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Istanbul 3: Radu David Turcanu vs Egor Agafonov

Sports→Closes: 7 daysLiquidity: $136.2KOfficial 24h Vol: $521.1KEvent: Istanbul 3: Radu David Turcanu vs Egor Agafonov
99.9¢
Radu David Turcanu
0.9¢
Egor Agafonov
Historical analytics · no executable quote
24h sample:128 trades$319.2K tracked11% 🐋source coverage 61%BUY/SELL known 100%
tape 92 min agoofficial metadata 60 min ago
Profitable-wallet flow · 7d:Radu David Turcanu · $291.3K net·11 wallets(1🐋)·$294.4K gross
Largest observed trade · 30d:BUYRadu David Turcanu$27.9K@ 75¢·11vsldfdsgfkjgos

Decision read paused

Market status is CLOSED. No executable setup is shown until trading is open again.

CLOSED

Resolution & market truth

Verify what settles the market before reading flow as a thesis

Resolution
CLOSED
Trading
Orders paused
Deadline
2026-09-13 09:20 UTC
Event constraint
Not verified
Resolution source: https://www.atptour.com/en/scores/current
Read full resolution rules

This market refers to the tennis match between Radu David Turcanu and Egor Agafonov in the Istanbul 3, Turkiye, Qualifying, originally scheduled for September 6, 2026 at 5:20AM ET. This market will resolve to 'Radu David Turcanu' if Radu David Turcanu advances against Egor Agafonov. This market will resolve to 'Egor Agafonov' if Egor Agafonov advances against Radu David Turcanu. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or a winner has not been determined by September 20, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the ATP Tour. A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

Recent definition/status changes
RESOLUTION STATUS CHANGED · 1h ago
TRADING STATUS CHANGED · 1h ago

Evidence receipts

Timestamped alerts and their measured outcomes; losses and unavailable checks remain visible

ANTI CHASEBUY Radu David Turcanu2h ago
Outcome checks pending
LIQUIDITY ABSORPTIONBUY Radu David Turcanu@ 93.0¢2h ago
15m UNAVAILABLE1h UNAVAILABLE
ANTI CHASEBUY Radu David Turcanu2h ago
Outcome checks pending
ANTI CHASEBUY Radu David Turcanu2h ago
Outcome checks pending
Latest book event: Egor Agafonov DOWN 5.5pp · near-book depth $1.5K → $88 · 13s

Outcome Price History

Execution status
Market closed · the orderbook is not executable.

Signals Trend

Market Analytics

Signed Order Flow

Directional flow: positive values favor Radu David Turcanu; negative values favor Egor Agafonov. Only trades with known BUY/SELL action are included.
1hRadu David Turcanu · $67.2K
6hRadu David Turcanu · $315.0K
24hRadu David Turcanu · $315.0K

Radu David Turcanu price VWAP

Volume-weighted Radu David Turcanu price. Egor Agafonov fills are converted to the complementary Radu David Turcanu probability before aggregation. Distance from VWAP is displacement, not an overbought/oversold signal.
Current99.9¢
VWAP 24h82.2¢▲ above by 17.7pp
VWAP 7d82.2¢
Largest observed holdersActual token balances from Polymarket's holders endpoint. Coverage is limited to the top 20 holders per outcome; percentages are within the reported sample, not total supply.

Largest holders

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Radu David Turcanu price Volume Profile · tracked 30d

95¢
← now
$5.0K
90¢
$54.6K
85¢
$64.8K
80¢
$67.2K
75¢
$100.5K
70¢
$1.3K
65¢
$17.1K
60¢
$8.8K
55¢
$0
50¢
$0
45¢
$0
40¢
$0
35¢
$0
30¢
$0
25¢
$0
20¢
$0
15¢
$0
10¢
$0
5¢
$0
0¢
$0

VPOC = 75¢ · highlighted bar = current price · blue bar = VPOC

Observed net position building

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Historical observed tape · BUY/SELL shown outcome · retained 30dupdated less than a minute ago
Loading trades…
🐋 Large Trades$10,000+ · retained 30dBUY/SELL shown outcomeΔ now
BUYRadu David Turcanu$11.1K@ 90.5¢
11vsldfdsgfkjgos0x3970…44ce
🐋—about 2 hours ago
BUYRadu David Turcanu$13.9K@ 90.5¢
11vsldfdsgfkjgos0x3970…44ce
🐋—about 2 hours ago
BUYRadu David Turcanu$23.9K@ 90.1¢
11vsldfdsgfkjgos0x3970…44ce
🐋—about 2 hours ago
BUYRadu David Turcanu$16.0K@ 90.0¢
11vsldfdsgfkjgos0x3970…44ce
🐋—about 2 hours ago
BUYRadu David Turcanu$22.0K@ 88.7¢
11vsldfdsgfkjgos0x3970…44ce
🐋—about 2 hours ago
BUYRadu David Turcanu$12.2K@ 86.5¢
11vsldfdsgfkjgos0x3970…44ce
🐋—about 2 hours ago
BUYRadu David Turcanu$23.6K@ 78.2¢
11vsldfdsgfkjgos0x3970…44ce
🐋—about 2 hours ago
BUYRadu David Turcanu$10.7K@ 76.5¢
11vsldfdsgfkjgos0x3970…44ce
🐋—about 2 hours ago
BUYRadu David Turcanu$21.8K@ 75.2¢
11vsldfdsgfkjgos0x3970…44ce
🐋—about 2 hours ago
BUYRadu David Turcanu$27.9K@ 75.3¢
11vsldfdsgfkjgos0x3970…44ce
🐋—about 2 hours ago
BUYRadu David Turcanu$13.9K@ 79.3¢
11vsldfdsgfkjgos0x3970…44ce
🐋—about 2 hours ago
BUYRadu David Turcanu$15.1K@ 82.6¢
11vsldfdsgfkjgos0x3970…44ce
🐋—about 2 hours ago
BUYRadu David Turcanu$10.5K@ 84.5¢
11vsldfdsgfkjgos0x3970…44ce
🐋—about 2 hours ago
BUYRadu David Turcanu$23.8K@ 82.6¢
11vsldfdsgfkjgos0x3970…44ce
🐋—about 2 hours ago

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Observed whale buys · 7d

Aggregated BUY fills of $10K+ per wallet and outcome

11vsldfdsgfkjgosRadu David Turcanu$290.0K
BUY VWAP 81.4¢·21 fills
0x351f…b0d8Radu David Turcanu$16.3K
BUY VWAP 80.3¢·8 fills

Observed BUY activity; current holdings and position change may be unconfirmed.