PolyScope
ScreenerCategoriesEventsLarge TradesWallets🐋 Top Whales⚡ Early MoversSignalsSmart MoneyPortfolioWatchlist🔔 Alerts

Phoenix Mercury vs. Portland Fire

Sports→Settlement: Phoenix MercuryLiquidity: $315.5KOfficial 24h Vol: $513.5KEvent: Phoenix Mercury vs. Portland Fire
100.0¢
Phoenix Mercury payout
0.0¢
Portland Fire payout
Historical analytics · no executable quote
Profitable-wallet flow · 7d:Phoenix Mercury · $18.9K net·11 wallets·$36.0K gross
Largest observed trade · 30d:BUYPortland Fire$18.1K@ 42¢·winwin518168

Historical decision record

Market resolved · outcome Phoenix Mercury. Flow, alerts and prices below are retained evidence, not an executable setup.

RESOLVED

Resolution & market truth

Verify what settles the market before reading flow as a thesis

Resolution
RESOLVED
Trading
Orders paused
Deadline
2026-09-18 02:00 UTC
Event constraint
Not verified
Resolution source: https://www.wnba.com/scores
Outcome meaning

•If the Phoenix Mercury win, the market will resolve to "Phoenix Mercury".

•If the Portland Fire win, the market will resolve to "Portland Fire".

Read full resolution rules

In the upcoming WNBA game, scheduled for September 17 at 10:00PM ET: If the Phoenix Mercury win, the market will resolve to "Phoenix Mercury". If the Portland Fire win, the market will resolve to "Portland Fire". If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed. If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this market will resolve 50-50. The result will be determined based on the final score including any overtime periods.

Evidence receipts

Timestamped alerts and their measured outcomes; losses and unavailable checks remain visible

ANTI CHASEBUY Portland Fire3d ago
Outcome checks pending
MARKET SWEEPBUY Portland Fire@ 60.0¢3d ago
15m CONFIRMED +8.0pp1h INVALIDATED -31.0pp6h UNAVAILABLE24h UNAVAILABLE
LARGE FLOWBUY Portland Fire@ 42.0¢3d ago
15m STALLED -1.0pp1h STALLED -1.0pp6h UNAVAILABLE24h UNAVAILABLE

Outcome Price History

Execution status
Market resolved · the orderbook is not executable.

Market Analytics

LifecycleCanonical market state overrides the analytics stage after resolution. discovery/climax/resolving describe open-market analytics only; resolved/void are terminal states.resolved

Signed Order Flow

Directional flow: positive values favor Phoenix Mercury; negative values favor Portland Fire. Only trades with known BUY/SELL action are included.
1hPhoenix Mercury · $14.3K
6hPortland Fire · $41.6K
24hPortland Fire · $32.8K

Phoenix Mercury price VWAP

Volume-weighted Phoenix Mercury price. Portland Fire fills are converted to the complementary Phoenix Mercury probability before aggregation. Distance from VWAP is displacement, not an overbought/oversold signal.
Current100.0¢
VWAP 24h62.9¢▲ above by 37.1pp
VWAP 7d62.3¢
Largest observed holdersActual token balances from Polymarket's holders endpoint. Coverage is limited to the top 20 holders per outcome; percentages are within the reported sample, not total supply.

Largest holders

Loading…

Phoenix Mercury price Volume Profile · tracked 30d

95¢
← now
$38.7K
90¢
$2.7K
85¢
$167
80¢
$9.4K
75¢
$11.8K
70¢
$533
65¢
$270
60¢
$6.2K
55¢
$48.0K
50¢
$13.0K
45¢
$19.4K
40¢
$2.0K
35¢
$8.6K
30¢
$279
25¢
$28.6K
20¢
$78
15¢
$0
10¢
$0
5¢
$0
0¢
$0

VPOC = 55¢ · highlighted bar = current price · blue bar = VPOC

Observed net position building

Loading…
Historical observed tape · BUY/SELL shown outcome · retained 30dupdated less than a minute ago
Loading trades…
🐋 Large Trades$10,000+ · retained 30dBUY/SELL shown outcomeΔ now
BUYPortland Fire$14.8K@ 72.6¢
kkookkoo0x26b4…b8a9
🐋—3 days ago
BUYPortland Fire$18.1K@ 41.8¢
winwin5181680x6820…1c19
🐋—3 days ago

Related Markets · same event first, then category

Will Crystal Palace win the 2026-27 English Premier League (EPL) Championship?
0.1¢$680.8Kpriority0Opportunity priority — ranking score, not predicted return or edge
Spread: Chiefs (-6.5)
46.5¢$669.8Kpriority0Opportunity priority — ranking score, not predicted return or edge
Colts vs. Chiefs
28.5¢$631.9Kpriority78Opportunity priority — ranking score, not predicted return or edge
Will Shakhtar Donetsk win the 2026-27 UEFA Champions League Championship?
0.1¢$428.1Kpriority0Opportunity priority — ranking score, not predicted return or edge
LoL: Team Liquid vs FlyQuest - Game 1 Winner
100.0¢$386.3Kpriority0Opportunity priority — ranking score, not predicted return or edge
LoL: Team Liquid vs FlyQuest (BO5) - LCS Playoffs
96.4¢$386.0Kpriority57Opportunity priority — ranking score, not predicted return or edge
Will Boston Celtics win the 2027 NBA Finals?
4.5¢$344.6Kpriority0Opportunity priority — ranking score, not predicted return or edge
Counter-Strike: BakS eSports vs Black Phoenix (BO3) - CCT Europe Series #9 Group Stage
79.5¢$328.2Kpriority0Opportunity priority — ranking score, not predicted return or edge

Observed whale buys · 7d

Aggregated BUY fills of $10K+ per wallet and outcome

kkookkooPortland Fire$33.4K
BUY VWAP 69.4¢·4 fills
winwin518168Portland Fire$23.1K
BUY VWAP 42.1¢·2 fills
takeormakePhoenix Mercury$14.2K
BUY VWAP 82.2¢·3 fills
RebornAthenaPhoenix Mercury$13.0K
BUY VWAP 47.6¢·3 fills
BIAVNPhoenix Mercury$11.1K
BUY VWAP 99.0¢·2 fills
0XbitfishPortland Fire$10.9K
BUY VWAP 42.8¢·2 fills

Observed BUY activity; current holdings and position change may be unconfirmed.