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Porto: Miguel Damas vs Dimitar Kuzmanov

● quote 3 min ago
Sports→Closes: 7 daysLiquidity: $208.7KOfficial 24h Vol: $737.4KEvent: Porto: Miguel Damas vs Dimitar Kuzmanov
99.9¢
Miguel Damas
0.1¢
Dimitar Kuzmanov
0.1¢
Spread
anomaly100Activity anomaly — current observed activity versus the market baselinedirection4Direction — strength and consistency of signed flow between the two outcomeswallets14Wallet quality — contribution from verified profitable non-bot walletsexecution30Execution — spread, depth and quote quality; not expected valuepriority0Opportunity priority — ranking score, not predicted return or edgedata 75%💡 9 smartMeasured profitable wallets: positive real PnL, 20+ trades, non-bot
24h sample:128 trades$303.0K tracked7% 🐋source coverage 41%BUY/SELL known 100%
tape 22 min agoofficial metadata 41s ago
Profitable-wallet flow · 7d:Miguel Damas · $19.1K net·9 wallets(2🐋)·$140.8K gross
Largest observed trade · 30d:BUYDimitar Kuzmanov$20.0K@ 60¢·fkcvffcjt

Decision read

Evidence and execution checklist — not a trade recommendation

TOO LATE — DO NOT CHASE
What the tape says

Dimitar Kuzmanov pressure: $11.6K net directional flow in 1h.

1h
−$11.6K
6h
+$10.2K
tracked
$303.0K

9 verified profitable wallets: Miguel Damas · $19.1K net over 7d.

Can it be executed?
0.1¢displayed spread

Tight displayed spread; depth and partial-fill risk still matter.

Data confidence 75% · priority 0

Since latest position change: +98.0pp at executable prices.

Priority ranks review urgency; it is not probability or expected value.

Risks / missing evidence
  • •Price is near 0/100¢; headline flow can have little remaining payoff.
  • •Observed tape is 22 minutes old.
  • •Executable SELL price moved 98.0pp since the latest alert; its original entry no longer exists.

The read weakens if 1h flow flips away from Dimitar Kuzmanov or execution deteriorates.

Resolution & market truth

Verify what settles the market before reading flow as a thesis

Resolution
OPEN
Trading
Orders accepted
Deadline
2026-09-10 09:00 UTC
Event constraint
Not verified
Resolution source: https://www.atptour.com/en/scores/current
Read full resolution rules

This market refers to the tennis match between Miguel Damas and Dimitar Kuzmanov in the Porto, originally scheduled for September 3, 2026 at 5:00AM ET. This market will resolve to 'Miguel Damas' if Miguel Damas advances against Dimitar Kuzmanov. This market will resolve to 'Dimitar Kuzmanov' if Dimitar Kuzmanov advances against Miguel Damas. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or a winner has not been determined by September 17, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the ATP Tour. A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

Evidence receipts

Timestamped alerts and their measured outcomes; losses and unavailable checks remain visible

POSITION CHANGESELL Miguel Damas@ 98.0¢37m ago
15m UNAVAILABLE
THESIS FLIPBUY Miguel Damas@ 93.0¢40m ago
15m UNAVAILABLE
MARKET SWEEPSELL Dimitar Kuzmanov@ 8.0¢40m ago
15m UNAVAILABLE
ANTI CHASEBUY Dimitar Kuzmanov55m ago
Outcome checks pending
Latest book event: Miguel Damas UP 2.5pp · near-book depth $26.2K → $9.5K · 4s

Outcome Price History

Executable orderbook · both outcomes
Loading executable orderbook…

Signals Trend

Market Analytics

Signed Order Flow

Directional flow: positive values favor Miguel Damas; negative values favor Dimitar Kuzmanov. Only trades with known BUY/SELL action are included.
1hDimitar Kuzmanov · $11.6K
6hMiguel Damas · $10.2K
24hMiguel Damas · $10.2K

Miguel Damas price VWAP

Volume-weighted Miguel Damas price. Dimitar Kuzmanov fills are converted to the complementary Miguel Damas probability before aggregation. Distance from VWAP is displacement, not an overbought/oversold signal.
Current99.9¢
VWAP 24h67.3¢▲ above by 32.6pp
VWAP 7d67.3¢
Largest observed holdersActual token balances from Polymarket's holders endpoint. Coverage is limited to the top 20 holders per outcome; percentages are within the reported sample, not total supply.

Largest holders

Loading…

Miguel Damas price Volume Profile · tracked 30d

95¢
← now
$57.3K
90¢
$7.9K
85¢
$7.6K
80¢
$2.5K
75¢
$19.5K
70¢
$45.9K
65¢
$25.4K
60¢
$32.2K
55¢
$1.4K
50¢
$46.1K
45¢
$3.5K
40¢
$30.1K
35¢
$2.8K
30¢
$9.8K
25¢
$11.0K
20¢
$18
15¢
$4
10¢
$0
5¢
$0
0¢
$0

VPOC = 95¢ · highlighted bar = current price · blue bar = VPOC

Observed net position building

Loading…
Observed Tape · BUY/SELL shown outcome · retained 30dupdated less than a minute ago
Loading trades…
🐋 Large Trades$10,000+ · retained 30dBUY/SELL shown outcomeΔ now
SELLMiguel Damas$18.3K@ 99.9¢
devilbanker0xef1b…8697
🐋—35 minutes ago
BUYMiguel Damas$12.7K@ 97.0¢
hd7770x986b…bdc6
🐋—40 minutes ago
SELLDimitar Kuzmanov$10.9K@ 31.2¢
fkcvffcjt0x67ac…edf1
🐋—43 minutes ago
SELLMiguel Damas$15.5K@ 52.8¢
fkcvffcjt0x67ac…edf1
🐋—about 1 hour ago
BUYDimitar Kuzmanov$11.4K@ 49.0¢
fkcvffcjt0x67ac…edf1
🐋—about 1 hour ago
BUYDimitar Kuzmanov$20.0K@ 59.8¢
fkcvffcjt0x67ac…edf1
🐋—about 1 hour ago
BUYMiguel Damas$12.7K@ 71.0¢
fkcvffcjt0x67ac…edf1
🐋—about 1 hour ago
BUYMiguel Damas$13.4K@ 71.0¢
fkcvffcjt0x67ac…edf1
🐋—about 1 hour ago
BUYMiguel Damas$12.5K@ 63.0¢
ferrariChampions20260xfe78…0319
🐋—about 3 hours ago

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Observed whale buys · 7d

Aggregated BUY fills of $10K+ per wallet and outcome

fkcvffcjtDimitar Kuzmanov$35.9K
BUY VWAP 47.1¢·3 fills
fkcvffcjtMiguel Damas$34.4K
BUY VWAP 71.0¢·3 fills
hd777Miguel Damas$12.7K
BUY VWAP 97.0¢·1 fill
ferrariChampions2026Miguel Damas$12.5K
BUY VWAP 63.0¢·1 fill

Observed BUY activity; current holdings and position change may be unconfirmed.