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Shanghai: Yosuke Watanuki vs Marat Sharipov

Sports→Settlement: Marat SharipovLiquidity: $122.9KOfficial 24h Vol: $274.6KEvent: Shanghai: Yosuke Watanuki vs Marat Sharipov
0.0¢
Yosuke Watanuki payout
100.0¢
Marat Sharipov payout
Historical analytics · no executable quote
Profitable-wallet flow · 7d:Marat Sharipov · $37.4K net·7 wallets(1🐋)·$68.3K gross
Largest observed trade · 30d:BUYMarat Sharipov$15.8K@ 55¢·0x076d…8d4c

Historical decision record

Market resolved · outcome Marat Sharipov. Flow, alerts and prices below are retained evidence, not an executable setup.

RESOLVED

Resolution & market truth

Verify what settles the market before reading flow as a thesis

Resolution
RESOLVED
Trading
Orders paused
Deadline
2026-09-14 02:00 UTC
Event constraint
Not verified
Resolution source: https://www.atptour.com/en/scores/current
Read full resolution rules

This market refers to the tennis match between Yosuke Watanuki and Marat Sharipov in the Shanghai, originally scheduled for September 6, 2026 at 10:00PM ET. This market will resolve to 'Yosuke Watanuki' if Yosuke Watanuki advances against Marat Sharipov. This market will resolve to 'Marat Sharipov' if Marat Sharipov advances against Yosuke Watanuki. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or a winner has not been determined by September 20, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the ATP Tour. A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

Evidence receipts

Timestamped alerts and their measured outcomes; losses and unavailable checks remain visible

LARGE FLOWBUY Marat Sharipov@ 92.0¢3d ago
15m UNAVAILABLE1h UNAVAILABLE6h UNAVAILABLE24h UNAVAILABLE
ANTI CHASEBUY Marat Sharipov3d ago
Outcome checks pending
LARGE FLOWBUY Marat Sharipov@ 60.0¢3d ago
15m CONFIRMED +31.0pp1h UNAVAILABLE6h UNAVAILABLE24h UNAVAILABLE

Outcome Price History

Execution status
Market resolved · the orderbook is not executable.

Market Analytics

LifecycleCanonical market state overrides the analytics stage after resolution. discovery/climax/resolving describe open-market analytics only; resolved/void are terminal states.resolved

Signed Order Flow

Directional flow: positive values favor Yosuke Watanuki; negative values favor Marat Sharipov. Only trades with known BUY/SELL action are included.
1hYosuke Watanuki · $4.6K
6hMarat Sharipov · $63.9K
24hMarat Sharipov · $63.9K

Yosuke Watanuki price VWAP

Volume-weighted Yosuke Watanuki price. Marat Sharipov fills are converted to the complementary Yosuke Watanuki probability before aggregation. Distance from VWAP is displacement, not an overbought/oversold signal.
Current0.0¢
VWAP 24h45.9¢▼ below by 45.9pp
VWAP 7d45.9¢
Largest observed holdersActual token balances from Polymarket's holders endpoint. Coverage is limited to the top 20 holders per outcome; percentages are within the reported sample, not total supply.

Largest holders

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Yosuke Watanuki price Volume Profile · tracked 30d

95¢
$0
90¢
$0
85¢
$0
80¢
$0
75¢
$0
70¢
$0
65¢
$3.8K
60¢
$1.8K
55¢
$1.4K
50¢
$13.3K
45¢
$66.2K
40¢
$8.2K
35¢
$0
30¢
$3
25¢
$1
20¢
$0
15¢
$0
10¢
$5.3K
5¢
$2.2K
0¢
← now
$0

VPOC = 45¢ · highlighted bar = current price · blue bar = VPOC

Observed net position building

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Historical observed tape · BUY/SELL shown outcome · retained 30dupdated less than a minute ago
Loading trades…
🐋 Large Trades$10,000+ · retained 30dBUY/SELL shown outcomeΔ now
BUYMarat Sharipov$15.8K@ 54.5¢0x076d…8d4c🐋—3 days ago
BUYMarat Sharipov$12.5K@ 50.4¢0x78be…bde0🐋—3 days ago
BUYMarat Sharipov$12.5K@ 50.2¢0x78be…bde0🐋—3 days ago

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Observed whale buys · 7d

Aggregated BUY fills of $10K+ per wallet and outcome

0x076d…8d4cMarat Sharipov$48.8K
BUY VWAP 53.0¢·14 fills
0x78be…bde0Marat Sharipov$25.0K
BUY VWAP 50.3¢·2 fills
0x076d…8d4cYosuke Watanuki$13.2K
BUY VWAP 22.7¢·7 fills

Observed BUY activity; current holdings and position change may be unconfirmed.