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US Open ATP: Rei Sakamoto vs Frances Tiafoe

Sports→Settlement: Frances TiafoeLiquidity: $243.5KOfficial 24h Vol: $385.0KEvent: US Open ATP: Rei Sakamoto vs Frances Tiafoe
0.0¢
Rei Sakamoto payout
100.0¢
Frances Tiafoe payout
Historical analytics · no executable quote
24h sample:94 trades$154.9K tracked5% 🐋source coverage 40%BUY/SELL known 100%
tape 132 min agoofficial metadata 96 min ago
Profitable-wallet flow · 7d:Frances Tiafoe · $52.5K net·8 wallets(1🐋)·$67.5K gross
Largest observed trade · 30d:BUYFrances Tiafoe$17.0K@ 87¢·0b1fe

Historical decision record

Market resolved · outcome Frances Tiafoe. Flow, alerts and prices below are retained evidence, not an executable setup.

RESOLVED

Resolution & market truth

Verify what settles the market before reading flow as a thesis

Resolution
RESOLVED
Trading
Orders paused
Deadline
2026-09-09 15:00 UTC
Event constraint
Not verified
Resolution source: https://www.atptour.com/en/scores/current
Read full resolution rules

This market refers to the tennis match between Rei Sakamoto and Frances Tiafoe in the US Open ATP, originally scheduled for September 2, 2026 at 11:00AM ET. This market will resolve to 'Rei Sakamoto' if Rei Sakamoto advances against Frances Tiafoe. This market will resolve to 'Frances Tiafoe' if Frances Tiafoe advances against Rei Sakamoto. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or a winner has not been determined by September 16, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the ATP Tour. A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

Evidence receipts

Timestamped alerts and their measured outcomes; losses and unavailable checks remain visible

ACCUMULATIONBUY Frances Tiafoe@ 86.0¢5h ago
15m INVALIDATED -3.0pp1h INVALIDATED -7.0pp
LARGE FLOWBUY Frances Tiafoe@ 86.0¢5h ago
15m INVALIDATED -3.0pp1h INVALIDATED -7.0pp
Latest book event: Frances Tiafoe UP 4.0pp · near-book depth $90.1K → $74.3K · 35s

Outcome Price History

Execution status
Market resolved · the orderbook is not executable.

Signals Trend

Market Analytics

LifecycleCanonical market state overrides the analytics stage after resolution. discovery/climax/resolving describe open-market analytics only; resolved/void are terminal states.resolved

Signed Order Flow

Directional flow: positive values favor Rei Sakamoto; negative values favor Frances Tiafoe. Only trades with known BUY/SELL action are included.
1hRei Sakamoto · $1.7K
6hFrances Tiafoe · $76.2K
24hFrances Tiafoe · $75.3K

Rei Sakamoto price VWAP

Volume-weighted Rei Sakamoto price. Frances Tiafoe fills are converted to the complementary Rei Sakamoto probability before aggregation. Distance from VWAP is displacement, not an overbought/oversold signal.
Current0.0¢
VWAP 24h13.4¢▼ below by 13.4pp
VWAP 7d13.4¢
Largest observed holdersActual token balances from Polymarket's holders endpoint. Coverage is limited to the top 20 holders per outcome; percentages are within the reported sample, not total supply.

Largest holders

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Rei Sakamoto price Volume Profile · tracked 30d

95¢
$0
90¢
$0
85¢
$0
80¢
$0
75¢
$0
70¢
$0
65¢
$0
60¢
$0
55¢
$0
50¢
$0
45¢
$0
40¢
$0
35¢
$0
30¢
$0
25¢
$4.0K
20¢
$18.2K
15¢
$42.6K
10¢
$57.8K
5¢
$16.1K
0¢
← now
$16.2K

VPOC = 10¢ · highlighted bar = current price · blue bar = VPOC

Observed net position building

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Historical observed tape · BUY/SELL shown outcome · retained 30dupdated less than a minute ago
Loading trades…
🐋 Large Trades$10,000+ · retained 30dBUY/SELL shown outcomeΔ now
SELLFrances Tiafoe$11.7K@ 99.0¢
Omnipollo440x604a…ea22
🐋—about 2 hours ago
BUYFrances Tiafoe$10.9K@ 92.0¢
Omnipollo440x604a…ea22
🐋—about 3 hours ago
BUYFrances Tiafoe$10.3K@ 83.0¢
mooseborzoi0x84cf…2f63
🐋—about 4 hours ago
BUYFrances Tiafoe$14.4K@ 88.0¢
0b1fe0x9bb1…4dbe
🐋—about 5 hours ago
BUYFrances Tiafoe$17.0K@ 87.0¢
0b1fe0x9bb1…4dbe
🐋—about 5 hours ago

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Observed whale buys · 7d

Aggregated BUY fills of $10K+ per wallet and outcome

0b1feFrances Tiafoe$55.6K
BUY VWAP 87.4¢·6 fills
mooseborzoiFrances Tiafoe$19.8K
BUY VWAP 85.8¢·9 fills
Omnipollo44Frances Tiafoe$10.9K
BUY VWAP 92.0¢·1 fill

Observed BUY activity; current holdings and position change may be unconfirmed.