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Arizona State vs. Texas A&M

Sports→Settlement: Texas A&MLiquidity: $194.5KOfficial 24h Vol: $273.9KEvent: Arizona State vs. Texas A&M
0.0¢
Arizona State payout
100.0¢
Texas A&M payout
Historical analytics · no executable quote
Profitable-wallet flow · 7d:Texas A&M · $38.5K net·6 wallets·$42.8K gross
Largest observed trade · 30d:BUYTexas A&M$59.1K@ 91¢·177-letsgo

Historical decision record

Market resolved · outcome Texas A&M. Flow, alerts and prices below are retained evidence, not an executable setup.

RESOLVED

Resolution & market truth

Verify what settles the market before reading flow as a thesis

Resolution
RESOLVED
Trading
Orders paused
Deadline
2026-09-12 16:00 UTC
Event constraint
Not verified
Resolution source: https://www.ncaa.com/
Outcome meaning

•This market will resolve to "Arizona State" if Arizona State win the game.

•This market will resolve to "Texas A&M" if Texas A&M win the game.

Read full resolution rules

In the upcoming college football game between Arizona State and Texas A&M, scheduled for September 12 at 12:00PM ET: This market will resolve to "Arizona State" if Arizona State win the game. This market will resolve to "Texas A&M" if Texas A&M win the game. Overtime is included if played. If the game ends in a tie, this market will resolve 50-50. If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed. If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this market will resolve 50-50.

Evidence receipts

Timestamped alerts and their measured outcomes; losses and unavailable checks remain visible

No decision-grade alert has been emitted for this market yet.

Outcome Price History

Execution status
Market resolved · the orderbook is not executable.

Signals Trend

Market Analytics

LifecycleCanonical market state overrides the analytics stage after resolution. discovery/climax/resolving describe open-market analytics only; resolved/void are terminal states.resolved

Signed Order Flow

Directional flow: positive values favor Arizona State; negative values favor Texas A&M. Only trades with known BUY/SELL action are included.
1hArizona State · $329
6hTexas A&M · $153.6K
24hTexas A&M · $153.6K

Arizona State price VWAP

Volume-weighted Arizona State price. Texas A&M fills are converted to the complementary Arizona State probability before aggregation. Distance from VWAP is displacement, not an overbought/oversold signal.
Current0.0¢
VWAP 24h12.0¢▼ below by 12.0pp
VWAP 7d12.0¢
Largest observed holdersActual token balances from Polymarket's holders endpoint. Coverage is limited to the top 20 holders per outcome; percentages are within the reported sample, not total supply.

Largest holders

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Arizona State price Volume Profile · tracked 30d

95¢
$0
90¢
$0
85¢
$0
80¢
$0
75¢
$0
70¢
$0
65¢
$0
60¢
$0
55¢
$0
50¢
$0
45¢
$0
40¢
$0
35¢
$0
30¢
$0
25¢
$0
20¢
$3.3K
15¢
$61.7K
10¢
$24.7K
5¢
$72.5K
0¢
← now
$3.0K

VPOC = 5¢ · highlighted bar = current price · blue bar = VPOC

Observed net position building

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Historical observed tape · BUY/SELL shown outcome · retained 30dupdated less than a minute ago
Loading trades…
🐋 Large Trades$10,000+ · retained 30dBUY/SELL shown outcomeΔ now
BUYTexas A&M$36.1K@ 84.0¢
pilimili0xd104…acef
🐋—1 day ago
BUYTexas A&M$59.1K@ 91.0¢
177-letsgo0x7a75…d288
🐋—1 day ago

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Observed whale buys · 7d

Aggregated BUY fills of $10K+ per wallet and outcome

177-letsgoTexas A&M$74.5K
BUY VWAP 90.0¢·3 fills
pilimiliTexas A&M$40.8K
BUY VWAP 83.9¢·2 fills
HomeRunHazardTexas A&M$38.8K
BUY VWAP 88.2¢·15 fills

Observed BUY activity; current holdings and position change may be unconfirmed.