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US Open WTA: Anna Kalinskaya vs Emma Navarro

● quote 45s ago
Sports→Closes: 6 daysLiquidity: $221.1KOfficial 24h Vol: $711.0KEvent: US Open WTA: Anna Kalinskaya vs Emma Navarro
0.1¢
Anna Kalinskaya
99.9¢
Emma Navarro
0.1¢
Spread
anomaly100Activity anomaly — current observed activity versus the market baselinedirection5Direction — strength and consistency of signed flow between the two outcomeswallets26Wallet quality — contribution from verified profitable non-bot walletsexecution99Execution — spread, depth and quote quality; not expected valuepriority0Opportunity priority — ranking score, not predicted return or edgedata 75%💡 11 smartMeasured profitable wallets: positive real PnL, 20+ trades, non-bot
24h sample:184 trades$294.1K tracked4% 🐋source coverage 41%BUY/SELL known 100%
tape 17 min agoofficial metadata 2 min ago
Profitable-wallet flow · 7d:Emma Navarro · $10.4K net·11 wallets·$39.3K gross
Largest observed trade · 30d:BUYEmma Navarro$33.7K@ 72¢·hurrican

Decision read

Evidence and execution checklist — not a trade recommendation

TOO LATE — DO NOT CHASE
What the tape says

Emma Navarro pressure: $13.6K net directional flow in 1h.

1h
−$13.6K
6h
−$90.5K
tracked
$294.1K

11 verified profitable wallets: Emma Navarro · $10.4K net over 7d.

Can it be executed?
0.1¢displayed spread

Tight displayed spread; depth and partial-fill risk still matter.

Data confidence 75% · priority 0

Since latest accumulation: +51.0pp at executable prices.

Priority ranks review urgency; it is not probability or expected value.

Risks / missing evidence
  • •Price is near 0/100¢; headline flow can have little remaining payoff.
  • •Observed tape is 17 minutes old.
  • •Executable BUY price moved 51.0pp since the latest alert; its original entry no longer exists.

The read weakens if 1h flow flips away from Emma Navarro or execution deteriorates.

Resolution & market truth

Verify what settles the market before reading flow as a thesis

Resolution
OPEN
Trading
Orders accepted
Deadline
2026-09-13 15:00 UTC
Event constraint
Not verified
Resolution source: https://www.wtatennis.com/scores
Read full resolution rules

This market refers to the tennis match between Anna Kalinskaya and Emma Navarro in the US Open WTA, originally scheduled for September 6, 2026 at 11:00AM ET. This market will resolve to 'Anna Kalinskaya' if Anna Kalinskaya advances against Emma Navarro. This market will resolve to 'Emma Navarro' if Emma Navarro advances against Anna Kalinskaya. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or a winner has not been determined by September 20, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the WTA Tour. A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

Evidence receipts

Timestamped alerts and their measured outcomes; losses and unavailable checks remain visible

ACCUMULATIONBUY Emma Navarro@ 49.0¢2h ago
15m STALLED -2.0pp1h CONFIRMED +27.0pp
LARGE FLOWBUY Emma Navarro@ 49.0¢2h ago
15m STALLED -2.0pp1h CONFIRMED +27.0pp
LARGE FLOWBUY Emma Navarro@ 48.0¢3h ago
15m STALLED -1.0pp1h CONFIRMED +10.0pp
Latest book event: Emma Navarro UP 2.5pp · near-book depth $65.9K → $17.0K · 10s

Outcome Price History

Executable orderbook · both outcomes
Loading executable orderbook…

Signals Trend

Market Analytics

Signed Order Flow

Directional flow: positive values favor Anna Kalinskaya; negative values favor Emma Navarro. Only trades with known BUY/SELL action are included.
1hEmma Navarro · $13.6K
6hEmma Navarro · $90.5K
24hEmma Navarro · $97.7K

Anna Kalinskaya price VWAP

Volume-weighted Anna Kalinskaya price. Emma Navarro fills are converted to the complementary Anna Kalinskaya probability before aggregation. Distance from VWAP is displacement, not an overbought/oversold signal.
Current0.1¢
VWAP 24h38.3¢▼ below by 38.2pp
VWAP 7d38.3¢
Largest observed holdersActual token balances from Polymarket's holders endpoint. Coverage is limited to the top 20 holders per outcome; percentages are within the reported sample, not total supply.

Largest holders

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Anna Kalinskaya price Volume Profile · tracked 30d

95¢
$0
90¢
$0
85¢
$0
80¢
$0
75¢
$0
70¢
$0
65¢
$0
60¢
$0
55¢
$0
50¢
$149.1K
45¢
$21.0K
40¢
$6.2K
35¢
$24.2K
30¢
$77
25¢
$40.0K
20¢
$3.5K
15¢
$4.2K
10¢
$548
5¢
$7.6K
0¢
← now
$37.8K

VPOC = 50¢ · highlighted bar = current price · blue bar = VPOC

Observed net position building

Loading…
Observed Tape · BUY/SELL shown outcome · retained 30dupdated less than a minute ago
Loading trades…
🐋 Large Trades$10,000+ · retained 30dBUY/SELL shown outcomeΔ now
BUYEmma Navarro$33.7K@ 72.3¢
hurrican0x8718…5040
🐋—about 1 hour ago
BUYEmma Navarro$15.1K@ 55.0¢
0xwise0x0e60…3bad
🐋—about 2 hours ago
BUYEmma Navarro$23.0K@ 48.6¢0x78be…bde0🐋—about 2 hours ago
BUYAnna Kalinskaya$15.0K@ 53.0¢
soukaev0x7568…2ce1
🐋—about 3 hours ago
BUYAnna Kalinskaya$14.5K@ 53.0¢0xf0e9…1a15🐋—about 3 hours ago
BUYEmma Navarro$20.0K@ 48.1¢0x78be…bde0🐋—about 3 hours ago
BUYAnna Kalinskaya$10.7K@ 54.0¢
Kkunn0xe787…5034
🐋—about 3 hours ago

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Observed whale buys · 7d

Aggregated BUY fills of $10K+ per wallet and outcome

0x78be…bde0Emma Navarro$51.5K
BUY VWAP 48.5¢·3 fills
hurricanEmma Navarro$33.7K
BUY VWAP 72.3¢·1 fill
BillyGatingEmma Navarro$20.6K
BUY VWAP 61.3¢·4 fills
0xwiseEmma Navarro$16.8K
BUY VWAP 54.8¢·2 fills
soukaevAnna Kalinskaya$15.0K
BUY VWAP 53.0¢·1 fill
0xf0e9…1a15Anna Kalinskaya$14.5K
BUY VWAP 53.0¢·1 fill
KkunnAnna Kalinskaya$10.7K
BUY VWAP 54.0¢·1 fill

Observed BUY activity; current holdings and position change may be unconfirmed.