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Cleveland Guardians vs. Minnesota Twins

● quote just now
Sports→Closes: 7 daysLiquidity: $55.1KOfficial 24h Vol: $136.9KEvent: Cleveland Guardians vs. Minnesota Twins
0.1¢
Cleveland Guardians
100.0¢
Minnesota Twins
0.1¢
Spread
anomaly100Activity anomaly — current observed activity versus the market baselinedirection4Direction — strength and consistency of signed flow between the two outcomeswallets13Wallet quality — contribution from verified profitable non-bot walletsexecution92Execution — spread, depth and quote quality; not expected valuepriority0Opportunity priority — ranking score, not predicted return or edgedata 74%💡 9 smartMeasured profitable wallets: positive real PnL, 20+ trades, non-bot
24h sample:68 trades$46.5K trackedsource coverage 34%BUY/SELL known 100%
tape 7 min agoofficial metadata 1 min ago
Profitable-wallet flow · 7d:Minnesota Twins · $4.4K net·9 wallets·$32.6K gross
Largest observed trade · 30d:BUYCleveland Guardians$6.1K@ 31¢·0x2c33…0563

Decision read

Evidence and execution checklist — not a trade recommendation

WAIT — EVIDENCE TOO THIN
What the tape says

Minnesota Twins pressure: $1.7K net directional flow in 1h.

1h
−$1.7K
6h
−$7.2K
tracked
$46.5K

9 verified profitable wallets: Minnesota Twins · $4.4K net over 7d.

Can it be executed?
0.1¢displayed spread

Tight displayed spread; depth and partial-fill risk still matter.

Data confidence 74% · priority 0

Priority ranks review urgency; it is not probability or expected value.

Risks / missing evidence
  • •Price is near 0/100¢; headline flow can have little remaining payoff.

The read weakens if 1h flow flips away from Minnesota Twins or execution deteriorates.

Resolution & market truth

Verify what settles the market before reading flow as a thesis

Resolution
OPEN
Trading
Orders accepted
Deadline
2026-09-19 20:10 UTC
Event constraint
Not verified
Resolution source: https://www.mlb.com/
Outcome meaning

•This market will resolve to "Cleveland Guardians" if the Cleveland Guardians win the game.

•This market will resolve to "Minnesota Twins" if the Minnesota Twins win the game.

Read full resolution rules

In the upcoming MLB game between the Cleveland Guardians and Minnesota Twins, scheduled for September 12 at 4:10PM ET: This market will resolve to "Cleveland Guardians" if the Cleveland Guardians win the game. This market will resolve to "Minnesota Twins" if the Minnesota Twins win the game. If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed. If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, or ends in a tie, this market will resolve 50-50. The primary resolution source for this market is the official final statistics of the event as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. However, if the governing body or event organizers have not published final match statistics within 24 hours after the event's conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead.

Event-level hedge context · observed 7d flow
0x4f22 linked markets · $4.3K gross
HomeRunHazard2 linked markets · $3.0K gross

Multi-market activity can be a hedge; do not read one leg as the wallet’s full thesis.

Evidence receipts

Timestamped alerts and their measured outcomes; losses and unavailable checks remain visible

No decision-grade alert has been emitted for this market yet.
Latest book event: Minnesota Twins DOWN 3.0pp · near-book depth $5.9K → $7 · 27s

Outcome Price History

Executable orderbook · both outcomes
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Market Analytics

Signed Order Flow

Directional flow: positive values favor Cleveland Guardians; negative values favor Minnesota Twins. Only trades with known BUY/SELL action are included.
1hMinnesota Twins · $1.7K
6hMinnesota Twins · $7.2K
24hMinnesota Twins · $6.1K

Cleveland Guardians price VWAP

Volume-weighted Cleveland Guardians price. Minnesota Twins fills are converted to the complementary Cleveland Guardians probability before aggregation. Distance from VWAP is displacement, not an overbought/oversold signal.
Current0.1¢
VWAP 24h29.5¢▼ below by 29.4pp
VWAP 7d29.5¢
Largest observed holdersActual token balances from Polymarket's holders endpoint. Coverage is limited to the top 20 holders per outcome; percentages are within the reported sample, not total supply.

Largest holders

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Cleveland Guardians price Volume Profile · tracked 30d

95¢
$0
90¢
$0
85¢
$0
80¢
$0
75¢
$0
70¢
$0
65¢
$0
60¢
$4.8K
55¢
$1.9K
50¢
$1.1K
45¢
$3.2K
40¢
$8
35¢
$0
30¢
$13.3K
25¢
$3.9K
20¢
$3.0K
15¢
$2.0K
10¢
$9.7K
5¢
$3.7K
0¢
← now
$1

VPOC = 30¢ · highlighted bar = current price · blue bar = VPOC

Observed net position building

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Observed Tape · BUY/SELL shown outcome · retained 30dupdated less than a minute ago
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🐋 Large Trades$10,000+ · retained 30dBUY/SELL shown outcomeΔ now
No whale activity

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Observed whale buys · 7d

Aggregated BUY fills of $10K+ per wallet and outcome

0x2c33…0563Cleveland Guardians$11.4K
BUY VWAP 31.5¢·2 fills

Observed BUY activity; current holdings and position change may be unconfirmed.