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Oregon vs. Oklahoma State

● quote just now
Sports→Closes: about 1 hourLiquidity: $296.8KOfficial 24h Vol: $249.8KEvent: Oregon vs. Oklahoma State
93.5¢
Oregon
6.5¢
Oklahoma State
1.0¢
Spread
anomaly100Activity anomaly — current observed activity versus the market baselinedirection64Direction — strength and consistency of signed flow between the two outcomeswallets33Wallet quality — contribution from verified profitable non-bot walletsexecution93Execution — spread, depth and quote quality; not expected valuepriority0Opportunity priority — ranking score, not predicted return or edgedata 62%💡 1 smartMeasured profitable wallets: positive real PnL, 20+ trades, non-bot
24h sample:27 trades$118.2K tracked7% 🐋source coverage 47%BUY/SELL known 100%
tape 31 min agoofficial metadata 4 min ago
Largest observed trade · 30d:BUYOregon$76.1K@ 95¢·tennischamp

Decision read

Evidence and execution checklist — not a trade recommendation

WAIT — EVIDENCE TOO THIN
What the tape says

Oregon pressure: $76.0K net directional flow in 1h.

1h
+$76.0K
6h
+$113.9K
tracked
$118.2K

1 verified profitable wallet: Oklahoma State · $246 net over 7d.

Can it be executed?
1.0¢displayed spread

Tight displayed spread; depth and partial-fill risk still matter.

Data confidence 62% · priority 0

Since latest large flow: +0.0pp at executable prices.

Priority ranks review urgency; it is not probability or expected value.

Risks / missing evidence
  • •Observed tape is 31 minutes old.
  • •Less than 1h remains; resolution risk is elevated.

The read weakens if 1h flow flips away from Oregon or execution deteriorates.

Resolution & market truth

Verify what settles the market before reading flow as a thesis

Resolution
OPEN
Trading
Orders accepted
Deadline
2026-09-12 16:00 UTC
Event constraint
Not verified
Resolution source: https://www.ncaa.com/
Outcome meaning

•This market will resolve to "Oregon" if Oregon win the game.

•This market will resolve to "Oklahoma State" if Oklahoma State win the game.

Read full resolution rules

In the upcoming college football game between Oregon and Oklahoma State, scheduled for September 12 at 12:00PM ET: This market will resolve to "Oregon" if Oregon win the game. This market will resolve to "Oklahoma State" if Oklahoma State win the game. Overtime is included if played. If the game ends in a tie, this market will resolve 50-50. If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed. If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this market will resolve 50-50.

Evidence receipts

Timestamped alerts and their measured outcomes; losses and unavailable checks remain visible

LARGE FLOWBUY Oregon@ 94.0¢28m ago
15m STALLED -1.0pp
LARGE FLOWBUY Oregon@ 95.0¢3h ago
15m STALLED -1.0pp1h STALLED -1.0pp

Outcome Price History

Executable orderbook · both outcomes
Loading executable orderbook…

Signals Trend

Market Analytics

LifecycleCanonical market state overrides the analytics stage after resolution. discovery/climax/resolving describe open-market analytics only; resolved/void are terminal states.resolving

Signed Order Flow

Directional flow: positive values favor Oregon; negative values favor Oklahoma State. Only trades with known BUY/SELL action are included.
1hOregon · $76.0K
6hOregon · $113.9K
24hOregon · $117.7K

Oregon price VWAP

Volume-weighted Oregon price. Oklahoma State fills are converted to the complementary Oregon probability before aggregation. Distance from VWAP is displacement, not an overbought/oversold signal.
Current93.5¢
VWAP 24h95.0¢▼ below by 1.5pp
VWAP 7d95.0¢
Largest observed holdersActual token balances from Polymarket's holders endpoint. Coverage is limited to the top 20 holders per outcome; percentages are within the reported sample, not total supply.

Largest holders

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Oregon price Volume Profile · tracked 30d

95¢
$117.9K
90¢
← now
$247
85¢
$0
80¢
$0
75¢
$0
70¢
$0
65¢
$0
60¢
$0
55¢
$0
50¢
$0
45¢
$0
40¢
$0
35¢
$0
30¢
$0
25¢
$0
20¢
$0
15¢
$0
10¢
$0
5¢
$0
0¢
$0

VPOC = 95¢ · highlighted bar = current price · blue bar = VPOC

Observed net position building

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Observed Tape · BUY/SELL shown outcome · retained 30dupdated less than a minute ago
Loading trades…
🐋 Large Trades$10,000+ · retained 30dBUY/SELL shown outcomeΔ now
BUYOregon$76.1K@ 95.0¢
tennischamp0x8bfe…2d74
🐋—31 minutes ago
BUYOregon$38.0K@ 95.0¢
jaytee1580xa2c9…2c23
🐋—about 3 hours ago

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Observed whale buys · 7d

Aggregated BUY fills of $10K+ per wallet and outcome

tennischampOregon$76.1K
BUY VWAP 95.0¢·1 fill
jaytee158Oregon$38.0K
BUY VWAP 95.0¢·1 fill

Observed BUY activity; current holdings and position change may be unconfirmed.