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LoL: T1 vs Dplus KIA - Game 1 Winner

● quote just now
Sports→Closes: about 3 hoursLiquidity: $288.6KOfficial 24h Vol: $1.1MEvent: LoL: T1 vs Dplus KIA (BO5) - LCK Playoffs
100.0¢
T1
0.1¢
Dplus KIA
0.1¢
Spread
anomaly100Activity anomaly — current observed activity versus the market baselinedirection17Direction — strength and consistency of signed flow between the two outcomeswallets6Wallet quality — contribution from verified profitable non-bot walletsexecution99Execution — spread, depth and quote quality; not expected valuepriority0Opportunity priority — ranking score, not predicted return or edgedata 88%💡 33 smartMeasured profitable wallets: positive real PnL, 20+ trades, non-bot
24h sample:481 trades$561.1K tracked2% 🐋source coverage 52%BUY/SELL known 100%
tape 4 min agoofficial metadata 4 min ago
Profitable-wallet flow · 7d:T1 · $11.7K net·33 wallets(3🐋)·$209.9K gross
Largest observed trade · 30d:BUYT1$24.2K@ 99¢·fkgggg2mouzfuria

Decision read

Evidence and execution checklist — not a trade recommendation

TOO LATE — DO NOT CHASE
What the tape says

T1 pressure: $94.1K net directional flow in 1h.

1h
+$94.1K
6h
+$87.6K
tracked
$561.1K

33 verified profitable wallets: T1 · $11.7K net over 7d.

Can it be executed?
0.1¢displayed spread

Tight displayed spread; depth and partial-fill risk still matter.

Data confidence 88% · priority 0

Since latest market sweep: +11.0pp at executable prices.

Priority ranks review urgency; it is not probability or expected value.

Risks / missing evidence
  • •Price is near 0/100¢; headline flow can have little remaining payoff.
  • •Less than 3h remains; resolution risk is elevated.
  • •Executable BUY price moved 11.0pp since the latest alert; its original entry no longer exists.

The read weakens if 1h flow flips away from T1 or execution deteriorates.

Resolution & market truth

Verify what settles the market before reading flow as a thesis

Resolution
OPEN
Trading
Orders accepted
Deadline
2026-09-06 12:00 UTC
Event constraint
Not verified
Resolution source: https://gol.gg/esports/home
Outcome meaning

•This market will resolve to "T1" if T1 win Game 1 against Dplus KIA.

•This market will resolve to "Dplus KIA" if Dplus KIA win Game 1 against T1.

Read full resolution rules

This market refers to the LoL Lower bracket semifinal match between T1 and Dplus KIA in the LCK Playoffs, initially scheduled for September 6, 2026 at 4:00 AM ET. This market will resolve to "T1" if T1 win Game 1 against Dplus KIA. This market will resolve to "Dplus KIA" if Dplus KIA win Game 1 against T1. If the match begins but is not completed, and Game 1 is concluded with a winner determined, this market will resolve based on the completed Game 1. If Game 1 is not completed for any reason, this market will resolve 50-50. If the match is canceled (not played at all), this market will resolve 50-50. If the match is postponed, it must be rescheduled to a start time on or before September 20, 2026 at 11:59 PM ET (14 calendar days after the originally scheduled start of September 6, 2026 at 4:00 AM ET). If, by that deadline, the most recently announced rescheduled start time is on or before the deadline, this market resolves based on the result of the match as played. Otherwise, this market resolves 50-50, regardless of whether the match is subsequently played. The resolution source for this market will be official information from https://gol.gg/esports/home. However, if https://gol.gg/esports/home has not published final results within 2 hours after the event’s conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead including video evidence.

Event-level hedge context · observed 7d flow
Diabolical-Prize3 linked markets · $80.4K gross
fkcvffcjt2 linked markets · $59.1K gross
2543217582 linked markets · $45.0K gross

Multi-market activity can be a hedge; do not read one leg as the wallet’s full thesis.

Evidence receipts

Timestamped alerts and their measured outcomes; losses and unavailable checks remain visible

MARKET SWEEPBUY T1@ 89.0¢30m ago
15m UNAVAILABLE
Latest book event: Dplus KIA DOWN 4.0pp · near-book depth $56 → $47 · 1s

Outcome Price History

Executable orderbook · both outcomes
Loading executable orderbook…

Signals Trend

Market Analytics

LifecycleCanonical market state overrides the analytics stage after resolution. discovery/climax/resolving describe open-market analytics only; resolved/void are terminal states.resolving

Signed Order Flow

Directional flow: positive values favor T1; negative values favor Dplus KIA. Only trades with known BUY/SELL action are included.
1hT1 · $94.1K
6hT1 · $87.6K
24hT1 · $87.6K

T1 price VWAP

Volume-weighted T1 price. Dplus KIA fills are converted to the complementary T1 probability before aggregation. Distance from VWAP is displacement, not an overbought/oversold signal.
Current100.0¢
VWAP 24h72.2¢▲ above by 27.8pp
VWAP 7d72.2¢
Largest observed holdersActual token balances from Polymarket's holders endpoint. Coverage is limited to the top 20 holders per outcome; percentages are within the reported sample, not total supply.

Largest holders

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T1 price Volume Profile · tracked 30d

95¢
← now
$144.8K
90¢
$12.1K
85¢
$31.8K
80¢
$71.0K
75¢
$34.1K
70¢
$13.3K
65¢
$4.9K
60¢
$14.4K
55¢
$115.7K
50¢
$14.7K
45¢
$20.0K
40¢
$42.0K
35¢
$31.5K
30¢
$10.9K
25¢
$0
20¢
$0
15¢
$0
10¢
$0
5¢
$0
0¢
$0

VPOC = 95¢ · highlighted bar = current price · blue bar = VPOC

Observed net position building

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Observed Tape · BUY/SELL shown outcome · retained 30dupdated less than a minute ago
Loading trades…
🐋 Large Trades$10,000+ · retained 30dBUY/SELL shown outcomeΔ now
SELLT1$11.5K@ 99.9¢
ColinHe0x6842…20d0
🐋—5 minutes ago
SELLT1$14.0K@ 99.9¢
alexdave8880xa4fd…748b
🐋—11 minutes ago
BUYT1$15.4K@ 98.9¢0x0b5a…1457🐋—13 minutes ago
BUYT1$24.2K@ 99.0¢
fkgggg2mouzfuria0x52ec…a6f3
🐋—13 minutes ago
BUYT1$10.4K@ 99.0¢0xb595…5922🐋—13 minutes ago
BUYT1$12.9K@ 95.8¢
2543217580x04b1…d224
🐋—13 minutes ago
SELLT1$10.6K@ 83.0¢
2543217580x04b1…d224
🐋—25 minutes ago
BUYT1$11.2K@ 83.0¢
fkcvffcjt0x67ac…edf1
🐋—32 minutes ago
BUYT1$13.2K@ 78.6¢
bloodmaster0x58f8…dc70
🐋—33 minutes ago

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Observed whale buys · 7d

Aggregated BUY fills of $10K+ per wallet and outcome

254321758T1$34.1K
BUY VWAP 71.8¢·9 fills
GoodGuy26T1$25.7K
BUY VWAP 56.7¢·4 fills
fkcvffcjtDplus KIA$24.4K
BUY VWAP 44.1¢·6 fills
fkgggg2mouzfuriaT1$24.2K
BUY VWAP 99.0¢·1 fill
0xf201…527eT1$23.4K
BUY VWAP 52.7¢·9 fills
0x1610…ae49Dplus KIA$21.0K
BUY VWAP 41.9¢·4 fills
fkcvffcjtT1$18.4K
BUY VWAP 79.8¢·4 fills
0x0b5a…1457T1$15.4K
BUY VWAP 98.9¢·1 fill
bloodmasterT1$13.2K
BUY VWAP 78.6¢·1 fill
zb8Dplus KIA$10.4K
BUY VWAP 45.0¢·2 fills

Observed BUY activity; current holdings and position change may be unconfirmed.