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Plovdiv 3: Georgii Kravchenko vs Dusan Obradovic

● quote just now
Sports→Closes: 7 daysLiquidity: $94.0KOfficial 24h Vol: $182.8KEvent: Plovdiv 3: Georgii Kravchenko vs Dusan Obradovic
100.0¢
Georgii Kravchenko
0.1¢
Dusan Obradovic
0.1¢
Spread
anomaly100Activity anomaly — current observed activity versus the market baselinedirection26Direction — strength and consistency of signed flow between the two outcomeswallets86Wallet quality — contribution from verified profitable non-bot walletsexecution94Execution — spread, depth and quote quality; not expected valuepriority0Opportunity priority — ranking score, not predicted return or edgedata 78%💡 6 smartMeasured profitable wallets: positive real PnL, 20+ trades, non-bot
24h sample:70 trades$94.2K tracked3% 🐋source coverage 51%BUY/SELL known 100%
tape 12 min agoofficial metadata just now
Profitable-wallet flow · 7d:Georgii Kravchenko · $14.2K net·6 wallets(1🐋)·$16.6K gross
Largest observed trade · 30d:BUYDusan Obradovic$20.0K@ 71¢·0x78be…bde0

Decision read

Evidence and execution checklist — not a trade recommendation

WAIT — EVIDENCE TOO THIN
What the tape says

Georgii Kravchenko pressure: $24.9K net directional flow in 1h.

1h
+$24.9K
6h
+$2.2K
tracked
$94.2K

6 verified profitable wallets: Georgii Kravchenko · $14.2K net over 7d.

Can it be executed?
0.1¢displayed spread

Tight displayed spread; depth and partial-fill risk still matter.

Data confidence 78% · priority 0

Since latest large flow: -70.9pp at executable prices.

Priority ranks review urgency; it is not probability or expected value.

Risks / missing evidence
  • •Price is near 0/100¢; headline flow can have little remaining payoff.
  • •Observed tape is 12 minutes old.

The read weakens if 1h flow flips away from Georgii Kravchenko or execution deteriorates.

Resolution & market truth

Verify what settles the market before reading flow as a thesis

Resolution
OPEN
Trading
Orders accepted
Deadline
2026-09-12 08:00 UTC
Event constraint
Not verified
Resolution source: https://www.atptour.com/en/scores/current
Read full resolution rules

This market refers to the tennis match between Georgii Kravchenko and Dusan Obradovic in the Plovdiv 3, originally scheduled for September 5, 2026 at 4:00AM ET. This market will resolve to 'Georgii Kravchenko' if Georgii Kravchenko advances against Dusan Obradovic. This market will resolve to 'Dusan Obradovic' if Dusan Obradovic advances against Georgii Kravchenko. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or a winner has not been determined by September 19, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the ATP Tour. A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

Evidence receipts

Timestamped alerts and their measured outcomes; losses and unavailable checks remain visible

ANTI CHASEBUY Dusan Obradovic1h ago
Outcome checks pending
LARGE FLOWBUY Dusan Obradovic@ 71.0¢1h ago
15m CONFIRMED +3.0pp1h INVALIDATED -57.0pp
Latest book event: Georgii Kravchenko UP 4.0pp · near-book depth $46.5K → $39.4K · 33s

Outcome Price History

Executable orderbook · both outcomes
Loading executable orderbook…

Signals Trend

Market Analytics

Signed Order Flow

Directional flow: positive values favor Georgii Kravchenko; negative values favor Dusan Obradovic. Only trades with known BUY/SELL action are included.
1hGeorgii Kravchenko · $24.9K
6hGeorgii Kravchenko · $2.2K
24hGeorgii Kravchenko · $2.2K

Georgii Kravchenko price VWAP

Volume-weighted Georgii Kravchenko price. Dusan Obradovic fills are converted to the complementary Georgii Kravchenko probability before aggregation. Distance from VWAP is displacement, not an overbought/oversold signal.
Current100.0¢
VWAP 24h61.5¢▲ above by 38.5pp
VWAP 7d61.5¢
Largest observed holdersActual token balances from Polymarket's holders endpoint. Coverage is limited to the top 20 holders per outcome; percentages are within the reported sample, not total supply.

Largest holders

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Georgii Kravchenko price Volume Profile · tracked 30d

95¢
← now
$230
90¢
$7
85¢
$15.8K
80¢
$23.3K
75¢
$0
70¢
$0
65¢
$10.2K
60¢
$10.5K
55¢
$38
50¢
$200
45¢
$4.4K
40¢
$0
35¢
$7
30¢
$2.6K
25¢
$27.0K
20¢
$0
15¢
$0
10¢
$0
5¢
$0
0¢
$0

VPOC = 25¢ · highlighted bar = current price · blue bar = VPOC

Observed net position building

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Observed Tape · BUY/SELL shown outcome · retained 30dupdated less than a minute ago
Loading trades…
🐋 Large Trades$10,000+ · retained 30dBUY/SELL shown outcomeΔ now
BUYGeorgii Kravchenko$14.7K@ 84.0¢
paquitomillonario0x04e6…3914
🐋—32 minutes ago
BUYDusan Obradovic$20.0K@ 71.3¢0x78be…bde0🐋—about 1 hour ago

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Observed whale buys · 7d

Aggregated BUY fills of $10K+ per wallet and outcome

0x78be…bde0Dusan Obradovic$20.0K
BUY VWAP 71.3¢·1 fill
paquitomillonarioGeorgii Kravchenko$14.7K
BUY VWAP 84.0¢·1 fill
0xa0f2…1848Georgii Kravchenko$11.3K
BUY VWAP 84.4¢·7 fills

Observed BUY activity; current holdings and position change may be unconfirmed.