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LoL: Team WE vs JD Gaming - Game 4 Winner

● quote just now
Sports→Closes: about 3 hoursLiquidity: $78.7KOfficial 24h Vol: $1.4MEvent: LoL: Team WE vs JD Gaming (BO5) - LPL Regional Finals Playoffs
0.1¢
Team WE
100.0¢
JD Gaming
0.1¢
Spread
anomaly100Activity anomaly — current observed activity versus the market baselinedirection29Direction — strength and consistency of signed flow between the two outcomeswallets5Wallet quality — contribution from verified profitable non-bot walletsexecution96Execution — spread, depth and quote quality; not expected valuepriority0Opportunity priority — ranking score, not predicted return or edgedata 85%💡 29 smartMeasured profitable wallets: positive real PnL, 20+ trades, non-bot
24h sample:466 trades$579.0K tracked2% 🐋source coverage 40%BUY/SELL known 100%
tape 2 min agoofficial metadata 3 min ago
Profitable-wallet flow · 7d:Team WE · $8.5K net·29 wallets(4🐋)·$140.1K gross
Largest observed trade · 30d:BUYJD Gaming$24.5K@ 98¢·JaJa888

Decision read

Evidence and execution checklist — not a trade recommendation

TOO LATE — DO NOT CHASE
What the tape says

JD Gaming pressure: $162.7K net directional flow in 1h.

1h
−$162.7K
6h
−$163.0K
tracked
$579.0K

29 verified profitable wallets: Team WE · $8.5K net over 7d.

Can it be executed?
0.1¢displayed spread

Tight displayed spread; depth and partial-fill risk still matter.

Data confidence 85% · priority 0

Since latest market sweep: +29.0pp at executable prices.

Priority ranks review urgency; it is not probability or expected value.

Risks / missing evidence
  • •Price is near 0/100¢; headline flow can have little remaining payoff.
  • •Less than 3h remains; resolution risk is elevated.
  • •Executable BUY price moved 29.0pp since the latest alert; its original entry no longer exists.

The read weakens if 1h flow flips away from JD Gaming or execution deteriorates.

Resolution & market truth

Verify what settles the market before reading flow as a thesis

Resolution
OPEN
Trading
Orders accepted
Deadline
2026-09-18 15:00 UTC
Event constraint
Not verified
Resolution source: https://gol.gg/esports/home
Outcome meaning

•This market will resolve to "Team WE" if Team WE win Game 4 against JD Gaming.

•This market will resolve to "JD Gaming" if JD Gaming win Game 4 against Team WE.

Read full resolution rules

This market refers to the LoL Lower bracket semifinal match between Team WE and JD Gaming in the LPL Regional Finals Playoffs, initially scheduled for September 18, 2026 at 5:00 AM ET. This market will resolve to "Team WE" if Team WE win Game 4 against JD Gaming. This market will resolve to "JD Gaming" if JD Gaming win Game 4 against Team WE. If the match begins but is not completed, and Game 4 is concluded with a winner determined, this market will resolve based on the completed Game 4. If Game 4 is not completed for any reason, this market will resolve 50-50. If the match is canceled (not played at all), this market will resolve 50-50. If the match is postponed, it must be rescheduled to a start time on or before October 2, 2026 at 11:59 PM ET (14 calendar days after the originally scheduled start of September 18, 2026 at 5:00 AM ET). If, by that deadline, the most recently announced rescheduled start time is on or before the deadline, this market resolves based on the result of the match as played. Otherwise, this market resolves 50-50, regardless of whether the match is subsequently played. The resolution source for this market will be official information from https://gol.gg/esports/home. However, if https://gol.gg/esports/home has not published final results within 2 hours after the event’s conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead including video evidence.

Event-level hedge context · observed 7d flow
2543217584 linked markets · $193.2K gross
0xe907…cff65 linked markets · $124.3K gross
BrotherObama4 linked markets · $118.2K gross

Multi-market activity can be a hedge; do not read one leg as the wallet’s full thesis.

Evidence receipts

Timestamped alerts and their measured outcomes; losses and unavailable checks remain visible

ANTI CHASEBUY JD Gaming11m ago
Outcome checks pending
MARKET SWEEPBUY JD Gaming@ 71.0¢13m ago
Outcome checks pending
LIQUIDITY ABSORPTIONBUY JD Gaming@ 57.0¢31m ago
15m CONFIRMED +14.0pp
Latest book event: Team WE DOWN 8.0pp · near-book depth $142 → $923 · 1s

Outcome Price History

Executable orderbook · both outcomes
Loading executable orderbook…

Signals Trend

Market Analytics

LifecycleCanonical market state overrides the analytics stage after resolution. discovery/climax/resolving describe open-market analytics only; resolved/void are terminal states.resolving

Signed Order Flow

Directional flow: positive values favor Team WE; negative values favor JD Gaming. Only trades with known BUY/SELL action are included.
1hJD Gaming · $162.7K
6hJD Gaming · $163.0K
24hJD Gaming · $163.0K

Team WE price VWAP

Volume-weighted Team WE price. JD Gaming fills are converted to the complementary Team WE probability before aggregation. Distance from VWAP is displacement, not an overbought/oversold signal.
Current0.1¢
VWAP 24h32.6¢▼ below by 32.6pp
VWAP 7d32.6¢
Largest observed holdersActual token balances from Polymarket's holders endpoint. Coverage is limited to the top 20 holders per outcome; percentages are within the reported sample, not total supply.

Largest holders

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Team WE price Volume Profile · tracked 30d

95¢
$0
90¢
$0
85¢
$0
80¢
$1.2K
75¢
$8.2K
70¢
$21.1K
65¢
$12.5K
60¢
$11.9K
55¢
$29.0K
50¢
$15.6K
45¢
$6.3K
40¢
$189.5K
35¢
$38.7K
30¢
$10.3K
25¢
$38.7K
20¢
$15.7K
15¢
$12.1K
10¢
$6.8K
5¢
$7.1K
0¢
← now
$154.2K

VPOC = 40¢ · highlighted bar = current price · blue bar = VPOC

Observed net position building

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Observed Tape · BUY/SELL shown outcome · retained 30dupdated less than a minute ago
Loading trades…
🐋 Large Trades$10,000+ · retained 30dBUY/SELL shown outcomeΔ now
SELLJD Gaming$10.3K@ 99.9¢
redvinny0x56c9…0d9e
🐋—3 minutes ago
BUYJD Gaming$15.9K@ 99.9¢
IMAREALPERSON0x8c0b…7aa5
🐋—4 minutes ago
BUYJD Gaming$15.0K@ 99.9¢
trgparking0xe361…ae44
🐋—4 minutes ago
BUYJD Gaming$18.9K@ 99.4¢
2543217580x04b1…d224
🐋—4 minutes ago
BUYJD Gaming$24.5K@ 98.1¢
JaJa8880xf2f2…0550
🐋—11 minutes ago
BUYJD Gaming$11.0K@ 74.0¢
solo888880xab44…7ffe
🐋—13 minutes ago
BUYJD Gaming$11.3K@ 81.0¢
fkcvffcjt0x67ac…edf1
🐋—16 minutes ago
BUYTeam WE$13.2K@ 72.5¢
ColinHe0x6842…20d0
🐋—26 minutes ago
BUYJD Gaming$16.7K@ 60.1¢
howard222220xcfde…3f9c
🐋—39 minutes ago
BUYTeam WE$12.0K@ 44.4¢
BrotherObama0x8a86…4998
🐋—42 minutes ago

Related Markets · same event first, then category

LoL: Team WE vs JD Gaming - Game 3 Winner
0.1¢$1.4Mpriority0Opportunity priority — ranking score, not predicted return or edge
LoL: Team WE vs JD Gaming - Game 1 Winner
49.5¢$1.4Mpriority0Opportunity priority — ranking score, not predicted return or edge
LoL: Team WE vs JD Gaming (BO5) - LPL Regional Finals Playoffs
0.1¢$1.1Mpriority0Opportunity priority — ranking score, not predicted return or edge
LoL: Team WE vs JD Gaming - Game 2 Winner
0.1¢$925.1Kpriority0Opportunity priority — ranking score, not predicted return or edge
Game Handicap: JDG (-1.5) vs Team WE (+1.5)
99.5¢$70.3Kpriority0Opportunity priority — ranking score, not predicted return or edge
Games Total: O/U 3.5
100.0¢$66.5Kpriority0Opportunity priority — ranking score, not predicted return or edge
Counter-Strike: MOUZ vs Natus Vincere (BO3) - StarLadder StarSeries Playoffs
87.5¢$1.3Mpriority47Opportunity priority — ranking score, not predicted return or edge
Will Crystal Palace win the 2026-27 English Premier League (EPL) Championship?
0.1¢$680.8Kpriority0Opportunity priority — ranking score, not predicted return or edge

Observed whale buys · 7d

Aggregated BUY fills of $10K+ per wallet and outcome

254321758JD Gaming$42.3K
BUY VWAP 66.2¢·6 fills
JaJa888JD Gaming$37.8K
BUY VWAP 92.1¢·4 fills
0x076d…8d4cTeam WE$27.2K
BUY VWAP 41.9¢·8 fills
BrotherObamaTeam WE$20.0K
BUY VWAP 44.0¢·2 fills
howard22222JD Gaming$16.7K
BUY VWAP 60.1¢·1 fill
IMAREALPERSONJD Gaming$15.9K
BUY VWAP 99.9¢·1 fill
fkcvffcjtJD Gaming$15.5K
BUY VWAP 78.0¢·2 fills
trgparkingJD Gaming$15.0K
BUY VWAP 99.9¢·1 fill
ColinHeTeam WE$13.2K
BUY VWAP 72.5¢·1 fill
solo88888JD Gaming$12.3K
BUY VWAP 73.6¢·2 fills

Observed BUY activity; current holdings and position change may be unconfirmed.