PolyScope
ScreenerCategoriesEventsLarge TradesWallets🐋 Top Whales⚡ Early MoversSignalsSmart MoneyPortfolioWatchlist🔔 Alerts

US Open ATP: Alexander Bublik vs Tommy Paul

● quote just now
Sports→Closes: 7 daysLiquidity: $194.8KOfficial 24h Vol: $111.7KEvent: US Open ATP: Alexander Bublik vs Tommy Paul
38.5¢
Alexander Bublik
61.5¢
Tommy Paul
1.0¢
Spread
anomaly0Activity anomaly — current observed activity versus the market baselinedirection0Direction — strength and consistency of signed flow between the two outcomeswallets0Wallet quality — contribution from verified profitable non-bot walletsexecution93Execution — spread, depth and quote quality; not expected valuepriority0Opportunity priority — ranking score, not predicted return or edgedata 60%
24h sample:7 trades$46.1K tracked29% 🐋source coverage 41%BUY/SELL known 100%
tape 79 min agoofficial metadata just now
Largest observed trade · 30d:BUYTommy Paul$10.0K@ 63¢·Cuco84

Decision read

Evidence and execution checklist — not a trade recommendation

WAIT — EVIDENCE TOO THIN
What the tape says

No material 1h direction in the tracked BUY/SELL sample.

1h
$0
6h
+$26.6K
tracked
$46.1K

No verified profitable-wallet confirmation in the observed sample.

Can it be executed?
1.0¢displayed spread

Tight displayed spread; depth and partial-fill risk still matter.

Data confidence 60% · priority 0

Since latest large flow: -1.0pp at executable prices.

Priority ranks review urgency; it is not probability or expected value.

Risks / missing evidence
  • •Observed tape is 79 minutes old.

Stronger read requires meaningful signed flow plus confirmation across distinct observed wallets.

Resolution & market truth

Verify what settles the market before reading flow as a thesis

Resolution
OPEN
Trading
Orders accepted
Deadline
2026-09-11 15:00 UTC
Event constraint
Not verified
Resolution source: https://www.atptour.com/en/scores/current
Read full resolution rules

This market refers to the tennis match between Alexander Bublik and Tommy Paul in the US Open ATP, originally scheduled for September 4, 2026 at 11:00AM ET. This market will resolve to 'Alexander Bublik' if Alexander Bublik advances against Tommy Paul. This market will resolve to 'Tommy Paul' if Tommy Paul advances against Alexander Bublik. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or a winner has not been determined by September 18, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the ATP Tour. A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

Evidence receipts

Timestamped alerts and their measured outcomes; losses and unavailable checks remain visible

LARGE FLOWBUY Alexander Bublik@ 40.0¢1h ago
15m STALLED -1.0pp1h STALLED -2.0pp

Outcome Price History

Executable orderbook · both outcomes
Loading executable orderbook…

Signals Trend

Market Analytics

Signed Order Flow

Directional flow: positive values favor Alexander Bublik; negative values favor Tommy Paul. Only trades with known BUY/SELL action are included.
1hAlexander Bublik · $0
6hAlexander Bublik · $26.6K
24hAlexander Bublik · $9.5K

Alexander Bublik price VWAP

Volume-weighted Alexander Bublik price. Tommy Paul fills are converted to the complementary Alexander Bublik probability before aggregation. Distance from VWAP is displacement, not an overbought/oversold signal.
Current38.5¢
VWAP 24h39.2¢▼ below by 0.7pp
VWAP 7d39.2¢
Largest observed holdersActual token balances from Polymarket's holders endpoint. Coverage is limited to the top 20 holders per outcome; percentages are within the reported sample, not total supply.

Largest holders

Loading…

Alexander Bublik price Volume Profile · tracked 30d

95¢
$0
90¢
$0
85¢
$0
80¢
$0
75¢
$0
70¢
$0
65¢
$0
60¢
$0
55¢
$0
50¢
$0
45¢
$0
40¢
$26.6K
35¢
← now
$19.5K
30¢
$0
25¢
$0
20¢
$0
15¢
$0
10¢
$0
5¢
$0
0¢
$0

VPOC = 40¢ · highlighted bar = current price · blue bar = VPOC

Observed net position building

Loading…
Observed Tape · BUY/SELL shown outcome · retained 30dupdated less than a minute ago
Loading trades…
🐋 Large Trades$10,000+ · retained 30dBUY/SELL shown outcomeΔ now
BUYAlexander Bublik$10.0K@ 40.8¢0x5f65…2036🐋—about 1 hour ago
BUYTommy Paul$10.0K@ 63.1¢
Cuco840xf3b0…23a1
🐋—about 19 hours ago

Related Markets · same event first, then category

LoL: KT Rolster vs Dplus KIA - Game 1 Winner
100.0¢$2.3Mpriority0Opportunity priority — ranking score, not predicted return or edge
LoL: KT Rolster vs Dplus KIA (BO5) - LCK Playoffs
24.5¢$1.9Mpriority49Opportunity priority — ranking score, not predicted return or edge
LoL: KT Rolster vs Dplus KIA - Game 2 Winner
0.1¢$921.6Kpriority0Opportunity priority — ranking score, not predicted return or edge
Will Crystal Palace win the 2026-27 English Premier League (EPL) Championship?
0.1¢$680.8Kpriority0Opportunity priority — ranking score, not predicted return or edge
LoL: Anyone's Legend vs LGD Gaming (BO5) - LPL Playoffs
63.5¢$642.0Kpriority0Opportunity priority — ranking score, not predicted return or edge
LoL: KT Rolster vs Dplus KIA - Game 3 Winner
8.5¢$519.4Kpriority35Opportunity priority — ranking score, not predicted return or edge
US Open ATP: Yibing Wu vs Carlos Alcaraz
6.5¢$512.0Kpriority60Opportunity priority — ranking score, not predicted return or edge
LoL: Anyone's Legend vs LGD Gaming - Game 1 Winner
0.1¢$497.9Kpriority0Opportunity priority — ranking score, not predicted return or edge

Observed whale buys · 7d

Aggregated BUY fills of $10K+ per wallet and outcome

0x5f65…2036Alexander Bublik$26.5K
BUY VWAP 40.5¢·3 fills
Cuco84Tommy Paul$10.0K
BUY VWAP 63.1¢·1 fill

Observed BUY activity; current holdings and position change may be unconfirmed.