Evidence and execution checklist — not a trade recommendation
Frances Tiafoe pressure: $4.1K net directional flow in 1h.
6 verified profitable wallets: Frances Tiafoe · $919 net over 7d.
Tight displayed spread; depth and partial-fill risk still matter.
Data confidence 75% · priority 43
Since latest large flow: -2.0pp at executable prices.
Priority ranks review urgency; it is not probability or expected value.
The read weakens if 1h flow flips away from Frances Tiafoe or execution deteriorates.
Verify what settles the market before reading flow as a thesis
This market refers to the tennis match between Daniil Medvedev and Frances Tiafoe in the US Open ATP, originally scheduled for September 6, 2026 at 11:00AM ET. This market will resolve to 'Daniil Medvedev' if Daniil Medvedev advances against Frances Tiafoe. This market will resolve to 'Frances Tiafoe' if Frances Tiafoe advances against Daniil Medvedev. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or a winner has not been determined by September 20, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the ATP Tour. A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Timestamped alerts and their measured outcomes; losses and unavailable checks remain visible
Outcome Price History
Signals Trend
Market Analytics
Signed Order Flow
Daniil Medvedev price VWAP
Largest holders
Daniil Medvedev price Volume Profile · tracked 30d
VPOC = 60¢ · highlighted bar = current price · blue bar = VPOC
Observed net position building
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