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Cassis: Adil Kalyanpur vs Matisse Bobichon

● quote 1 min ago
Sports→Closes: 7 daysLiquidity: $75.7KOfficial 24h Vol: $68.2KEvent: Cassis: Adil Kalyanpur vs Matisse Bobichon
0.1¢
Adil Kalyanpur
100.0¢
Matisse Bobichon
0.1¢
Spread
anomaly12Activity anomaly — current observed activity versus the market baselinedirection0Direction — strength and consistency of signed flow between the two outcomeswallets28Wallet quality — contribution from verified profitable non-bot walletsexecution99Execution — spread, depth and quote quality; not expected valuepriority0Opportunity priority — ranking score, not predicted return or edgedata 59%💡 5 smartMeasured profitable wallets: positive real PnL, 20+ trades, non-bot
24h sample:25 trades$24.9K trackedsource coverage 36%BUY/SELL known 100%
tape 37 min agoofficial metadata 27s ago
Profitable-wallet flow · 7d:Adil Kalyanpur · $23 net·5 wallets·$85 gross
Largest observed trade · 30d:BUYMatisse Bobichon$6.0K@ 86¢·0000.

Decision read

Evidence and execution checklist — not a trade recommendation

WAIT — EVIDENCE TOO THIN
What the tape says

No material 1h direction in the tracked BUY/SELL sample.

1h
+$4
6h
−$12.8K
tracked
$24.9K

5 verified profitable wallets: Adil Kalyanpur · $23 net over 7d.

Can it be executed?
0.1¢displayed spread

Tight displayed spread; depth and partial-fill risk still matter.

Data confidence 59% · priority 0

Priority ranks review urgency; it is not probability or expected value.

Risks / missing evidence
  • •Price is near 0/100¢; headline flow can have little remaining payoff.
  • •Observed tape is 37 minutes old.

Stronger read requires meaningful signed flow plus confirmation across distinct observed wallets.

Resolution & market truth

Verify what settles the market before reading flow as a thesis

Resolution
OPEN
Trading
Orders accepted
Deadline
2026-09-13 10:20 UTC
Event constraint
Not verified
Resolution source: https://www.atptour.com/en/scores/current
Read full resolution rules

This market refers to the tennis match between Adil Kalyanpur and Matisse Bobichon in the Cassis, France, Qualifying, originally scheduled for September 6, 2026 at 6:20AM ET. This market will resolve to 'Adil Kalyanpur' if Adil Kalyanpur advances against Matisse Bobichon. This market will resolve to 'Matisse Bobichon' if Matisse Bobichon advances against Adil Kalyanpur. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or a winner has not been determined by September 20, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the ATP Tour. A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

Evidence receipts

Timestamped alerts and their measured outcomes; losses and unavailable checks remain visible

No decision-grade alert has been emitted for this market yet.
Latest book event: Adil Kalyanpur DOWN 11.8pp · near-book depth $8.2K → $3.1K · 102s

Outcome Price History

Executable orderbook · both outcomes
Loading executable orderbook…

Market Analytics

LifecycleCanonical market state overrides the analytics stage after resolution. discovery/climax/resolving describe open-market analytics only; resolved/void are terminal states.climax

Signed Order Flow

Directional flow: positive values favor Adil Kalyanpur; negative values favor Matisse Bobichon. Only trades with known BUY/SELL action are included.
1hAdil Kalyanpur · $4
6hMatisse Bobichon · $12.8K
24hMatisse Bobichon · $24.8K

Adil Kalyanpur price VWAP

Volume-weighted Adil Kalyanpur price. Matisse Bobichon fills are converted to the complementary Adil Kalyanpur probability before aggregation. Distance from VWAP is displacement, not an overbought/oversold signal.
Current0.1¢
VWAP 24h15.4¢▼ below by 15.4pp
VWAP 7d15.4¢
Largest observed holdersActual token balances from Polymarket's holders endpoint. Coverage is limited to the top 20 holders per outcome; percentages are within the reported sample, not total supply.

Largest holders

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Adil Kalyanpur price Volume Profile · tracked 30d

95¢
$0
90¢
$0
85¢
$0
80¢
$0
75¢
$0
70¢
$0
65¢
$0
60¢
$0
55¢
$0
50¢
$0
45¢
$0
40¢
$0
35¢
$0
30¢
$0
25¢
$0
20¢
$1.1K
15¢
$12.8K
10¢
$11.0K
5¢
$0
0¢
← now
$2

VPOC = 15¢ · highlighted bar = current price · blue bar = VPOC

Observed net position building

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Observed Tape · BUY/SELL shown outcome · retained 30dupdated less than a minute ago
Loading trades…
🐋 Large Trades$10,000+ · retained 30dBUY/SELL shown outcomeΔ now
No whale activity

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Observed whale buys · 7d

Aggregated BUY fills of $10K+ per wallet and outcome

Jan777Matisse Bobichon$13.7K
BUY VWAP 83.2¢·8 fills
0000.Matisse Bobichon$11.0K
BUY VWAP 86.3¢·2 fills

Observed BUY activity; current holdings and position change may be unconfirmed.