PolyScope
ScreenerCategoriesEventsLarge TradesWallets🐋 Top Whales⚡ Early MoversSignalsSmart MoneyPortfolioWatchlist🔔 Alerts

UFC 331: Tai Tuivasa vs. Robelis Despaigne (Heavyweight, Prelims)

● quote 8 min ago
Sports→Closes: 3 daysLiquidity: $23.5KOfficial 24h Vol: $6.4KEvent: UFC 331: Tai Tuivasa vs. Robelis Despaigne (Heavyweight, Prelims)
16.5¢
Tai Tuivasa
83.5¢
Robelis Despaigne
1.0¢
Spread
anomaly1Activity anomaly — current observed activity versus the market baselinedirection100Direction — strength and consistency of signed flow between the two outcomeswallets0Wallet quality — contribution from verified profitable non-bot walletsexecution78Execution — spread, depth and quote quality; not expected valuepriority0Opportunity priority — ranking score, not predicted return or edgedata 65%💡 1 smartMeasured profitable wallets: positive real PnL, 20+ trades, non-bot
24h sample:1 trades$4 trackedsource coverage 0%BUY/SELL known 100%
tape 24 min agoofficial metadata 13 min ago
Largest observed trade · 30d:BUYRobelis Despaigne$20.0K@ 86¢·marketmesh

Decision read

Evidence and execution checklist — not a trade recommendation

WAIT — EVIDENCE TOO THIN
What the tape says

No material 1h direction in the tracked BUY/SELL sample.

1h
−$4
6h
−$4
tracked
$4

1 verified profitable wallet: Robelis Despaigne · $2.9K net over 7d.

Can it be executed?
1.0¢displayed spread

Tight displayed spread; depth and partial-fill risk still matter.

Data confidence 65% · priority 0

Priority ranks review urgency; it is not probability or expected value.

Risks / missing evidence
  • •Only 1 tracked trades / 1 wallets in the 24h sample.
  • •Tracked source coverage is only 0%.
  • •Executable quote is 8 minutes old.
  • •Observed tape is 24 minutes old.

Stronger read requires meaningful signed flow plus confirmation across distinct observed wallets.

Resolution & market truth

Verify what settles the market before reading flow as a thesis

Resolution
OPEN
Trading
Orders accepted
Deadline
2026-09-20 03:59 UTC
Event constraint
Not verified
Resolution source: https://www.ufc.com/events
Outcome meaning

•This market will resolve to "Tai Tuivasa" if Tai Tuivasa is officially declared the winner of the fight against Robelis Despaigne at UFC 331: Van vs. Pantoja 2, scheduled for September 19, 2026.

•It will resolve to "Robelis Despaigne" if Robelis Despaigne is officially declared the winner.

Read full resolution rules

This market will resolve to "Tai Tuivasa" if Tai Tuivasa is officially declared the winner of the fight against Robelis Despaigne at UFC 331: Van vs. Pantoja 2, scheduled for September 19, 2026. It will resolve to "Robelis Despaigne" if Robelis Despaigne is officially declared the winner. If the fight is declared a draw or technical draw, ruled a No Contest, not scored, canceled, or postponed beyond October 3, 2026, this market will resolve "50-50." The resolution source for this market will be official information from the UFC.

Evidence receipts

Timestamped alerts and their measured outcomes; losses and unavailable checks remain visible

No decision-grade alert has been emitted for this market yet.

Outcome Price History

Executable orderbook · both outcomes
Loading executable orderbook…

Market Analytics

Signed Order Flow

Directional flow: positive values favor Tai Tuivasa; negative values favor Robelis Despaigne. Only trades with known BUY/SELL action are included.
1hRobelis Despaigne · $4
6hRobelis Despaigne · $4
24hRobelis Despaigne · $4

Tai Tuivasa price VWAP

Volume-weighted Tai Tuivasa price. Robelis Despaigne fills are converted to the complementary Tai Tuivasa probability before aggregation. Distance from VWAP is displacement, not an overbought/oversold signal.
Current16.5¢
VWAP 24h16.0¢▲ above by 0.5pp
VWAP 7d14.4¢
Largest observed holdersActual token balances from Polymarket's holders endpoint. Coverage is limited to the top 20 holders per outcome; percentages are within the reported sample, not total supply.

Largest holders

Loading…

Tai Tuivasa price Volume Profile · tracked 30d

95¢
$0
90¢
$0
85¢
$0
80¢
$0
75¢
$0
70¢
$0
65¢
$0
60¢
$0
55¢
$0
50¢
$0
45¢
$0
40¢
$0
35¢
$0
30¢
$0
25¢
$0
20¢
$0
15¢
← now
$2.9K
10¢
$20.0K
5¢
$0
0¢
$0

VPOC = 10¢ · highlighted bar = current price · blue bar = VPOC

Observed net position building

Loading…
Observed Tape · BUY/SELL shown outcome · retained 30dupdated less than a minute ago
Loading trades…
🐋 Large Trades$10,000+ · retained 30dBUY/SELL shown outcomeΔ now
BUYRobelis Despaigne$20.0K@ 85.8¢
marketmesh0xb7ab…a2d1
🐋—1 day ago

Related Markets · same event first, then category

LoL: Top Esports vs Invictus Gaming (BO5) - LPL Regional Finals Playoffs
43.5¢$826.3Kpriority62Opportunity priority — ranking score, not predicted return or edge
Will Crystal Palace win the 2026-27 English Premier League (EPL) Championship?
0.1¢$680.8Kpriority0Opportunity priority — ranking score, not predicted return or edge
Will Shakhtar Donetsk win the 2026-27 UEFA Champions League Championship?
0.1¢$430.7Kpriority0Opportunity priority — ranking score, not predicted return or edge
Will Boston Celtics win the 2027 NBA Finals?
4.5¢$344.6Kpriority0Opportunity priority — ranking score, not predicted return or edge
Valencia: Guiomar Maristany vs Marina Bassols Ribera
56.5¢$337.9Kpriority0Opportunity priority — ranking score, not predicted return or edge
Will Coventry City win the 2026-27 English Premier League (EPL) Championship?
0.1¢$307.6Kpriority0Opportunity priority — ranking score, not predicted return or edge
Will Nottingham Forest win the 2026-27 English Premier League (EPL) Championship?
0.1¢$305.8Kpriority0Opportunity priority — ranking score, not predicted return or edge
Will Sunderland win the 2026-27 English Premier League (EPL) Championship?
0.1¢$296.5Kpriority0Opportunity priority — ranking score, not predicted return or edge

Observed whale buys · 7d

Aggregated BUY fills of $10K+ per wallet and outcome

marketmeshRobelis Despaigne$20.0K
BUY VWAP 85.8¢·1 fill

Observed BUY activity; current holdings and position change may be unconfirmed.