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M15 Szczawno: Pawel Juszczak vs John Hallquist Lithen

● quote 5 min ago
Sports→Closes: 7 daysLiquidity: $126.4KOfficial 24h Vol: $114.2KEvent: M15 Szczawno: Pawel Juszczak vs John Hallquist Lithen
1.0¢
Pawel Juszczak
99.9¢
John Hallquist Lithen
0.1¢
Spread
anomaly70Activity anomaly — current observed activity versus the market baselinedirection2Direction — strength and consistency of signed flow between the two outcomeswallets19Wallet quality — contribution from verified profitable non-bot walletsexecution30Execution — spread, depth and quote quality; not expected valuepriority0Opportunity priority — ranking score, not predicted return or edgedata 76%💡 4 smartMeasured profitable wallets: positive real PnL, 20+ trades, non-bot
24h sample:50 trades$49.0K trackedsource coverage 43%BUY/SELL known 100%
tape 17 min agoofficial metadata 5 min ago
Profitable-wallet flow · 7d:Pawel Juszczak · $800 net·4 wallets·$4.1K gross
Largest observed trade · 30d:BUYJohn Hallquist Lithen$5.3K@ 86¢·11vsldfdsgfkjgos

Decision read

Evidence and execution checklist — not a trade recommendation

TOO LATE — DO NOT CHASE
What the tape says

No material 1h direction in the tracked BUY/SELL sample.

1h
+$961
6h
−$41.3K
tracked
$49.0K

4 verified profitable wallets: Pawel Juszczak · $800 net over 7d.

Can it be executed?
0.1¢displayed spread

Tight displayed spread; depth and partial-fill risk still matter.

Data confidence 76% · priority 0

Since latest large flow: +12.0pp at executable prices.

Priority ranks review urgency; it is not probability or expected value.

Risks / missing evidence
  • •Price is near 0/100¢; headline flow can have little remaining payoff.
  • •Observed tape is 17 minutes old.
  • •Executable BUY price moved 12.0pp since the latest alert; its original entry no longer exists.

Stronger read requires meaningful signed flow plus confirmation across distinct observed wallets.

Resolution & market truth

Verify what settles the market before reading flow as a thesis

Resolution
OPEN
Trading
Orders accepted
Deadline
2026-09-12 08:30 UTC
Event constraint
Not verified
Resolution source: https://www.itftennis.com/en/tournament-calendar/
Read full resolution rules

This market refers to the tennis match between Pawel Juszczak and John Hallquist Lithen in the M15 Szczawno, Main Draw, originally scheduled for September 5, 2026 at 4:30AM ET. This market will resolve to 'Pawel Juszczak' if Pawel Juszczak advances against John Hallquist Lithen. This market will resolve to 'John Hallquist Lithen' if John Hallquist Lithen advances against Pawel Juszczak. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or a winner has not been determined by September 19, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the International Tennis Federation (ITF). A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

Evidence receipts

Timestamped alerts and their measured outcomes; losses and unavailable checks remain visible

ANTI CHASEBUY John Hallquist Lithen55m ago
Outcome checks pending
LARGE FLOWBUY John Hallquist Lithen@ 88.0¢1h ago
15m CONFIRMED +8.3pp1h UNAVAILABLE
Latest book event: Pawel Juszczak DOWN 5.0pp · near-book depth $900 → $173 · 32s

Outcome Price History

Executable orderbook · both outcomes
Loading executable orderbook…

Signals Trend

Market Analytics

Signed Order Flow

Directional flow: positive values favor Pawel Juszczak; negative values favor John Hallquist Lithen. Only trades with known BUY/SELL action are included.
1hPawel Juszczak · $961
6hJohn Hallquist Lithen · $41.3K
24hJohn Hallquist Lithen · $41.3K

Pawel Juszczak price VWAP

Volume-weighted Pawel Juszczak price. John Hallquist Lithen fills are converted to the complementary Pawel Juszczak probability before aggregation. Distance from VWAP is displacement, not an overbought/oversold signal.
Current1.0¢
VWAP 24h28.5¢▼ below by 27.5pp
VWAP 7d28.5¢
Largest observed holdersActual token balances from Polymarket's holders endpoint. Coverage is limited to the top 20 holders per outcome; percentages are within the reported sample, not total supply.

Largest holders

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Pawel Juszczak price Volume Profile · tracked 30d

95¢
$0
90¢
$0
85¢
$0
80¢
$0
75¢
$0
70¢
$0
65¢
$0
60¢
$0
55¢
$0
50¢
$0
45¢
$1.2K
40¢
$8.1K
35¢
$4.8K
30¢
$8.7K
25¢
$12.8K
20¢
$1.8K
15¢
$7
10¢
$10.5K
5¢
$20
0¢
← now
$981

VPOC = 25¢ · highlighted bar = current price · blue bar = VPOC

Observed net position building

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Observed Tape · BUY/SELL shown outcome · retained 30dupdated less than a minute ago
Loading trades…
🐋 Large Trades$10,000+ · retained 30dBUY/SELL shown outcomeΔ now
No whale activity

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Observed whale buys · 7d

Aggregated BUY fills of $10K+ per wallet and outcome

11vsldfdsgfkjgosJohn Hallquist Lithen$37.1K
BUY VWAP 70.1¢·18 fills

Observed BUY activity; current holdings and position change may be unconfirmed.