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Will Miami Hurricanes advance to the 2026 ACC Championship Game?

● quote 1 min ago
Sports→American FootballCloses: about 1 monthLiquidity: $2.8KOfficial 24h Vol: $19.3KEvent: NCAA Football: Team to Qualify for 2026 ACC Championship Game

Indicative prices · 1 min ago · Buy/sell quotes are shown in the orderbook.

89.0¢
YES
11.0¢
NO
2.0¢
Spread
anomaly0Activity anomaly — current observed activity versus the market baselinedirection0Direction — strength and consistency of signed flow between the two outcomeswallets33Wallet quality — contribution from verified profitable non-bot walletsexecution61Execution — spread, depth and quote quality; not expected valuepriority0Opportunity priority — ranking score, not predicted return or edgedata 71%💡 1 smartMeasured profitable wallets: positive real PnL, 20+ trades, non-bot
24h sample:1 trades$16.3K tracked100% 🐋source coverage 85%BUY/SELL known 100%
tape 938 min agoofficial metadata 11 min ago
Largest observed trade · 30d:BUYYES$16.3K@ 87¢·iDARKenjoyer

Decision read

Evidence and execution checklist — not a trade recommendation

WAIT — EVIDENCE TOO THIN
What the tape says

No material 1h direction in the tracked BUY/SELL sample.

1h
$0
6h
$0
tracked
$16.3K

1 verified profitable wallet: YES · $16.3K net over 7d.

Can it be executed?
2.0¢displayed spread

Workable spread; verify depth and the $10K slippage estimate below.

Data confidence 71% · priority 0

Priority ranks review urgency; it is not probability or expected value.

Risks / missing evidence
  • •Only 1 tracked trades / 1 wallets in the 24h sample.
  • •Observed tape is 938 minutes old.

Stronger read requires meaningful signed flow plus confirmation across distinct observed wallets.

Resolution & market truth

Verify what settles the market before reading flow as a thesis

Resolution
OPEN
Trading
Orders accepted
Deadline
2026-12-06 23:59 UTC
Event constraint
Not verified
Resolution source: Not supplied by the market
Outcome meaning

•This market will resolve “Yes” if the listed team reaches the 2026 ACC Championship Game.

•If at any point it becomes impossible for the listed team to advance to the 2026 ACC Championship Game (e.g. they are mathematically eliminated), the associated market will resolve to "No".

Read full resolution rules

This market will resolve “Yes” if the listed team reaches the 2026 ACC Championship Game. If at any point it becomes impossible for the listed team to advance to the 2026 ACC Championship Game (e.g. they are mathematically eliminated), the associated market will resolve to "No". If the 2026 ACC Championship Game is cancelled, postponed after January 15, 2027, 11:59 PM ET or the 2026 ACC Championship Game matchup has not been declared within that timeframe, this market will resolve to “No”. The resolution source for this market will be official information from the ACC; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

Evidence receipts

Timestamped alerts and their measured outcomes; losses and unavailable checks remain visible

LARGE FLOWBUY YES@ 90.0¢15h ago
15m INVALIDATED -3.0pp1h INVALIDATED -3.0pp6h INVALIDATED -3.0pp

Outcome Price History

Executable orderbook · both outcomes
Loading executable orderbook…

Market Analytics

Signed Order Flow

Directional flow: positive values favor YES; negative values favor NO. Only trades with known BUY/SELL action are included.
1hYES · $0
6hYES · $0
24hYES · $16.3K

YES price VWAP

Volume-weighted YES price. NO fills are converted to the complementary YES probability before aggregation. Distance from VWAP is displacement, not an overbought/oversold signal.
Current89.0¢
VWAP 24h87.0¢▲ above by 2.0pp
VWAP 7d87.0¢
Largest observed holdersActual token balances from Polymarket's holders endpoint. Coverage is limited to the top 20 holders per outcome; percentages are within the reported sample, not total supply.

Largest holders

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YES price Volume Profile · tracked 30d

95¢
$0
90¢
$0
85¢
← now
$16.3K
80¢
$0
75¢
$0
70¢
$0
65¢
$0
60¢
$0
55¢
$0
50¢
$0
45¢
$0
40¢
$0
35¢
$0
30¢
$0
25¢
$0
20¢
$0
15¢
$0
10¢
$0
5¢
$0
0¢
$0

VPOC = 85¢ · highlighted bar = current price · blue bar = VPOC

Observed net position building

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Observed Tape · BUY/SELL shown outcome · retained 30dupdated less than a minute ago
Loading trades…
🐋 Large Trades$10,000+ · retained 30dBUY/SELL shown outcomeΔ now
BUYYES$16.3K@ 87.0¢
iDARKenjoyer0xf68a…5b1b
🐋—about 16 hours ago

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Observed whale buys · 7d

Aggregated BUY fills of $10K+ per wallet and outcome

iDARKenjoyerYes$16.3K
BUY VWAP 87.0¢·1 fill

Observed BUY activity; current holdings and position change may be unconfirmed.