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Phan Thiet 3: Timofei Derepasko vs Taiyo Yamanaka

Sports→Settlement: Timofei DerepaskoLiquidity: $127.4KOfficial 24h Vol: $103.3KEvent: Phan Thiet 3: Timofei Derepasko vs Taiyo Yamanaka
100.0¢
Timofei Derepasko payout
0.0¢
Taiyo Yamanaka payout
Historical analytics · no executable quote
24h sample:52 trades$35.2K tracked2% 🐋source coverage 34%BUY/SELL known 100%
tape 120 min agoofficial metadata 91 min ago
Profitable-wallet flow · 7d:Timofei Derepasko · $79 net·5 wallets·$439 gross
Largest observed trade · 30d:BUYTimofei Derepasko$15.0K@ 64¢·soukaev

Historical decision record

Market resolved · outcome Timofei Derepasko. Flow, alerts and prices below are retained evidence, not an executable setup.

RESOLVED

Resolution & market truth

Verify what settles the market before reading flow as a thesis

Resolution
RESOLVED
Trading
Orders paused
Deadline
2026-09-14 03:00 UTC
Event constraint
Not verified
Resolution source: https://www.atptour.com/en/scores/current
Read full resolution rules

This market refers to the tennis match between Timofei Derepasko and Taiyo Yamanaka in the Phan Thiet 3, Vietnam, Qualifying, originally scheduled for September 6, 2026 at 11:00PM ET. This market will resolve to 'Timofei Derepasko' if Timofei Derepasko advances against Taiyo Yamanaka. This market will resolve to 'Taiyo Yamanaka' if Taiyo Yamanaka advances against Timofei Derepasko. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or a winner has not been determined by September 20, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the ATP Tour. A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

Evidence receipts

Timestamped alerts and their measured outcomes; losses and unavailable checks remain visible

ANTI CHASEBUY Timofei Derepasko3h ago
Outcome checks pending
LARGE FLOWBUY Timofei Derepasko@ 62.0¢3h ago
15m CONFIRMED +8.0pp1h STALLED +0.0pp
Latest book event: Timofei Derepasko DOWN 4.0pp · near-book depth $2.1K → $1.0K · 8s

Outcome Price History

Execution status
Market resolved · the orderbook is not executable.

Signals Trend

Market Analytics

LifecycleCanonical market state overrides the analytics stage after resolution. discovery/climax/resolving describe open-market analytics only; resolved/void are terminal states.resolved

Signed Order Flow

Directional flow: positive values favor Timofei Derepasko; negative values favor Taiyo Yamanaka. Only trades with known BUY/SELL action are included.
1hTaiyo Yamanaka · $4.4K
6hTimofei Derepasko · $17.5K
24hTimofei Derepasko · $17.5K

Timofei Derepasko price VWAP

Volume-weighted Timofei Derepasko price. Taiyo Yamanaka fills are converted to the complementary Timofei Derepasko probability before aggregation. Distance from VWAP is displacement, not an overbought/oversold signal.
Current100.0¢
VWAP 24h65.1¢▲ above by 34.9pp
VWAP 7d65.1¢
Largest observed holdersActual token balances from Polymarket's holders endpoint. Coverage is limited to the top 20 holders per outcome; percentages are within the reported sample, not total supply.

Largest holders

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Timofei Derepasko price Volume Profile · tracked 30d

95¢
← now
$5.1K
90¢
$5
85¢
$223
80¢
$405
75¢
$0
70¢
$0
65¢
$38
60¢
$18.2K
55¢
$11
50¢
$10.2K
45¢
$34
40¢
$22
35¢
$0
30¢
$164
25¢
$829
20¢
$0
15¢
$0
10¢
$0
5¢
$0
0¢
$0

VPOC = 60¢ · highlighted bar = current price · blue bar = VPOC

Observed net position building

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Historical observed tape · BUY/SELL shown outcome · retained 30dupdated less than a minute ago
Loading trades…
🐋 Large Trades$10,000+ · retained 30dBUY/SELL shown outcomeΔ now
BUYTimofei Derepasko$15.0K@ 64.5¢
soukaev0x7568…2ce1
🐋—about 4 hours ago

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Observed whale buys · 7d

Aggregated BUY fills of $10K+ per wallet and outcome

soukaevTimofei Derepasko$22.3K
BUY VWAP 59.6¢·2 fills

Observed BUY activity; current holdings and position change may be unconfirmed.