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US Open WTA: Jessica Bouzas Maneiro vs Elena Rybakina

● quote just now
Sports→Closes: 6 daysLiquidity: $245.2KOfficial 24h Vol: $434.9KEvent: US Open WTA: Jessica Bouzas Maneiro vs Elena Rybakina
0.1¢
Jessica Bouzas Maneiro
100.0¢
Elena Rybakina
0.1¢
Spread
anomaly100Activity anomaly — current observed activity versus the market baselinedirection7Direction — strength and consistency of signed flow between the two outcomeswallets88Wallet quality — contribution from verified profitable non-bot walletsexecution99Execution — spread, depth and quote quality; not expected valuepriority0Opportunity priority — ranking score, not predicted return or edgedata 73%💡 10 smartMeasured profitable wallets: positive real PnL, 20+ trades, non-bot
24h sample:85 trades$140.6K tracked2% 🐋source coverage 32%BUY/SELL known 100%
tape 16 min agoofficial metadata 1 min ago
Profitable-wallet flow · 7d:Elena Rybakina · $51.6K net·10 wallets(1🐋)·$58.5K gross
Largest observed trade · 30d:BUYElena Rybakina$14.2K@ 84¢·0x076d…8d4c

Decision read

Evidence and execution checklist — not a trade recommendation

TOO LATE — DO NOT CHASE
What the tape says

Elena Rybakina pressure: $9.2K net directional flow in 1h.

1h
−$9.2K
6h
−$79.9K
tracked
$140.6K

10 verified profitable wallets: Elena Rybakina · $51.6K net over 7d.

Can it be executed?
0.1¢displayed spread

Tight displayed spread; depth and partial-fill risk still matter.

Data confidence 73% · priority 0

Since latest large flow: +16.0pp at executable prices.

Priority ranks review urgency; it is not probability or expected value.

Risks / missing evidence
  • •Price is near 0/100¢; headline flow can have little remaining payoff.
  • •Observed tape is 16 minutes old.
  • •Executable BUY price moved 16.0pp since the latest alert; its original entry no longer exists.

The read weakens if 1h flow flips away from Elena Rybakina or execution deteriorates.

Resolution & market truth

Verify what settles the market before reading flow as a thesis

Resolution
OPEN
Trading
Orders accepted
Deadline
2026-09-10 15:00 UTC
Event constraint
Not verified
Resolution source: https://www.wtatennis.com/scores
Read full resolution rules

This market refers to the tennis match between Jessica Bouzas Maneiro and Elena Rybakina in the US Open WTA, originally scheduled for September 3, 2026 at 11:00AM ET. This market will resolve to 'Jessica Bouzas Maneiro' if Jessica Bouzas Maneiro advances against Elena Rybakina. This market will resolve to 'Elena Rybakina' if Elena Rybakina advances against Jessica Bouzas Maneiro. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or a winner has not been determined by September 17, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the WTA Tour. A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

Evidence receipts

Timestamped alerts and their measured outcomes; losses and unavailable checks remain visible

LARGE FLOWBUY Elena Rybakina@ 84.0¢2h ago
15m STALLED -2.0pp1h CONFIRMED +7.0pp
LARGE FLOWBUY Elena Rybakina@ 84.0¢5h ago
15m STALLED -1.0pp1h STALLED -2.0pp
Latest book event: Elena Rybakina DOWN 3.0pp · near-book depth $30.7K → $9.4K · 41s

Outcome Price History

Executable orderbook · both outcomes
Loading executable orderbook…

Signals Trend

Market Analytics

LifecycleCanonical market state overrides the analytics stage after resolution. discovery/climax/resolving describe open-market analytics only; resolved/void are terminal states.climax

Signed Order Flow

Directional flow: positive values favor Jessica Bouzas Maneiro; negative values favor Elena Rybakina. Only trades with known BUY/SELL action are included.
1hElena Rybakina · $9.2K
6hElena Rybakina · $79.9K
24hElena Rybakina · $78.8K

Jessica Bouzas Maneiro price VWAP

Volume-weighted Jessica Bouzas Maneiro price. Elena Rybakina fills are converted to the complementary Jessica Bouzas Maneiro probability before aggregation. Distance from VWAP is displacement, not an overbought/oversold signal.
Current0.1¢
VWAP 24h10.4¢▼ below by 10.4pp
VWAP 7d10.7¢
Largest observed holdersActual token balances from Polymarket's holders endpoint. Coverage is limited to the top 20 holders per outcome; percentages are within the reported sample, not total supply.

Largest holders

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Jessica Bouzas Maneiro price Volume Profile · tracked 30d

95¢
$0
90¢
$0
85¢
$0
80¢
$0
75¢
$0
70¢
$0
65¢
$0
60¢
$0
55¢
$0
50¢
$0
45¢
$0
40¢
$0
35¢
$0
30¢
$0
25¢
$0
20¢
$2.0K
15¢
$74.9K
10¢
$3.6K
5¢
$35.7K
0¢
← now
$31.8K

VPOC = 15¢ · highlighted bar = current price · blue bar = VPOC

Observed net position building

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Observed Tape · BUY/SELL shown outcome · retained 30dupdated less than a minute ago
Loading trades…
🐋 Large Trades$10,000+ · retained 30dBUY/SELL shown outcomeΔ now
BUYElena Rybakina$11.4K@ 84.0¢0x076d…8d4c🐋—about 2 hours ago
BUYElena Rybakina$14.2K@ 84.0¢0x076d…8d4c🐋—about 6 hours ago

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Observed whale buys · 7d

Aggregated BUY fills of $10K+ per wallet and outcome

0x076d…8d4cElena Rybakina$41.9K
BUY VWAP 83.6¢·6 fills
hd777Elena Rybakina$14.1K
BUY VWAP 94.9¢·2 fills

Observed BUY activity; current holdings and position change may be unconfirmed.