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South Africa Tour of Namibia ODIs: Namibia vs South Africa

● quote just now
Sports→Closes: 7 daysLiquidity: $41.5KOfficial 24h Vol: $5.7KEvent: South Africa Tour of Namibia ODIs: Namibia vs South Africa
4.4¢
Namibia
95.6¢
South Africa
0.8¢
Spread
anomaly100Activity anomaly — current observed activity versus the market baselinedirection24Direction — strength and consistency of signed flow between the two outcomeswallets0Wallet quality — contribution from verified profitable non-bot walletsexecution84Execution — spread, depth and quote quality; not expected valuepriority0Opportunity priority — ranking score, not predicted return or edgedata 90%
24h sample:9 trades$24.7K tracked11% 🐋source coverage 100%BUY/SELL known 100%
tape 23 min agoofficial metadata 5 min ago
Largest observed trade · 30d:BUYSouth Africa$17.4K@ 87¢·mikesports

Decision read

Evidence and execution checklist — not a trade recommendation

WAIT — EVIDENCE TOO THIN
What the tape says

South Africa pressure: $6.0K net directional flow in 1h.

1h
−$6.0K
6h
−$22.1K
tracked
$24.7K

No verified profitable-wallet confirmation in the observed sample.

Can it be executed?
0.8¢displayed spread

Tight displayed spread; depth and partial-fill risk still matter.

Data confidence 90% · priority 0

Priority ranks review urgency; it is not probability or expected value.

Risks / missing evidence
  • •Observed tape is 23 minutes old.

The read weakens if 1h flow flips away from South Africa or execution deteriorates.

Resolution & market truth

Verify what settles the market before reading flow as a thesis

Resolution
OPEN
Trading
Orders accepted
Deadline
2026-09-16 03:30 UTC
Event constraint
Not verified
Resolution source: https://www.espncricinfo.com/
Read full resolution rules

This market refers to the cricket match between Namibia and South Africa scheduled for September 9 2026 in South Africa Tour of Namibia ODIs. DLS/DRS, over-rate penalties, forfeit/walkover, or any other on-field ruling that leads the competition to declare a winner are treated as ordinary wins. If the match ends tied and the playing conditions provide an on-field tiebreak (e.g., Super Over), the winner determined by that tiebreak will be used for resolution. If the match ends tied and no on-field tiebreak is used or available under the playing conditions (e.g., group-stage ODI with no Super Over), the market will resolve 50-50. If the match is postponed/rescheduled, the market remains open until the listed fixture is completed. If the match is permanently canceled or abandoned or otherwise is completed without a winner, the market resolves 50-50. The primary resolution source for this market is the official statistics of the event as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. However, if the governing body or event organizers have not published final match statistics within 2 hours after the event's conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead.

Evidence receipts

Timestamped alerts and their measured outcomes; losses and unavailable checks remain visible

No decision-grade alert has been emitted for this market yet.

Outcome Price History

Executable orderbook · both outcomes
Loading executable orderbook…

Signals Trend

Market Analytics

Signed Order Flow

Directional flow: positive values favor Namibia; negative values favor South Africa. Only trades with known BUY/SELL action are included.
1hSouth Africa · $6.0K
6hSouth Africa · $22.1K
24hSouth Africa · $22.1K

Namibia price VWAP

Volume-weighted Namibia price. South Africa fills are converted to the complementary Namibia probability before aggregation. Distance from VWAP is displacement, not an overbought/oversold signal.
Current4.4¢
VWAP 24h10.3¢▼ below by 5.9pp
VWAP 7d10.3¢
Largest observed holdersActual token balances from Polymarket's holders endpoint. Coverage is limited to the top 20 holders per outcome; percentages are within the reported sample, not total supply.

Largest holders

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Namibia price Volume Profile · tracked 30d

95¢
$0
90¢
$0
85¢
$0
80¢
$0
75¢
$0
70¢
$0
65¢
$0
60¢
$0
55¢
$0
50¢
$0
45¢
$0
40¢
$0
35¢
$0
30¢
$0
25¢
$0
20¢
$0
15¢
$0
10¢
$18.7K
5¢
$15
0¢
← now
$6.0K

VPOC = 10¢ · highlighted bar = current price · blue bar = VPOC

Observed net position building

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Observed Tape · BUY/SELL shown outcome · retained 30dupdated less than a minute ago
Loading trades…
🐋 Large Trades$10,000+ · retained 30dBUY/SELL shown outcomeΔ now
BUYSouth Africa$17.4K@ 87.0¢
mikesports0x7d92…8676
🐋—about 2 hours ago

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Observed whale buys · 7d

Aggregated BUY fills of $10K+ per wallet and outcome

mikesportsSouth Africa$17.4K
BUY VWAP 87.0¢·2 fills

Observed BUY activity; current holdings and position change may be unconfirmed.