PolyScope
ScreenerCategoriesEventsLarge TradesWallets🐋 Top Whales⚡ Early MoversSignalsSmart MoneyPortfolioWatchlist🔔 Alerts

Counter-Strike: NIP vs Sinners - Map 2 Winner

● quote 26s ago
Sports→Closes: about 3 hoursLiquidity: $243.5KOfficial 24h Vol: $111.3KEvent: Counter-Strike: NIP vs Sinners (BO3) - PGL Masters Bucharest: European Qualifier Playoffs
100.0¢
NIP
0.1¢
Sinners
0.1¢
Spread
anomaly100Activity anomaly — current observed activity versus the market baselinedirection40Direction — strength and consistency of signed flow between the two outcomeswallets6Wallet quality — contribution from verified profitable non-bot walletsexecution99Execution — spread, depth and quote quality; not expected valuepriority0Opportunity priority — ranking score, not predicted return or edgedata 72%💡 2 smartMeasured profitable wallets: positive real PnL, 20+ trades, non-bot
24h sample:24 trades$29.3K trackedsource coverage 26%BUY/SELL known 100%
tape 22 min agoofficial metadata 36s ago
Profitable-wallet flow · 7d:NIP · $1.3K net·2 wallets·$14.9K gross
Largest observed trade · 30d:SELLNIP$6.7K@ 100¢·Mr.Ape

Decision read

Evidence and execution checklist — not a trade recommendation

WAIT — EVIDENCE TOO THIN
What the tape says

Sinners pressure: $11.8K net directional flow in 1h.

1h
−$11.8K
6h
−$7.4K
tracked
$29.3K

2 verified profitable wallets: NIP · $1.3K net over 7d.

Can it be executed?
0.1¢displayed spread

Tight displayed spread; depth and partial-fill risk still matter.

Data confidence 72% · priority 0

Priority ranks review urgency; it is not probability or expected value.

Risks / missing evidence
  • •Price is near 0/100¢; headline flow can have little remaining payoff.
  • •Observed tape is 22 minutes old.
  • •Less than 3h remains; resolution risk is elevated.

The read weakens if 1h flow flips away from Sinners or execution deteriorates.

Resolution & market truth

Verify what settles the market before reading flow as a thesis

Resolution
OPEN
Trading
Orders accepted
Deadline
2026-09-09 20:15 UTC
Event constraint
Not verified
Resolution source: https://hltv.org
Outcome meaning

•This market will resolve to "NIP" if NIP win Map 2 against Sinners.

•This market will resolve to "Sinners" if Sinners win Map 2 against NIP.

Read full resolution rules

This market refers to the Counter-Strike Upper Bracket Quarterfinal 3 match between NIP and Sinners in the PGL Masters Bucharest: European Qualifier Playoffs, initially scheduled for September 9, 2026 at 10:00 AM ET. This market will resolve to "NIP" if NIP win Map 2 against Sinners. This market will resolve to "Sinners" if Sinners win Map 2 against NIP. If the match begins but is not completed, and Map 2 is concluded with a winner determined, this market will resolve based on the completed Map 2. If Map 2 is not completed for any reason, this market will resolve 50-50. If the match is canceled (not played at all), this market will resolve 50-50. If the match is postponed, it must be rescheduled to a start time on or before September 23, 2026 at 11:59 PM ET (14 calendar days after the originally scheduled start of September 9, 2026 at 10:00 AM ET). If, by that deadline, the most recently announced rescheduled start time is on or before the deadline, this market resolves based on the result of the match as played. Otherwise, this market resolves 50-50, regardless of whether the match is subsequently played. The resolution source for this market will be official information from https://hltv.org. However, if https://hltv.org has not published final results within 2 hours after the event’s conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead including video evidence.

Event-level hedge context · observed 7d flow
RN12 linked markets · $22.0K gross
aaaa2982 linked markets · $2.5K gross
0x9332…a3db2 linked markets · $10 gross

Multi-market activity can be a hedge; do not read one leg as the wallet’s full thesis.

Evidence receipts

Timestamped alerts and their measured outcomes; losses and unavailable checks remain visible

No decision-grade alert has been emitted for this market yet.
Latest book event: NIP DOWN 4.5pp · near-book depth $8.5K → $326 · 1s
Executable orderbook · both outcomes
Loading executable orderbook…

Market Analytics

LifecycleCanonical market state overrides the analytics stage after resolution. discovery/climax/resolving describe open-market analytics only; resolved/void are terminal states.resolving

Signed Order Flow

Directional flow: positive values favor NIP; negative values favor Sinners. Only trades with known BUY/SELL action are included.
1hSinners · $11.8K
6hSinners · $7.4K
24hSinners · $7.4K

NIP price VWAP

Volume-weighted NIP price. Sinners fills are converted to the complementary NIP probability before aggregation. Distance from VWAP is displacement, not an overbought/oversold signal.
Current100.0¢
VWAP 24h75.8¢▲ above by 24.2pp
VWAP 7d75.8¢
Largest observed holdersActual token balances from Polymarket's holders endpoint. Coverage is limited to the top 20 holders per outcome; percentages are within the reported sample, not total supply.

Largest holders

Loading…

NIP price Volume Profile · tracked 30d

95¢
← now
$12.0K
90¢
$1
85¢
$9
80¢
$0
75¢
$0
70¢
$0
65¢
$4.9K
60¢
$7.4K
55¢
$0
50¢
$0
45¢
$4.9K
40¢
$0
35¢
$0
30¢
$0
25¢
$0
20¢
$0
15¢
$0
10¢
$0
5¢
$0
0¢
$0

VPOC = 95¢ · highlighted bar = current price · blue bar = VPOC

Observed net position building

Loading…
Observed Tape · BUY/SELL shown outcome · retained 30dupdated less than a minute ago
Loading trades…
🐋 Large Trades$10,000+ · retained 30dBUY/SELL shown outcomeΔ now
No whale activity

Related Markets · same event first, then category

Counter-Strike: NIP vs Sinners (BO3) - PGL Masters Bucharest: European Qualifier Playoffs
26.5¢$204.6Kpriority43Opportunity priority — ranking score, not predicted return or edge
Will Arsenal FC win on 2026-09-09?
62.5¢$1.3Mpriority87Opportunity priority — ranking score, not predicted return or edge
US Open WTA: Qinwen Zheng vs Elena Rybakina
33.5¢$857.4Kpriority54Opportunity priority — ranking score, not predicted return or edge
Will Crystal Palace win the 2026-27 English Premier League (EPL) Championship?
0.1¢$680.8Kpriority0Opportunity priority — ranking score, not predicted return or edge
Will Sporting CP win on 2026-09-09?
57.5¢$585.1Kpriority42Opportunity priority — ranking score, not predicted return or edge
Will Shakhtar Donetsk win the 2026-27 UEFA Champions League Championship?
0.1¢$411.2Kpriority0Opportunity priority — ranking score, not predicted return or edge
Will Boston Celtics win the 2027 NBA Finals?
4.5¢$344.6Kpriority0Opportunity priority — ranking score, not predicted return or edge
Will Coventry City win the 2026-27 English Premier League (EPL) Championship?
0.1¢$307.6Kpriority0Opportunity priority — ranking score, not predicted return or edge

Observed whale buys · 7d

Aggregated BUY fills of $10K+ per wallet and outcome

No observed $10K+ whale buys

Observed BUY activity; current holdings and position change may be unconfirmed.