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Saints vs. Giants

● quote 12s ago
Sports→American FootballCloses: 1 dayLiquidity: $472.7KOfficial 24h Vol: $173.9KEvent: Saints vs. Giants
50.5¢
Saints
49.5¢
Giants
1.0¢
Spread
anomaly0Activity anomaly — current observed activity versus the market baselinedirection0Direction — strength and consistency of signed flow between the two outcomeswallets0Wallet quality — contribution from verified profitable non-bot walletsexecution93Execution — spread, depth and quote quality; not expected valuepriority0Opportunity priority — ranking score, not predicted return or edgedata 62%💡 3 smartMeasured profitable wallets: positive real PnL, 20+ trades, non-bot
24h sample:11 trades$83.9K tracked9% 🐋source coverage 48%BUY/SELL known 100%
tape 255 min agoofficial metadata 33s ago
Profitable-wallet flow · 7d:Saints · $29.2K net·3 wallets(1🐋)·$33.8K gross
Largest observed trade · 30d:BUYGiants$81.9K@ 49¢·justwins

Decision read

Evidence and execution checklist — not a trade recommendation

WAIT — EVIDENCE TOO THIN
What the tape says

No material 1h direction in the tracked BUY/SELL sample.

1h
$0
6h
−$1
tracked
$83.9K

3 verified profitable wallets: Saints · $29.2K net over 7d.

Can it be executed?
1.0¢displayed spread

Tight displayed spread; depth and partial-fill risk still matter.

Data confidence 62% · priority 0

Priority ranks review urgency; it is not probability or expected value.

Risks / missing evidence
  • •Observed tape is 255 minutes old.

Stronger read requires meaningful signed flow plus confirmation across distinct observed wallets.

Resolution & market truth

Verify what settles the market before reading flow as a thesis

Resolution
OPEN
Trading
Orders accepted
Deadline
2026-10-18 17:00 UTC
Event constraint
Not verified
Resolution source: https://www.nfl.com/scores
Outcome meaning

•This market will resolve to "Saints" if Saints win the game.

•This market will resolve to "Giants" if Giants win the game.

Read full resolution rules

In the upcoming NFL football game between Saints and Giants, scheduled for October 18 at 1:00PM ET: This market will resolve to "Saints" if Saints win the game. This market will resolve to "Giants" if Giants win the game. Overtime is included if played. If the game ends in a tie, this market will resolve 50-50. If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed. If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this market will resolve 50-50.

Evidence receipts

Timestamped alerts and their measured outcomes; losses and unavailable checks remain visible

LARGE FLOWBUY Giants@ 50.0¢13h ago
15m STALLED -1.0pp1h STALLED -1.0pp6h STALLED -1.0pp
LARGE FLOWBUY Saints@ 52.0¢1d ago
15m STALLED -1.0pp1h STALLED -1.0pp6h STALLED -1.0pp24h STALLED -2.0pp

Outcome Price History

Executable orderbook · both outcomes
Loading executable orderbook…

Signals Trend

Market Analytics

Signed Order Flow

Directional flow: positive values favor Saints; negative values favor Giants. Only trades with known BUY/SELL action are included.
1hSaints · $0
6hGiants · $1
24hGiants · $83.9K

Saints price VWAP

Volume-weighted Saints price. Giants fills are converted to the complementary Saints probability before aggregation. Distance from VWAP is displacement, not an overbought/oversold signal.
Current50.5¢
VWAP 24h51.0¢▼ below by 0.5pp
VWAP 7d51.3¢
Largest observed holdersActual token balances from Polymarket's holders endpoint. Coverage is limited to the top 20 holders per outcome; percentages are within the reported sample, not total supply.

Largest holders

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Saints price Volume Profile · tracked 30d

95¢
$0
90¢
$0
85¢
$0
80¢
$0
75¢
$0
70¢
$0
65¢
$0
60¢
$0
55¢
$0
50¢
← now
$119.6K
45¢
$0
40¢
$0
35¢
$0
30¢
$0
25¢
$0
20¢
$0
15¢
$0
10¢
$0
5¢
$0
0¢
$0

VPOC = 50¢ · highlighted bar = current price · blue bar = VPOC

Observed net position building

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Observed Tape · BUY/SELL shown outcome · retained 30dupdated less than a minute ago
Loading trades…
🐋 Large Trades$10,000+ · retained 30dBUY/SELL shown outcomeΔ now
BUYGiants$81.9K@ 49.0¢
justwins0xa2cc…0cbc
🐋—about 13 hours ago
BUYSaints$31.5K@ 52.0¢
ArielFilipino0xe18e…f826
🐋—1 day ago

Related Markets · same event first, then category

Saints vs. Giants: O/U 44.5
0.0¢$88priority0Opportunity priority — ranking score, not predicted return or edge
Spread: Giants (-1.5)
0.0¢$57priority0Opportunity priority — ranking score, not predicted return or edge
Spread: Saints (-1.5)
0.0¢—priority0Opportunity priority — ranking score, not predicted return or edge
Saints vs. Giants: O/U 56.5
0.0¢—priority0Opportunity priority — ranking score, not predicted return or edge
Spread: Giants (-14.5)
0.0¢—priority0Opportunity priority — ranking score, not predicted return or edge
Spread: Giants (-4.5)
0.0¢—priority0Opportunity priority — ranking score, not predicted return or edge
Saints vs. Giants: O/U 58.5
0.0¢—priority0Opportunity priority — ranking score, not predicted return or edge
Spread: Saints (-8.5)
0.0¢—priority0Opportunity priority — ranking score, not predicted return or edge

Observed whale buys · 7d

Aggregated BUY fills of $10K+ per wallet and outcome

justwinsGiants$81.9K
BUY VWAP 49.0¢·1 fill
ArielFilipinoSaints$31.5K
BUY VWAP 52.0¢·1 fill

Observed BUY activity; current holdings and position change may be unconfirmed.