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Eagles vs. Jaguars

● quote 48s ago
Sports→American FootballCloses: 3 daysLiquidity: $202.3KOfficial 24h Vol: $64.3KEvent: Eagles vs. Jaguars
23.5¢
Eagles
76.5¢
Jaguars
1.0¢
Spread
anomaly0Activity anomaly — current observed activity versus the market baselinedirection0Direction — strength and consistency of signed flow between the two outcomeswallets0Wallet quality — contribution from verified profitable non-bot walletsexecution93Execution — spread, depth and quote quality; not expected valuepriority0Opportunity priority — ranking score, not predicted return or edgedata 54%💡 2 smartMeasured profitable wallets: positive real PnL, 20+ trades, non-bot
24h sample:4 trades$11.0K trackedsource coverage 17%BUY/SELL known 100%
tape 166 min agoofficial metadata 1 min ago
Profitable-wallet flow · 7d:Jaguars · $2.5K net·2 wallets·$2.5K gross
Largest observed trade · 30d:BUYJaguars$5.2K@ 72¢·bands1

Decision read

Evidence and execution checklist — not a trade recommendation

WAIT — EVIDENCE TOO THIN
What the tape says

No material 1h direction in the tracked BUY/SELL sample.

1h
$0
6h
+$9.9K
tracked
$11.0K

2 verified profitable wallets: Jaguars · $2.5K net over 7d.

Can it be executed?
1.0¢displayed spread

Tight displayed spread; depth and partial-fill risk still matter.

Data confidence 54% · priority 0

Priority ranks review urgency; it is not probability or expected value.

Risks / missing evidence
  • •Observed tape is 166 minutes old.

Stronger read requires meaningful signed flow plus confirmation across distinct observed wallets.

Resolution & market truth

Verify what settles the market before reading flow as a thesis

Resolution
OPEN
Trading
Orders accepted
Deadline
2026-10-11 13:30 UTC
Event constraint
Not verified
Resolution source: https://www.nfl.com/scores
Outcome meaning

•This market will resolve to "Eagles" if Eagles win the game.

•This market will resolve to "Jaguars" if Jaguars win the game.

Read full resolution rules

In the upcoming NFL football game between Eagles and Jaguars, scheduled for October 11 at 9:30AM ET: This market will resolve to "Eagles" if Eagles win the game. This market will resolve to "Jaguars" if Jaguars win the game. Overtime is included if played. If the game ends in a tie, this market will resolve 50-50. If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed. If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this market will resolve 50-50.

Evidence receipts

Timestamped alerts and their measured outcomes; losses and unavailable checks remain visible

No decision-grade alert has been emitted for this market yet.

Outcome Price History

Executable orderbook · both outcomes
Loading executable orderbook…

Market Analytics

Signed Order Flow

Directional flow: positive values favor Eagles; negative values favor Jaguars. Only trades with known BUY/SELL action are included.
1hEagles · $0
6hEagles · $9.9K
24hEagles · $11.0K

Eagles price VWAP

Volume-weighted Eagles price. Jaguars fills are converted to the complementary Eagles probability before aggregation. Distance from VWAP is displacement, not an overbought/oversold signal.
Current23.5¢
VWAP 24h24.0¢▼ below by 0.5pp
VWAP 7d26.2¢
Largest observed holdersActual token balances from Polymarket's holders endpoint. Coverage is limited to the top 20 holders per outcome; percentages are within the reported sample, not total supply.

Largest holders

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Eagles price Volume Profile · tracked 30d

95¢
$0
90¢
$0
85¢
$0
80¢
$0
75¢
$0
70¢
$0
65¢
$0
60¢
$0
55¢
$0
50¢
$0
45¢
$0
40¢
$0
35¢
$0
30¢
$1.1K
25¢
$11.1K
20¢
← now
$11.0K
15¢
$0
10¢
$0
5¢
$0
0¢
$0

VPOC = 25¢ · highlighted bar = current price · blue bar = VPOC

Observed net position building

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Observed Tape · BUY/SELL shown outcome · retained 30dupdated less than a minute ago
Loading trades…
🐋 Large Trades$10,000+ · retained 30dBUY/SELL shown outcomeΔ now
No whale activity

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Observed whale buys · 7d

Aggregated BUY fills of $10K+ per wallet and outcome

No observed $10K+ whale buys

Observed BUY activity; current holdings and position change may be unconfirmed.