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Kansas City Royals vs. Boston Red Sox

● quote 6 min ago
Sports→Closes: 7 daysLiquidity: $149.8KOfficial 24h Vol: $162.4KEvent: Kansas City Royals vs. Boston Red Sox
2.5¢
Kansas City Royals
99.9¢
Boston Red Sox
0.1¢
Spread
anomaly100Activity anomaly — current observed activity versus the market baselinedirection25Direction — strength and consistency of signed flow between the two outcomeswallets4Wallet quality — contribution from verified profitable non-bot walletsexecution30Execution — spread, depth and quote quality; not expected valuepriority0Opportunity priority — ranking score, not predicted return or edgedata 78%💡 6 smartMeasured profitable wallets: positive real PnL, 20+ trades, non-bot
24h sample:22 trades$85.9K tracked9% 🐋source coverage 53%BUY/SELL known 100%
tape 21 min agoofficial metadata 7 min ago
Profitable-wallet flow · 7d:Boston Red Sox · $487 net·6 wallets·$13.7K gross
Largest observed trade · 30d:SELLBoston Red Sox$25.9K@ 100¢·kkookkoo

Decision read

Evidence and execution checklist — not a trade recommendation

TOO LATE — DO NOT CHASE
What the tape says

Kansas City Royals pressure: $21.7K net directional flow in 1h.

1h
+$21.7K
6h
+$1.0K
tracked
$85.9K

6 verified profitable wallets: Boston Red Sox · $487 net over 7d.

Can it be executed?
0.1¢displayed spread

Tight displayed spread; depth and partial-fill risk still matter.

Data confidence 78% · priority 0

Since latest large flow: +10.0pp at executable prices.

Priority ranks review urgency; it is not probability or expected value.

Risks / missing evidence
  • •Price is near 0/100¢; headline flow can have little remaining payoff.
  • •Executable quote is 6 minutes old.
  • •Observed tape is 21 minutes old.
  • •Executable BUY price moved 10.0pp since the latest alert; its original entry no longer exists.

The read weakens if 1h flow flips away from Kansas City Royals or execution deteriorates.

Resolution & market truth

Verify what settles the market before reading flow as a thesis

Resolution
OPEN
Trading
Orders accepted
Deadline
2026-09-19 20:10 UTC
Event constraint
Not verified
Resolution source: https://www.mlb.com/
Outcome meaning

•This market will resolve to "Kansas City Royals" if the Kansas City Royals win the game.

•This market will resolve to "Boston Red Sox" if the Boston Red Sox win the game.

Read full resolution rules

In the upcoming MLB game between the Kansas City Royals and Boston Red Sox, scheduled for September 12 at 4:10PM ET: This market will resolve to "Kansas City Royals" if the Kansas City Royals win the game. This market will resolve to "Boston Red Sox" if the Boston Red Sox win the game. If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed. If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, or ends in a tie, this market will resolve 50-50. The primary resolution source for this market is the official final statistics of the event as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. However, if the governing body or event organizers have not published final match statistics within 24 hours after the event's conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead.

Evidence receipts

Timestamped alerts and their measured outcomes; losses and unavailable checks remain visible

LARGE FLOWBUY Boston Red Sox@ 90.0¢1h ago
15m CONFIRMED +6.0pp1h UNAVAILABLE
Latest book event: Boston Red Sox UP 6.0pp · near-book depth $495 → $7.3K · 111s

Outcome Price History

Executable orderbook · both outcomes
Loading executable orderbook…

Signals Trend

Market Analytics

Signed Order Flow

Directional flow: positive values favor Kansas City Royals; negative values favor Boston Red Sox. Only trades with known BUY/SELL action are included.
1hKansas City Royals · $21.7K
6hKansas City Royals · $1.0K
24hBoston Red Sox · $7.7K

Kansas City Royals price VWAP

Volume-weighted Kansas City Royals price. Boston Red Sox fills are converted to the complementary Kansas City Royals probability before aggregation. Distance from VWAP is displacement, not an overbought/oversold signal.
Current2.5¢
VWAP 24h15.7¢▼ below by 13.2pp
VWAP 7d15.7¢
Largest observed holdersActual token balances from Polymarket's holders endpoint. Coverage is limited to the top 20 holders per outcome; percentages are within the reported sample, not total supply.

Largest holders

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Kansas City Royals price Volume Profile · tracked 30d

95¢
$0
90¢
$0
85¢
$0
80¢
$0
75¢
$0
70¢
$0
65¢
$0
60¢
$0
55¢
$0
50¢
$0
45¢
$0
40¢
$0
35¢
$6.7K
30¢
$17.3K
25¢
$15.6K
20¢
$1.4K
15¢
$0
10¢
$4.3K
5¢
$71
0¢
← now
$40.5K

VPOC = 0¢ · highlighted bar = current price · blue bar = VPOC

Observed net position building

Loading…
Observed Tape · BUY/SELL shown outcome · retained 30dupdated less than a minute ago
Loading trades…
🐋 Large Trades$10,000+ · retained 30dBUY/SELL shown outcomeΔ now
SELLBoston Red Sox$25.9K@ 99.9¢
kkookkoo0x26b4…b8a9
🐋—22 minutes ago
BUYBoston Red Sox$15.6K@ 71.3¢
kkookkoo0x26b4…b8a9
🐋—about 1 hour ago

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Observed whale buys · 7d

Aggregated BUY fills of $10K+ per wallet and outcome

kkookkooBoston Red Sox$24.6K
BUY VWAP 73.0¢·3 fills

Observed BUY activity; current holdings and position change may be unconfirmed.