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San Diego Padres vs. San Francisco Giants

● quote 33s ago
Sports→Closes: 7 daysLiquidity: $63.7KOfficial 24h Vol: $247.4KEvent: San Diego Padres vs. San Francisco Giants
99.9¢
San Diego Padres
0.1¢
San Francisco Giants
0.1¢
Spread
anomaly100Activity anomaly — current observed activity versus the market baselinedirection9Direction — strength and consistency of signed flow between the two outcomeswallets88Wallet quality — contribution from verified profitable non-bot walletsexecution93Execution — spread, depth and quote quality; not expected valuepriority0Opportunity priority — ranking score, not predicted return or edgedata 76%💡 14 smartMeasured profitable wallets: positive real PnL, 20+ trades, non-bot
24h sample:98 trades$110.3K tracked3% 🐋source coverage 45%BUY/SELL known 100%
tape 8 min agoofficial metadata 2 min ago
Profitable-wallet flow · 7d:San Diego Padres · $55.9K net·14 wallets(2🐋)·$63.3K gross
Largest observed trade · 30d:BUYSan Diego Padres$17.5K@ 63¢·maz26

Decision read

Evidence and execution checklist — not a trade recommendation

TOO LATE — DO NOT CHASE
What the tape says

San Diego Padres pressure: $9.9K net directional flow in 1h.

1h
+$9.9K
6h
+$74.2K
tracked
$110.3K

14 verified profitable wallets: San Diego Padres · $55.9K net over 7d.

Can it be executed?
0.1¢displayed spread

Tight displayed spread; depth and partial-fill risk still matter.

Data confidence 76% · priority 0

Since latest large flow: +37.0pp at executable prices.

Priority ranks review urgency; it is not probability or expected value.

Risks / missing evidence
  • •Price is near 0/100¢; headline flow can have little remaining payoff.
  • •Executable BUY price moved 37.0pp since the latest alert; its original entry no longer exists.

The read weakens if 1h flow flips away from San Diego Padres or execution deteriorates.

Resolution & market truth

Verify what settles the market before reading flow as a thesis

Resolution
OPEN
Trading
Orders accepted
Deadline
2026-09-19 20:05 UTC
Event constraint
Not verified
Resolution source: https://www.mlb.com/
Outcome meaning

•This market will resolve to "San Diego Padres" if the San Diego Padres win the game.

•This market will resolve to "San Francisco Giants" if the San Francisco Giants win the game.

Read full resolution rules

In the upcoming MLB game between the San Diego Padres and San Francisco Giants, scheduled for September 12 at 4:05PM ET: This market will resolve to "San Diego Padres" if the San Diego Padres win the game. This market will resolve to "San Francisco Giants" if the San Francisco Giants win the game. If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed. If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, or ends in a tie, this market will resolve 50-50. The primary resolution source for this market is the official final statistics of the event as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. However, if the governing body or event organizers have not published final match statistics within 24 hours after the event's conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead.

Evidence receipts

Timestamped alerts and their measured outcomes; losses and unavailable checks remain visible

LARGE FLOWBUY San Diego Padres@ 63.0¢3h ago
15m INVALIDATED -27.0pp1h CONFIRMED +7.0pp
LARGE FLOWBUY San Diego Padres@ 63.0¢3h ago
15m INVALIDATED -27.0pp1h CONFIRMED +7.0pp
Latest book event: San Diego Padres UP 13.9pp · near-book depth $226 → $15.9K · 61s

Outcome Price History

Executable orderbook · both outcomes
Loading executable orderbook…

Signals Trend

Market Analytics

Signed Order Flow

Directional flow: positive values favor San Diego Padres; negative values favor San Francisco Giants. Only trades with known BUY/SELL action are included.
1hSan Diego Padres · $9.9K
6hSan Diego Padres · $74.2K
24hSan Diego Padres · $96.7K

San Diego Padres price VWAP

Volume-weighted San Diego Padres price. San Francisco Giants fills are converted to the complementary San Diego Padres probability before aggregation. Distance from VWAP is displacement, not an overbought/oversold signal.
Current99.9¢
VWAP 24h72.5¢▲ above by 27.4pp
VWAP 7d72.5¢
Largest observed holdersActual token balances from Polymarket's holders endpoint. Coverage is limited to the top 20 holders per outcome; percentages are within the reported sample, not total supply.

Largest holders

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San Diego Padres price Volume Profile · tracked 30d

95¢
← now
$6.1K
90¢
$22.7K
85¢
$11.7K
80¢
$2.4K
75¢
$54
70¢
$2.2K
65¢
$239
60¢
$60.0K
55¢
$977
50¢
$0
45¢
$1.4K
40¢
$145
35¢
$2.3K
30¢
$0
25¢
$0
20¢
$0
15¢
$0
10¢
$0
5¢
$0
0¢
$0

VPOC = 60¢ · highlighted bar = current price · blue bar = VPOC

Observed net position building

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Observed Tape · BUY/SELL shown outcome · retained 30dupdated less than a minute ago
Loading trades…
🐋 Large Trades$10,000+ · retained 30dBUY/SELL shown outcomeΔ now
BUYSan Diego Padres$12.6K@ 90.0¢0x2c33…0563🐋—about 1 hour ago
BUYSan Diego Padres$17.5K@ 63.0¢
maz260x6754…e3bc
🐋—about 3 hours ago
BUYSan Diego Padres$15.2K@ 63.0¢
ferrariChampions20260xfe78…0319
🐋—about 3 hours ago

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Observed whale buys · 7d

Aggregated BUY fills of $10K+ per wallet and outcome

ferrariChampions2026San Diego Padres$19.1K
BUY VWAP 62.6¢·2 fills
0x2c33…0563San Diego Padres$18.8K
BUY VWAP 76.3¢·3 fills
maz26San Diego Padres$17.5K
BUY VWAP 63.0¢·1 fill

Observed BUY activity; current holdings and position change may be unconfirmed.