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Blackhawks vs. Golden Knights

● quote 13s ago
Sports→Closes: about 4 hoursLiquidity: $227.7KOfficial 24h Vol: $116.9KEvent: Blackhawks vs. Golden Knights
29.5¢
Blackhawks
70.5¢
Golden Knights
1.0¢
Spread
anomaly0Activity anomaly — current observed activity versus the market baselinedirection0Direction — strength and consistency of signed flow between the two outcomeswallets33Wallet quality — contribution from verified profitable non-bot walletsexecution93Execution — spread, depth and quote quality; not expected valuepriority0Opportunity priority — ranking score, not predicted return or edgedata 61%💡 1 smartMeasured profitable wallets: positive real PnL, 20+ trades, non-bot
24h sample:4 trades$51.3K tracked75% 🐋source coverage 44%BUY/SELL known 100%
tape 82 min agoofficial metadata 2 min ago
Largest observed trade · 30d:BUYBlackhawks$18.8K@ 30¢·viboomchuu

Decision read

Evidence and execution checklist — not a trade recommendation

WAIT — EVIDENCE TOO THIN
What the tape says

No material 1h direction in the tracked BUY/SELL sample.

1h
$0
6h
−$12.1K
tracked
$51.3K

1 verified profitable wallet: Golden Knights · $31.0K net over 7d.

Can it be executed?
1.0¢displayed spread

Tight displayed spread; depth and partial-fill risk still matter.

Data confidence 61% · priority 0

Since latest large flow: +0.0pp at executable prices.

Priority ranks review urgency; it is not probability or expected value.

Risks / missing evidence
  • •Observed tape is 82 minutes old.
  • •Less than 4h remains; resolution risk is elevated.

Stronger read requires meaningful signed flow plus confirmation across distinct observed wallets.

Resolution & market truth

Verify what settles the market before reading flow as a thesis

Resolution
OPEN
Trading
Orders accepted
Deadline
2026-09-30 02:30 UTC
Event constraint
Not verified
Resolution source: https://www.nhl.com/scores
Outcome meaning

•If the Blackhawks win, the market will resolve to "Blackhawks".

•If the Golden Knights win, the market will resolve to "Golden Knights".

Read full resolution rules

In the upcoming NHL game, scheduled for September 29 at 10:30PM ET: If the Blackhawks win, the market will resolve to "Blackhawks". If the Golden Knights win, the market will resolve to "Golden Knights". If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed. If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this market will resolve 50-50. The result will be determined based on the final score including any overtime periods and shootouts. In the event of a shootout, one goal will be added to the winning team's score for the purpose of resolution.

Evidence receipts

Timestamped alerts and their measured outcomes; losses and unavailable checks remain visible

LARGE FLOWBUY Golden Knights@ 71.0¢1h ago
15m STALLED -1.0pp1h STALLED -1.0pp
LARGE FLOWBUY Blackhawks@ 31.0¢2h ago
15m STALLED -1.0pp1h STALLED -2.0pp

Outcome Price History

Executable orderbook · both outcomes
Loading executable orderbook…

Signals Trend

Market Analytics

LifecycleCanonical market state overrides the analytics stage after resolution. discovery/climax/resolving describe open-market analytics only; resolved/void are terminal states.resolving

Signed Order Flow

Directional flow: positive values favor Blackhawks; negative values favor Golden Knights. Only trades with known BUY/SELL action are included.
1hBlackhawks · $0
6hGolden Knights · $12.1K
24hGolden Knights · $13.6K

Blackhawks price VWAP

Volume-weighted Blackhawks price. Golden Knights fills are converted to the complementary Blackhawks probability before aggregation. Distance from VWAP is displacement, not an overbought/oversold signal.
Current29.5¢
VWAP 24h30.0¢▼ below by 0.5pp
VWAP 7d30.0¢
Largest observed holdersActual token balances from Polymarket's holders endpoint. Coverage is limited to the top 20 holders per outcome; percentages are within the reported sample, not total supply.

Largest holders

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Blackhawks price Volume Profile · tracked 30d

95¢
$0
90¢
$0
85¢
$0
80¢
$0
75¢
$0
70¢
$0
65¢
$0
60¢
$0
55¢
$0
50¢
$0
45¢
$0
40¢
$0
35¢
$0
30¢
$32.4K
25¢
← now
$18.8K
20¢
$0
15¢
$0
10¢
$0
5¢
$0
0¢
$0

VPOC = 30¢ · highlighted bar = current price · blue bar = VPOC

Observed net position building

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Observed Tape · BUY/SELL shown outcome · retained 30dupdated less than a minute ago
Loading trades…
🐋 Large Trades$10,000+ · retained 30dBUY/SELL shown outcomeΔ now
BUYGolden Knights$18.5K@ 70.0¢
maz260x6754…e3bc
🐋—about 1 hour ago
BUYGolden Knights$12.4K@ 70.0¢
maz260x6754…e3bc
🐋—about 2 hours ago
BUYBlackhawks$18.8K@ 29.9¢
viboomchuu0x291d…1f97
🐋—about 3 hours ago

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Observed whale buys · 7d

Aggregated BUY fills of $10K+ per wallet and outcome

maz26Golden Knights$31.0K
BUY VWAP 70.0¢·2 fills
viboomchuuBlackhawks$18.8K
BUY VWAP 29.9¢·1 fill

Observed BUY activity; current holdings and position change may be unconfirmed.