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LoL: Team Vitality vs Movistar KOI (BO5) - LEC Playoffs

● quote just now
Sports→Closes: about 4 hoursLiquidity: $86.6KOfficial 24h Vol: $447.5KEvent: LoL: Team Vitality vs Movistar KOI (BO5) - LEC Playoffs
45.5¢
Team Vitality
54.5¢
Movistar KOI
1.0¢
Spread
anomaly100Activity anomaly — current observed activity versus the market baselinedirection13Direction — strength and consistency of signed flow between the two outcomeswallets76Wallet quality — contribution from verified profitable non-bot walletsexecution91Execution — spread, depth and quote quality; not expected valuepriority64Opportunity priority — ranking score, not predicted return or edgedata 82%💡 14 smartMeasured profitable wallets: positive real PnL, 20+ trades, non-bot
24h sample:147 trades$128.0K tracked1% 🐋source coverage 29%BUY/SELL known 100%
tape 5 min agoofficial metadata 4 min ago
Profitable-wallet flow · 7d:Movistar KOI · $44.9K net·14 wallets(2🐋)·$59.1K gross
Largest observed trade · 30d:BUYMovistar KOI$20.0K@ 56¢·BrotherObama

Decision read

Evidence and execution checklist — not a trade recommendation

REVIEW Movistar KOI SETUP
What the tape says

Movistar KOI pressure: $17.0K net directional flow in 1h.

1h
−$17.0K
6h
−$52.0K
tracked
$128.0K

14 verified profitable wallets: Movistar KOI · $44.9K net over 7d.

Can it be executed?
1.0¢displayed spread

Tight displayed spread; depth and partial-fill risk still matter.

Data confidence 82% · priority 64

Since latest large flow: -1.0pp at executable prices.

Priority ranks review urgency; it is not probability or expected value.

Risks / missing evidence
  • •Less than 4h remains; resolution risk is elevated.

The read weakens if 1h flow flips away from Movistar KOI or execution deteriorates.

Resolution & market truth

Verify what settles the market before reading flow as a thesis

Resolution
OPEN
Trading
Orders accepted
Deadline
2026-09-12 21:00 UTC
Event constraint
Not verified
Resolution source: https://gol.gg/esports/home
Outcome meaning

•This market will resolve to "Team Vitality" if Team Vitality win the match against Movistar KOI.

•This market will resolve to "Movistar KOI" if Movistar KOI win the match against Team Vitality.

Read full resolution rules

This market refers to the LoL Lower bracket quarterfinal 2 match between Team Vitality and Movistar KOI in the LEC Playoffs, initially scheduled for September 12, 2026 at 11:00 AM ET. This market will resolve to "Team Vitality" if Team Vitality win the match against Movistar KOI. This market will resolve to "Movistar KOI" if Movistar KOI win the match against Team Vitality. If the match is canceled (not played at all) or ends in a tie, this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match is postponed, it must be rescheduled to a start time on or before September 26, 2026 at 11:59 PM ET (14 calendar days after the originally scheduled start of September 12, 2026 at 11:00 AM ET). If, by that deadline, the most recently announced rescheduled start time is on or before the deadline, this market resolves based on the result of the match as played. Otherwise, this market resolves 50-50, regardless of whether the match is subsequently played. If the match begins but is not completed, and one team wins due to the opponent's forfeiture, disqualification, or walkover, this market will resolve to the team who wins. If the match ends in a forfeit, disqualification, or walkover (team withdraws before the start and the other wins automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The resolution source for this market will be official information from https://gol.gg/esports/home. However, if https://gol.gg/esports/home has not published final results within 2 hours after the event’s conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead including video evidence. In cases where a team’s listed name includes minor discrepancies from the resolution source, this market will resolve based on the underlying real-world match rather than exact name matching. Recognizable abbreviations, alternate or erroneous spellings, sponsor tags, affiliate or academy designations, regional identifiers, and minor formatting differences will be treated as referring to the same team, provided the intended team can be clearly and uniquely identified within the relevant competition. If a listed team name has no reasonable connection to any participating team, or if it matches or could reasonably refer to another team in the same competition such that the intended team cannot be unambiguously determined, this market will resolve 50-50.

Event-level hedge context · observed 7d flow
0xf201…527e3 linked markets · $85.6K gross
verifly2 linked markets · $68.0K gross
fkgggg2mouzfuria2 linked markets · $33.7K gross

Multi-market activity can be a hedge; do not read one leg as the wallet’s full thesis.

Evidence receipts

Timestamped alerts and their measured outcomes; losses and unavailable checks remain visible

LARGE FLOWBUY Movistar KOI@ 56.0¢2h ago
15m INVALIDATED -4.0pp1h CONFIRMED +16.0pp
Latest book event: Movistar KOI UP 4.0pp · near-book depth $497 → $215 · 1s

Outcome Price History

Executable orderbook · both outcomes
Loading executable orderbook…

Signals Trend

Market Analytics

LifecycleCanonical market state overrides the analytics stage after resolution. discovery/climax/resolving describe open-market analytics only; resolved/void are terminal states.resolving

Signed Order Flow

Directional flow: positive values favor Team Vitality; negative values favor Movistar KOI. Only trades with known BUY/SELL action are included.
1hMovistar KOI · $17.0K
6hMovistar KOI · $52.0K
24hMovistar KOI · $61.7K

Team Vitality price VWAP

Volume-weighted Team Vitality price. Movistar KOI fills are converted to the complementary Team Vitality probability before aggregation. Distance from VWAP is displacement, not an overbought/oversold signal.
Current45.5¢
VWAP 24h43.0¢▲ above by 2.6pp
VWAP 7d43.0¢
Largest observed holdersActual token balances from Polymarket's holders endpoint. Coverage is limited to the top 20 holders per outcome; percentages are within the reported sample, not total supply.

Largest holders

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Team Vitality price Volume Profile · tracked 30d

95¢
$0
90¢
$0
85¢
$0
80¢
$0
75¢
$0
70¢
$0
65¢
$0
60¢
$0
55¢
$3.2K
50¢
$1.9K
45¢
← now
$71.2K
40¢
$28.3K
35¢
$1.9K
30¢
$1.4K
25¢
$20.1K
20¢
$0
15¢
$0
10¢
$0
5¢
$0
0¢
$0

VPOC = 45¢ · highlighted bar = current price · blue bar = VPOC

Observed net position building

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Observed Tape · BUY/SELL shown outcome · retained 30dupdated less than a minute ago
Loading trades…
🐋 Large Trades$10,000+ · retained 30dBUY/SELL shown outcomeΔ now
BUYMovistar KOI$14.6K@ 73.0¢0xf201…527e🐋—44 minutes ago
BUYMovistar KOI$20.0K@ 55.8¢
BrotherObama0x8a86…4998
🐋—about 2 hours ago

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Observed whale buys · 7d

Aggregated BUY fills of $10K+ per wallet and outcome

0xf201…527eMovistar KOI$25.1K
BUY VWAP 63.6¢·3 fills
BrotherObamaMovistar KOI$20.0K
BUY VWAP 55.8¢·1 fill

Observed BUY activity; current holdings and position change may be unconfirmed.