K@ 53.0¢0x076d…8d4c🐋—about 3 hours ago
BUYLevante UD$11.8K@ 53.0¢
ferrariChampions20260xfe78…0319
🐋—about 3 hours ago

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Observed whale buys · 7d

Aggregated BUY fills of $10K+ per wallet and outcome

0x076d…8d4cLevante UD$24.0K
BUY VWAP 54.2¢·3 fills
UpTheBluesLevante UD$14.6K
BUY VWAP 52.8¢·8 fills
ferrariChampions2026Levante UD$11.8K
BUY VWAP 53.0¢·1 fill

Observed BUY activity; current holdings and position change may be unconfirmed.