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Seattle Mariners vs. Athletics

● quote just now
Sports→Closes: 7 daysLiquidity: $125.5KOfficial 24h Vol: $104.6KEvent: Seattle Mariners vs. Athletics
100.0¢
Seattle Mariners
0.1¢
Athletics
0.1¢
Spread
anomaly100Activity anomaly — current observed activity versus the market baselinedirection25Direction — strength and consistency of signed flow between the two outcomeswallets40Wallet quality — contribution from verified profitable non-bot walletsexecution99Execution — spread, depth and quote quality; not expected valuepriority0Opportunity priority — ranking score, not predicted return or edgedata 74%💡 7 smartMeasured profitable wallets: positive real PnL, 20+ trades, non-bot
24h sample:63 trades$38.3K trackedsource coverage 37%BUY/SELL known 100%
tape 17 min agoofficial metadata 42s ago
Profitable-wallet flow · 7d:Athletics · $2.5K net·7 wallets·$6.2K gross
Largest observed trade · 30d:BUYSeattle Mariners$8.0K@ 100¢·Ohtani-Wife

Decision read

Evidence and execution checklist — not a trade recommendation

WAIT — EVIDENCE TOO THIN
What the tape says

Seattle Mariners pressure: $9.5K net directional flow in 1h.

1h
+$9.5K
6h
+$15.0K
tracked
$38.3K

7 verified profitable wallets: Athletics · $2.5K net over 7d.

Can it be executed?
0.1¢displayed spread

Tight displayed spread; depth and partial-fill risk still matter.

Data confidence 74% · priority 0

Priority ranks review urgency; it is not probability or expected value.

Risks / missing evidence
  • •Price is near 0/100¢; headline flow can have little remaining payoff.
  • •Observed tape is 17 minutes old.

The read weakens if 1h flow flips away from Seattle Mariners or execution deteriorates.

Resolution & market truth

Verify what settles the market before reading flow as a thesis

Resolution
OPEN
Trading
Orders accepted
Deadline
2026-09-20 01:40 UTC
Event constraint
Not verified
Resolution source: https://www.mlb.com/
Outcome meaning

•This market will resolve to "Seattle Mariners" if the Seattle Mariners win the game.

•This market will resolve to "Athletics" if the Athletics win the game.

Read full resolution rules

In the upcoming MLB game between the Seattle Mariners and Athletics, scheduled for September 12 at 9:40PM ET: This market will resolve to "Seattle Mariners" if the Seattle Mariners win the game. This market will resolve to "Athletics" if the Athletics win the game. If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed. If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, or ends in a tie, this market will resolve 50-50. The primary resolution source for this market is the official final statistics of the event as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. However, if the governing body or event organizers have not published final match statistics within 24 hours after the event's conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead.

Event-level hedge context · observed 7d flow
0x4f22 linked markets · $6.2K gross
5f5a2 linked markets · $12 gross

Multi-market activity can be a hedge; do not read one leg as the wallet’s full thesis.

Evidence receipts

Timestamped alerts and their measured outcomes; losses and unavailable checks remain visible

No decision-grade alert has been emitted for this market yet.
Latest book event: Seattle Mariners UP 2.5pp · near-book depth $34.0K → $3.3K · 78s

Outcome Price History

Executable orderbook · both outcomes
Loading executable orderbook…

Signals Trend

Market Analytics

Signed Order Flow

Directional flow: positive values favor Seattle Mariners; negative values favor Athletics. Only trades with known BUY/SELL action are included.
1hSeattle Mariners · $9.5K
6hSeattle Mariners · $15.0K
24hSeattle Mariners · $11.6K

Seattle Mariners price VWAP

Volume-weighted Seattle Mariners price. Athletics fills are converted to the complementary Seattle Mariners probability before aggregation. Distance from VWAP is displacement, not an overbought/oversold signal.
Current100.0¢
VWAP 24h81.1¢▲ above by 18.9pp
VWAP 7d81.1¢
Largest observed holdersActual token balances from Polymarket's holders endpoint. Coverage is limited to the top 20 holders per outcome; percentages are within the reported sample, not total supply.

Largest holders

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Seattle Mariners price Volume Profile · tracked 30d

95¢
← now
$18.9K
90¢
$1.6K
85¢
$609
80¢
$0
75¢
$0
70¢
$101
65¢
$2.1K
60¢
$9.2K
55¢
$5.8K
50¢
$0
45¢
$0
40¢
$0
35¢
$0
30¢
$0
25¢
$0
20¢
$0
15¢
$0
10¢
$0
5¢
$0
0¢
$0

VPOC = 95¢ · highlighted bar = current price · blue bar = VPOC

Observed net position building

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Observed Tape · BUY/SELL shown outcome · retained 30dupdated less than a minute ago
Loading trades…
🐋 Large Trades$10,000+ · retained 30dBUY/SELL shown outcomeΔ now
No whale activity

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Observed whale buys · 7d

Aggregated BUY fills of $10K+ per wallet and outcome

No observed $10K+ whale buys

Observed BUY activity; current holdings and position change may be unconfirmed.