PolyScope
ScreenerCategoriesEventsLarge TradesWallets🐋 Top Whales⚡ Early MoversSignalsSmart MoneyPortfolioWatchlist🔔 Alerts

San Diego Padres vs. San Francisco Giants

● quote 45s ago
Sports→Closes: 7 daysLiquidity: $494.2KOfficial 24h Vol: $517.0KEvent: San Diego Padres vs. San Francisco Giants
59.5¢
San Diego Padres
40.5¢
San Francisco Giants
1.0¢
Spread
anomaly100Activity anomaly — current observed activity versus the market baselinedirection5Direction — strength and consistency of signed flow between the two outcomeswallets100Wallet quality — contribution from verified profitable non-bot walletsexecution93Execution — spread, depth and quote quality; not expected valuepriority0Opportunity priority — ranking score, not predicted return or edgedata 79%💡 4 smartMeasured profitable wallets: positive real PnL, 20+ trades, non-bot
24h sample:16 trades$291.4K tracked38% 🐋source coverage 56%BUY/SELL known 100%
tape 23 min agoofficial metadata 1 min ago
Profitable-wallet flow · 7d:San Diego Padres · $32.0K net·4 wallets(1🐋)·$32.0K gross
Largest observed trade · 30d:BUYSan Diego Padres$123.7K@ 59¢·Talvez10

Decision read

Evidence and execution checklist — not a trade recommendation

WAIT — EVIDENCE TOO THIN
What the tape says

San Francisco Giants pressure: $15.0K net directional flow in 1h.

1h
−$15.0K
6h
+$259.6K
tracked
$291.4K

4 verified profitable wallets: San Diego Padres · $32.0K net over 7d.

Can it be executed?
1.0¢displayed spread

Tight displayed spread; depth and partial-fill risk still matter.

Data confidence 79% · priority 0

Since latest large flow: +0.0pp at executable prices.

Priority ranks review urgency; it is not probability or expected value.

Risks / missing evidence
  • •Observed tape is 23 minutes old.

The read weakens if 1h flow flips away from San Francisco Giants or execution deteriorates.

Resolution & market truth

Verify what settles the market before reading flow as a thesis

Resolution
OPEN
Trading
Orders accepted
Deadline
2026-09-19 02:15 UTC
Event constraint
Not verified
Resolution source: https://www.mlb.com/
Outcome meaning

•This market will resolve to "San Diego Padres" if the San Diego Padres win the game.

•This market will resolve to "San Francisco Giants" if the San Francisco Giants win the game.

Read full resolution rules

In the upcoming MLB game between the San Diego Padres and San Francisco Giants, scheduled for September 11 at 10:15PM ET: This market will resolve to "San Diego Padres" if the San Diego Padres win the game. This market will resolve to "San Francisco Giants" if the San Francisco Giants win the game. If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed. If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, or ends in a tie, this market will resolve 50-50. The primary resolution source for this market is the official final statistics of the event as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. However, if the governing body or event organizers have not published final match statistics within 24 hours after the event's conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead.

Evidence receipts

Timestamped alerts and their measured outcomes; losses and unavailable checks remain visible

LARGE FLOWBUY San Diego Padres@ 60.0¢1h ago
15m STALLED -1.0pp1h STALLED -1.0pp
LIQUIDITY ABSORPTIONBUY San Diego Padres@ 59.0¢2h ago
15m STALLED +0.0pp1h STALLED +0.0pp
LARGE FLOWBUY San Diego Padres@ 59.0¢2h ago
15m STALLED -1.0pp1h STALLED +0.0pp
POSITION CHANGEBUY San Diego Padres@ 59.0¢2h ago
15m STALLED -1.0pp1h STALLED +0.0pp

Outcome Price History

Executable orderbook · both outcomes
Loading executable orderbook…

Signals Trend

Market Analytics

Signed Order Flow

Directional flow: positive values favor San Diego Padres; negative values favor San Francisco Giants. Only trades with known BUY/SELL action are included.
1hSan Francisco Giants · $15.0K
6hSan Diego Padres · $259.6K
24hSan Diego Padres · $257.9K

San Diego Padres price VWAP

Volume-weighted San Diego Padres price. San Francisco Giants fills are converted to the complementary San Diego Padres probability before aggregation. Distance from VWAP is displacement, not an overbought/oversold signal.
Current59.5¢
VWAP 24h58.7¢▲ above by 0.8pp
VWAP 7d58.7¢
Largest observed holdersActual token balances from Polymarket's holders endpoint. Coverage is limited to the top 20 holders per outcome; percentages are within the reported sample, not total supply.

Largest holders

Loading…

San Diego Padres price Volume Profile · tracked 30d

95¢
$0
90¢
$0
85¢
$0
80¢
$0
75¢
$0
70¢
$0
65¢
$0
60¢
$1.5K
55¢
← now
$289.8K
50¢
$0
45¢
$0
40¢
$0
35¢
$0
30¢
$0
25¢
$0
20¢
$0
15¢
$0
10¢
$0
5¢
$0
0¢
$0

VPOC = 55¢ · highlighted bar = current price · blue bar = VPOC

Observed net position building

Loading…
Observed Tape · BUY/SELL shown outcome · retained 30dupdated less than a minute ago
Loading trades…
🐋 Large Trades$10,000+ · retained 30dBUY/SELL shown outcomeΔ now
BUYSan Francisco Giants$15.0K@ 41.0¢
Zzzz870x2117…5c26
🐋—24 minutes ago
BUYSan Diego Padres$123.7K@ 59.0¢
Talvez100xa710…23c4
🐋—about 1 hour ago
BUYSan Diego Padres$27.4K@ 59.0¢0x076d…8d4c🐋—about 2 hours ago
BUYSan Diego Padres$14.8K@ 59.0¢0x5e94…5ba1🐋—about 2 hours ago
BUYSan Diego Padres$43.8K@ 59.0¢0x5e94…5ba1🐋—about 2 hours ago
BUYSan Diego Padres$44.8K@ 57.3¢0x5e94…5ba1🐋—about 2 hours ago

Related Markets · same event first, then category

San Diego Padres vs. San Francisco Giants: O/U 7.5
51.5¢$299priority0Opportunity priority — ranking score, not predicted return or edge
US Open ATP: Frances Tiafoe vs Ben Shelton
49.5¢$1.0Mpriority0Opportunity priority — ranking score, not predicted return or edge
Will Crystal Palace win the 2026-27 English Premier League (EPL) Championship?
0.1¢$680.8Kpriority0Opportunity priority — ranking score, not predicted return or edge
Will Shakhtar Donetsk win the 2026-27 UEFA Champions League Championship?
0.1¢$429.1Kpriority0Opportunity priority — ranking score, not predicted return or edge
Los Angeles Angels vs. Washington Nationals
41.5¢$403.2Kpriority74Opportunity priority — ranking score, not predicted return or edge
Counter-Strike: Legacy vs MIBR (BO3) - FISSURE PLAYGROUND Playoffs
67.5¢$398.8Kpriority0Opportunity priority — ranking score, not predicted return or edge
Will Boston Celtics win the 2027 NBA Finals?
4.5¢$344.6Kpriority0Opportunity priority — ranking score, not predicted return or edge
Cleveland Guardians vs. Minnesota Twins
52.5¢$330.1Kpriority0Opportunity priority — ranking score, not predicted return or edge

Observed whale buys · 7d

Aggregated BUY fills of $10K+ per wallet and outcome

Talvez10San Diego Padres$123.7K
BUY VWAP 59.0¢·1 fill
0x5e94…5ba1San Diego Padres$111.6K
BUY VWAP 58.2¢·4 fills
0x076d…8d4cSan Diego Padres$27.4K
BUY VWAP 59.0¢·1 fill
Zzzz87San Francisco Giants$15.0K
BUY VWAP 41.0¢·1 fill

Observed BUY activity; current holdings and position change may be unconfirmed.