PolyScope
ScreenerCategoriesEventsLarge TradesWallets🐋 Top Whales⚡ Early MoversSignalsSmart MoneyPortfolioWatchlist🔔 Alerts

1st Half Spread: RC Celta de Vigo (-1.5)

● quote 33s ago
Sports→Closes: about 13 hoursLiquidity: $2.9KOfficial 24h Vol: $81.9KEvent: Real Sociedad de Fútbol vs. RC Celta de Vigo - More Markets
7.5¢
RC Celta de Vigo
92.5¢
Real Sociedad de Fútbol
1.0¢
Spread
anomaly100Activity anomaly — current observed activity versus the market baselinedirection33Direction — strength and consistency of signed flow between the two outcomeswallets19Wallet quality — contribution from verified profitable non-bot walletsexecution68Execution — spread, depth and quote quality; not expected valuepriority0Opportunity priority — ranking score, not predicted return or edgedata 77%💡 2 smartMeasured profitable wallets: positive real PnL, 20+ trades, non-bot
24h sample:49 trades$38.9K tracked2% 🐋source coverage 48%BUY/SELL known 100%
tape 11 min agoofficial metadata 4 min ago
Profitable-wallet flow · 7d:RC Celta de Vigo · $11.2K net·2 wallets(1🐋)·$38.7K gross
Largest observed trade · 30d:BUYReal Sociedad de Fútbol$12.8K@ 93¢·Flaznorp

Decision read

Evidence and execution checklist — not a trade recommendation

WAIT — EVIDENCE TOO THIN
What the tape says

Real Sociedad de Fútbol pressure: $12.8K net directional flow in 1h.

1h
−$12.8K
6h
−$12.8K
tracked
$38.9K

2 verified profitable wallets: RC Celta de Vigo · $11.2K net over 7d.

Can it be executed?
1.0¢displayed spread

Tight displayed spread; depth and partial-fill risk still matter.

Data confidence 77% · priority 0

Priority ranks review urgency; it is not probability or expected value.

Risks / missing evidence
  • •Observed tape is 11 minutes old.
  • •Less than 13h remains; resolution risk is elevated.

The read weakens if 1h flow flips away from Real Sociedad de Fútbol or execution deteriorates.

Resolution & market truth

Verify what settles the market before reading flow as a thesis

Resolution
OPEN
Trading
Orders accepted
Deadline
2026-09-03 19:00 UTC
Event constraint
Not verified
Resolution source: https://www.laliga.com/
Outcome meaning

•In the upcoming La Liga game between Real Sociedad de Fútbol and RC Celta de Vigo, scheduled for September 3 at 3:00 PM ET: This market will resolve to "RC Celta de Vigo" if RC Celta de Vigo win the first half by 2 or more goals. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "Real Sociedad de Fútbol". If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed. If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this market will resolve 50-50. This market refers only to the outcome within the first 45 minutes of regular play plus first-half stoppage time. Second-half goals, extra time, and penalty shoot-outs are excluded. The primary resolution source for this market is the official statistics of the event as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. However, if the governing body or event organizers have not published final match statistics within 2 hours after the event's conclusion, data from Flashscore may be used; if Flashscore data is unavailable, data from Sofascore may be used; if neither is available, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead. All markets will settle based on the official final result as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. Revisions to officially declared final scores made after market resolution will not be accounted for in determining the outcome. If no acceptable data is available within 24 hours of the event's conclusion, this market will resolve 50-50, or to "Draw" where applicable.

Read full resolution rules

In the upcoming La Liga game between Real Sociedad de Fútbol and RC Celta de Vigo, scheduled for September 3 at 3:00 PM ET: This market will resolve to "RC Celta de Vigo" if RC Celta de Vigo win the first half by 2 or more goals. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "Real Sociedad de Fútbol". If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed. If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this market will resolve 50-50. This market refers only to the outcome within the first 45 minutes of regular play plus first-half stoppage time. Second-half goals, extra time, and penalty shoot-outs are excluded. The primary resolution source for this market is the official statistics of the event as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. However, if the governing body or event organizers have not published final match statistics within 2 hours after the event's conclusion, data from Flashscore may be used; if Flashscore data is unavailable, data from Sofascore may be used; if neither is available, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead. All markets will settle based on the official final result as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. Revisions to officially declared final scores made after market resolution will not be accounted for in determining the outcome. If no acceptable data is available within 24 hours of the event's conclusion, this market will resolve 50-50, or to "Draw" where applicable.

Event-level hedge context · observed 7d flow
UpTheBlues2 linked markets · $52.2K gross
Flaznorp2 linked markets · $15.7K gross
0x1d9d…1e7e2 linked markets · $10 gross

Multi-market activity can be a hedge; do not read one leg as the wallet’s full thesis.

Evidence receipts

Timestamped alerts and their measured outcomes; losses and unavailable checks remain visible

LARGE FLOWBUY RC Celta de Vigo@ 9.0¢8h ago
15m STALLED -2.0pp1h INVALIDATED -5.0pp6h STALLED -2.0pp
Latest book event: Real Sociedad de Fútbol UP 14.5pp · near-book depth $1.1K → $1.5K · 2s

Outcome Price History

Executable orderbook · both outcomes
Loading executable orderbook…

Signals Trend

Market Analytics

LifecycleCanonical market state overrides the analytics stage after resolution. discovery/climax/resolving describe open-market analytics only; resolved/void are terminal states.resolving

Signed Order Flow

Directional flow: positive values favor RC Celta de Vigo; negative values favor Real Sociedad de Fútbol. Only trades with known BUY/SELL action are included.
1hReal Sociedad de Fútbol · $12.8K
6hReal Sociedad de Fútbol · $12.8K
24hRC Celta de Vigo · $11.1K

RC Celta de Vigo price VWAP

Volume-weighted RC Celta de Vigo price. Real Sociedad de Fútbol fills are converted to the complementary RC Celta de Vigo probability before aggregation. Distance from VWAP is displacement, not an overbought/oversold signal.
Current7.5¢
VWAP 24h30.4¢▼ below by 22.9pp
VWAP 7d30.4¢
Largest observed holdersActual token balances from Polymarket's holders endpoint. Coverage is limited to the top 20 holders per outcome; percentages are within the reported sample, not total supply.

Largest holders

Loading…

RC Celta de Vigo price Volume Profile · tracked 30d

95¢
$0
90¢
$0
85¢
$0
80¢
$0
75¢
$0
70¢
$0
65¢
$0
60¢
$0
55¢
$0
50¢
$5
45¢
$18.3K
40¢
$3.2K
35¢
$3.5K
30¢
$0
25¢
$0
20¢
$0
15¢
$0
10¢
$76
5¢
← now
$13.8K
0¢
$8

VPOC = 45¢ · highlighted bar = current price · blue bar = VPOC

Observed net position building

Loading…
Observed Tape · BUY/SELL shown outcome · retained 30dupdated less than a minute ago
Loading trades…
🐋 Large Trades$10,000+ · retained 30dBUY/SELL shown outcomeΔ now
BUYReal Sociedad de Fútbol$12.8K@ 93.0¢
Flaznorp0x821d…cf16
🐋—12 minutes ago

Related Markets · same event first, then category

1st Half Spread: Real Sociedad de Fútbol (-1.5)
17.5¢$148.6Kpriority0Opportunity priority — ranking score, not predicted return or edge
Will Crystal Palace win the 2026-27 English Premier League (EPL) Championship?
0.1¢$680.8Kpriority0Opportunity priority — ranking score, not predicted return or edge
Will Shakhtar Donetsk win the 2026-27 UEFA Champions League Championship?
0.1¢$419.1Kpriority0Opportunity priority — ranking score, not predicted return or edge
Will Boston Celtics win the 2027 NBA Finals?
4.5¢$344.6Kpriority0Opportunity priority — ranking score, not predicted return or edge
Will Coventry City win the 2026-27 English Premier League (EPL) Championship?
0.1¢$307.6Kpriority0Opportunity priority — ranking score, not predicted return or edge
Will Nottingham Forest win the 2026-27 English Premier League (EPL) Championship?
0.1¢$305.8Kpriority0Opportunity priority — ranking score, not predicted return or edge
Will Sunderland win the 2026-27 English Premier League (EPL) Championship?
0.1¢$296.5Kpriority0Opportunity priority — ranking score, not predicted return or edge
Will Hull City win the 2026-27 English Premier League (EPL) Championship?
0.1¢$277.5Kpriority0Opportunity priority — ranking score, not predicted return or edge

Observed whale buys · 7d

Aggregated BUY fills of $10K+ per wallet and outcome

UpTheBluesRC Celta de Vigo$25.0K
BUY VWAP 43.1¢·18 fills
FlaznorpReal Sociedad de Fútbol$13.8K
BUY VWAP 92.9¢·17 fills

Observed BUY activity; current holdings and position change may be unconfirmed.