PolyScope
ScreenerCategoriesEventsLarge TradesWallets🐋 Top Whales⚡ Early MoversSignalsSmart MoneyPortfolioWatchlist🔔 Alerts

Counter-Strike: MOUZ vs Vitality (BO3) - BLAST Open Porto Playoffs

● quote just now
Sports→Closes: about 13 hoursLiquidity: $377.9KOfficial 24h Vol: $199.2KEvent: Counter-Strike: MOUZ vs Vitality (BO3) - BLAST Open Porto Playoffs
40.5¢
MOUZ
59.5¢
Vitality
1.0¢
Spread
anomaly4Activity anomaly — current observed activity versus the market baselinedirection0Direction — strength and consistency of signed flow between the two outcomeswallets100Wallet quality — contribution from verified profitable non-bot walletsexecution93Execution — spread, depth and quote quality; not expected valuepriority0Opportunity priority — ranking score, not predicted return or edgedata 59%💡 3 smartMeasured profitable wallets: positive real PnL, 20+ trades, non-bot
24h sample:31 trades$68.1K tracked3% 🐋source coverage 34%BUY/SELL known 100%
tape 36 min agoofficial metadata 4 min ago
Profitable-wallet flow · 7d:MOUZ · $22.1K net·3 wallets·$22.1K gross
Largest observed trade · 30d:BUYMOUZ$11.7K@ 38¢·Diabolical-Prize

Decision read

Evidence and execution checklist — not a trade recommendation

WAIT — EVIDENCE TOO THIN
What the tape says

No material 1h direction in the tracked BUY/SELL sample.

1h
+$38
6h
+$51.3K
tracked
$68.1K

3 verified profitable wallets: MOUZ · $22.1K net over 7d.

Can it be executed?
1.0¢displayed spread

Tight displayed spread; depth and partial-fill risk still matter.

Data confidence 59% · priority 0

Since latest large flow: +3.0pp at executable prices.

Priority ranks review urgency; it is not probability or expected value.

Risks / missing evidence
  • •Observed tape is 36 minutes old.
  • •Less than 13h remains; resolution risk is elevated.

Stronger read requires meaningful signed flow plus confirmation across distinct observed wallets.

Resolution & market truth

Verify what settles the market before reading flow as a thesis

Resolution
OPEN
Trading
Orders accepted
Deadline
2026-09-05 23:30 UTC
Event constraint
Not verified
Resolution source: https://hltv.org
Outcome meaning

•This market will resolve to "MOUZ" if MOUZ win the match against Vitality.

•This market will resolve to "Vitality" if Vitality win the match against MOUZ.

Read full resolution rules

This market refers to the Counter-Strike Semifinal 2 match between MOUZ and Vitality in the BLAST Open Porto Playoffs, initially scheduled for September 5, 2026 at 1:30 PM ET. This market will resolve to "MOUZ" if MOUZ win the match against Vitality. This market will resolve to "Vitality" if Vitality win the match against MOUZ. If the match is canceled (not played at all) or ends in a tie, this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match is postponed, it must be rescheduled to a start time on or before September 19, 2026 at 11:59 PM ET (14 calendar days after the originally scheduled start of September 5, 2026 at 1:30 PM ET). If, by that deadline, the most recently announced rescheduled start time is on or before the deadline, this market resolves based on the result of the match as played. Otherwise, this market resolves 50-50, regardless of whether the match is subsequently played. If the match begins but is not completed, and one team wins due to the opponent's forfeiture, disqualification, or walkover, this market will resolve to the team who wins. If the match ends in a forfeit, disqualification, or walkover (team withdraws before the start and the other wins automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The resolution source for this market will be official information from https://hltv.org. However, if https://hltv.org has not published final results within 2 hours after the event’s conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead including video evidence. In cases where a team’s listed name includes minor discrepancies from the resolution source, this market will resolve based on the underlying real-world match rather than exact name matching. Recognizable abbreviations, alternate or erroneous spellings, sponsor tags, affiliate or academy designations, regional identifiers, and minor formatting differences will be treated as referring to the same team, provided the intended team can be clearly and uniquely identified within the relevant competition. If a listed team name has no reasonable connection to any participating team, or if it matches or could reasonably refer to another team in the same competition such that the intended team cannot be unambiguously determined, this market will resolve 50-50.

Evidence receipts

Timestamped alerts and their measured outcomes; losses and unavailable checks remain visible

LARGE FLOWBUY MOUZ@ 38.0¢3h ago
15m STALLED -1.0pp1h STALLED +0.0pp

Outcome Price History

Executable orderbook · both outcomes
Loading executable orderbook…

Signals Trend

Market Analytics

LifecycleCanonical market state overrides the analytics stage after resolution. discovery/climax/resolving describe open-market analytics only; resolved/void are terminal states.resolving

Signed Order Flow

Directional flow: positive values favor MOUZ; negative values favor Vitality. Only trades with known BUY/SELL action are included.
1hMOUZ · $38
6hMOUZ · $51.3K
24hMOUZ · $44.8K

MOUZ price VWAP

Volume-weighted MOUZ price. Vitality fills are converted to the complementary MOUZ probability before aggregation. Distance from VWAP is displacement, not an overbought/oversold signal.
Current40.5¢
VWAP 24h38.6¢▲ above by 1.9pp
VWAP 7d38.6¢
Largest observed holdersActual token balances from Polymarket's holders endpoint. Coverage is limited to the top 20 holders per outcome; percentages are within the reported sample, not total supply.

Largest holders

Loading…

MOUZ price Volume Profile · tracked 30d

95¢
$0
90¢
$0
85¢
$0
80¢
$0
75¢
$0
70¢
$0
65¢
$0
60¢
$0
55¢
$0
50¢
$0
45¢
$0
40¢
← now
$21.4K
35¢
$46.8K
30¢
$0
25¢
$0
20¢
$0
15¢
$0
10¢
$0
5¢
$0
0¢
$0

VPOC = 35¢ · highlighted bar = current price · blue bar = VPOC

Observed net position building

Loading…
Observed Tape · BUY/SELL shown outcome · retained 30dupdated less than a minute ago
Loading trades…
🐋 Large Trades$10,000+ · retained 30dBUY/SELL shown outcomeΔ now
BUYMOUZ$11.7K@ 38.0¢
Diabolical-Prize0x7c37…6aeb
🐋—about 3 hours ago

Related Markets · same event first, then category

LoL: Gen.G vs Hanwha Life Esports - Game 2 Winner
100.0¢$1.6Mpriority0Opportunity priority — ranking score, not predicted return or edge
LoL: Invictus Gaming vs Top Esports - Game 4 Winner
0.1¢$1.5Mpriority0Opportunity priority — ranking score, not predicted return or edge
LoL: Invictus Gaming vs Top Esports (BO5) - LPL Playoffs
81.0¢$1.3Mpriority51Opportunity priority — ranking score, not predicted return or edge
LoL: Gen.G vs Hanwha Life Esports - Game 1 Winner
0.1¢$1.3Mpriority0Opportunity priority — ranking score, not predicted return or edge
LoL: Gen.G vs Hanwha Life Esports (BO5) - LCK Playoffs
56.5¢$1.1Mpriority55Opportunity priority — ranking score, not predicted return or edge
LoL: Invictus Gaming vs Top Esports - Game 3 Winner
100.0¢$1.0Mpriority0Opportunity priority — ranking score, not predicted return or edge
Will Crystal Palace win the 2026-27 English Premier League (EPL) Championship?
0.1¢$680.8Kpriority0Opportunity priority — ranking score, not predicted return or edge
Will Manchester City FC win on 2026-09-05?
82.5¢$559.3Kpriority0Opportunity priority — ranking score, not predicted return or edge

Observed whale buys · 7d

Aggregated BUY fills of $10K+ per wallet and outcome

0x29b5…cc6cMOUZ$20.8K
BUY VWAP 38.0¢·9 fills
ifplMOUZ$14.0K
BUY VWAP 39.7¢·2 fills
Diabolical-PrizeMOUZ$11.7K
BUY VWAP 38.0¢·1 fill

Observed BUY activity; current holdings and position change may be unconfirmed.