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Shanghai: Hayato Matsuoka vs Jake Delaney

Sports→Settlement: Jake DelaneyLiquidity: $783.6KOfficial 24h Vol: $395.3KEvent: Shanghai: Hayato Matsuoka vs Jake Delaney
0.0¢
Hayato Matsuoka payout
100.0¢
Jake Delaney payout
Historical analytics · no executable quote
24h sample:141 trades$156.8K tracked4% 🐋source coverage 40%BUY/SELL known 100%
tape 56 min agoofficial metadata 37 min ago
Profitable-wallet flow · 7d:Jake Delaney · $422 net·12 wallets·$13.1K gross
Largest observed trade · 30d:BUYHayato Matsuoka$23.6K@ 87¢·afraz

Historical decision record

Market resolved · outcome Jake Delaney. Flow, alerts and prices below are retained evidence, not an executable setup.

RESOLVED

Resolution & market truth

Verify what settles the market before reading flow as a thesis

Resolution
RESOLVED
Trading
Orders paused
Deadline
2026-09-14 02:00 UTC
Event constraint
Not verified
Resolution source: https://www.atptour.com/en/scores/current
Read full resolution rules

This market refers to the tennis match between Hayato Matsuoka and Jake Delaney in the Shanghai, originally scheduled for September 6, 2026 at 10:00PM ET. This market will resolve to 'Hayato Matsuoka' if Hayato Matsuoka advances against Jake Delaney. This market will resolve to 'Jake Delaney' if Jake Delaney advances against Hayato Matsuoka. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or a winner has not been determined by September 20, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the ATP Tour. A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

Evidence receipts

Timestamped alerts and their measured outcomes; losses and unavailable checks remain visible

ANTI CHASEBUY Jake Delaney2h ago
Outcome checks pending
LARGE FLOWBUY Jake Delaney@ 31.0¢2h ago
15m CONFIRMED +8.0pp1h UNAVAILABLE
LARGE FLOWBUY Hayato Matsuoka@ 86.0¢3h ago
15m INVALIDATED -16.0pp1h INVALIDATED -45.0pp
Latest book event: Hayato Matsuoka DOWN 13.5pp · near-book depth $3.9K → $69 · 9s

Outcome Price History

Execution status
Market resolved · the orderbook is not executable.

Signals Trend

Market Analytics

LifecycleCanonical market state overrides the analytics stage after resolution. discovery/climax/resolving describe open-market analytics only; resolved/void are terminal states.resolved

Signed Order Flow

Directional flow: positive values favor Hayato Matsuoka; negative values favor Jake Delaney. Only trades with known BUY/SELL action are included.
1hJake Delaney · $5.7K
6hHayato Matsuoka · $9.9K
24hHayato Matsuoka · $9.9K

Hayato Matsuoka price VWAP

Volume-weighted Hayato Matsuoka price. Jake Delaney fills are converted to the complementary Hayato Matsuoka probability before aggregation. Distance from VWAP is displacement, not an overbought/oversold signal.
Current0.0¢
VWAP 24h45.7¢▼ below by 45.7pp
VWAP 7d45.7¢
Largest observed holdersActual token balances from Polymarket's holders endpoint. Coverage is limited to the top 20 holders per outcome; percentages are within the reported sample, not total supply.

Largest holders

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Hayato Matsuoka price Volume Profile · tracked 30d

95¢
$0
90¢
$1.6K
85¢
$25.0K
80¢
$404
75¢
$1.6K
70¢
$2.6K
65¢
$36.1K
60¢
$20.8K
55¢
$132
50¢
$436
45¢
$5.3K
40¢
$1.1K
35¢
$0
30¢
$1.7K
25¢
$0
20¢
$1.2K
15¢
$1.5K
10¢
$25.3K
5¢
$0
0¢
← now
$32.2K

VPOC = 65¢ · highlighted bar = current price · blue bar = VPOC

Observed net position building

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Historical observed tape · BUY/SELL shown outcome · retained 30dupdated less than a minute ago
Loading trades…
🐋 Large Trades$10,000+ · retained 30dBUY/SELL shown outcomeΔ now
SELLJake Delaney$21.0K@ 99.9¢
alexdave8880xa4fd…748b
🐋—about 1 hour ago
BUYHayato Matsuoka$13.4K@ 68.0¢
alexdave8880xa4fd…748b
🐋—about 2 hours ago
BUYJake Delaney$10.0K@ 36.7¢0x78be…bde0🐋—about 2 hours ago
BUYJake Delaney$10.0K@ 32.2¢0x78be…bde0🐋—about 2 hours ago
BUYJake Delaney$10.0K@ 32.2¢0x78be…bde0🐋—about 2 hours ago
BUYHayato Matsuoka$23.6K@ 87.3¢
afraz0xca64…4f43
🐋—about 3 hours ago

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Observed whale buys · 7d

Aggregated BUY fills of $10K+ per wallet and outcome

0x78be…bde0Jake Delaney$30.0K
BUY VWAP 33.6¢·3 fills
afrazHayato Matsuoka$23.6K
BUY VWAP 87.3¢·1 fill
alexdave888Hayato Matsuoka$13.4K
BUY VWAP 68.0¢·1 fill

Observed BUY activity; current holdings and position change may be unconfirmed.