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San Diego Padres vs. San Francisco Giants

● quote just now
Sports→Closes: 7 daysLiquidity: $88.2KOfficial 24h Vol: $362.6KEvent: San Diego Padres vs. San Francisco Giants
90.5¢
San Diego Padres
9.5¢
San Francisco Giants
1.0¢
Spread
anomaly100Activity anomaly — current observed activity versus the market baselinedirection10Direction — strength and consistency of signed flow between the two outcomeswallets80Wallet quality — contribution from verified profitable non-bot walletsexecution85Execution — spread, depth and quote quality; not expected valuepriority64Opportunity priority — ranking score, not predicted return or edgedata 87%💡 13 smartMeasured profitable wallets: positive real PnL, 20+ trades, non-bot
24h sample:129 trades$168.4K tracked3% 🐋source coverage 46%BUY/SELL known 100%
tape 4 min agoofficial metadata 37s ago
Profitable-wallet flow · 7d:San Diego Padres · $58.6K net·13 wallets·$73.7K gross
Largest observed trade · 30d:BUYSan Diego Padres$16.5K@ 75¢·beeemw

Decision read

Evidence and execution checklist — not a trade recommendation

REVIEW San Diego Padres SETUP
What the tape says

San Diego Padres pressure: $17.4K net directional flow in 1h.

1h
+$17.4K
6h
+$94.6K
tracked
$168.4K

13 verified profitable wallets: San Diego Padres · $58.6K net over 7d.

Can it be executed?
1.0¢displayed spread

Tight displayed spread; depth and partial-fill risk still matter.

Data confidence 87% · priority 64

Since latest large flow: -1.0pp at executable prices.

Priority ranks review urgency; it is not probability or expected value.

Risks / missing evidence
  • •No hard data-quality flag; still verify rules, news and orderbook depth.

The read weakens if 1h flow flips away from San Diego Padres or execution deteriorates.

Resolution & market truth

Verify what settles the market before reading flow as a thesis

Resolution
OPEN
Trading
Orders accepted
Deadline
2026-09-20 23:20 UTC
Event constraint
Not verified
Resolution source: https://www.mlb.com/
Outcome meaning

•This market will resolve to "San Diego Padres" if the San Diego Padres win the game.

•This market will resolve to "San Francisco Giants" if the San Francisco Giants win the game.

Read full resolution rules

In the upcoming MLB game between the San Diego Padres and San Francisco Giants, scheduled for September 13 at 7:20PM ET: This market will resolve to "San Diego Padres" if the San Diego Padres win the game. This market will resolve to "San Francisco Giants" if the San Francisco Giants win the game. If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed. If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, or ends in a tie, this market will resolve 50-50. The primary resolution source for this market is the official final statistics of the event as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. However, if the governing body or event organizers have not published final match statistics within 24 hours after the event's conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead.

Event-level hedge context · observed 7d flow
ferrariChampions20262 linked markets · $30.8K gross
quavoo2 linked markets · $9.0K gross
0xe907…cff62 linked markets · $1.5K gross

Multi-market activity can be a hedge; do not read one leg as the wallet’s full thesis.

Evidence receipts

Timestamped alerts and their measured outcomes; losses and unavailable checks remain visible

LARGE FLOWBUY San Diego Padres@ 92.0¢1h ago
15m INVALIDATED -9.0pp1h INVALIDATED -6.0pp
ANTI CHASEBUY San Diego Padres1h ago
Outcome checks pending
ANTI CHASEBUY San Diego Padres1h ago
Outcome checks pending
MARKET SWEEPBUY San Diego Padres@ 82.0¢1h ago
15m STALLED +1.0pp1h CONFIRMED +9.0pp
Latest book event: San Diego Padres DOWN 2.5pp · near-book depth $18.5K → $93 · 42s

Outcome Price History

Executable orderbook · both outcomes
Loading executable orderbook…

Signals Trend

Market Analytics

Signed Order Flow

Directional flow: positive values favor San Diego Padres; negative values favor San Francisco Giants. Only trades with known BUY/SELL action are included.
1hSan Diego Padres · $17.4K
6hSan Diego Padres · $94.6K
24hSan Diego Padres · $96.9K

San Diego Padres price VWAP

Volume-weighted San Diego Padres price. San Francisco Giants fills are converted to the complementary San Diego Padres probability before aggregation. Distance from VWAP is displacement, not an overbought/oversold signal.
Current90.5¢
VWAP 24h73.9¢▲ above by 16.6pp
VWAP 7d73.9¢
Largest observed holdersActual token balances from Polymarket's holders endpoint. Coverage is limited to the top 20 holders per outcome; percentages are within the reported sample, not total supply.

Largest holders

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San Diego Padres price Volume Profile · tracked 30d

95¢
$0
90¢
← now
$28.8K
85¢
$23.5K
80¢
$15.1K
75¢
$32.4K
70¢
$13.2K
65¢
$1.1K
60¢
$2.8K
55¢
$51.5K
50¢
$0
45¢
$0
40¢
$0
35¢
$0
30¢
$0
25¢
$0
20¢
$0
15¢
$0
10¢
$0
5¢
$0
0¢
$0

VPOC = 55¢ · highlighted bar = current price · blue bar = VPOC

Observed net position building

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Observed Tape · BUY/SELL shown outcome · retained 30dupdated less than a minute ago
Loading trades…
🐋 Large Trades$10,000+ · retained 30dBUY/SELL shown outcomeΔ now
BUYSan Diego Padres$11.0K@ 87.0¢0xc1a9…e2db🐋—4 minutes ago
BUYSan Diego Padres$16.5K@ 75.0¢
beeemw0x1e38…fd47
🐋—about 2 hours ago
BUYSan Diego Padres$11.2K@ 56.0¢
monkeymashingkeyboard0x684b…8409
🐋—about 3 hours ago
BUYSan Francisco Giants$11.3K@ 45.0¢
Feromont0xabb8…bba3
🐋—about 4 hours ago

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Observed whale buys · 7d

Aggregated BUY fills of $10K+ per wallet and outcome

beeemwSan Diego Padres$25.7K
BUY VWAP 75.0¢·2 fills
dabossrealmanSan Diego Padres$21.2K
BUY VWAP 80.4¢·5 fills
FeromontSan Francisco Giants$20.3K
BUY VWAP 45.0¢·2 fills
HomeRunHazardSan Diego Padres$17.4K
BUY VWAP 83.5¢·4 fills
monkeymashingkeyboardSan Diego Padres$11.2K
BUY VWAP 56.0¢·1 fill
0xc1a9…e2dbSan Diego Padres$11.0K
BUY VWAP 87.0¢·1 fill

Observed BUY activity; current holdings and position change may be unconfirmed.