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Cassis: Moez Echargui vs Billy Harris

Sports→Settlement: Moez EcharguiLiquidity: $208.5KOfficial 24h Vol: $343.0KEvent: Cassis: Moez Echargui vs Billy Harris
100.0¢
Moez Echargui payout
0.0¢
Billy Harris payout
Historical analytics · no executable quote
24h sample:112 trades$121.4K tracked3% 🐋source coverage 35%BUY/SELL known 100%
tape 44 min agoofficial metadata 13 min ago
Profitable-wallet flow · 7d:Moez Echargui · $9.1K net·8 wallets·$12.9K gross
Largest observed trade · 30d:BUYBilly Harris$15.0K@ 60¢·0x78be…bde0

Historical decision record

Market resolved · outcome Moez Echargui. Flow, alerts and prices below are retained evidence, not an executable setup.

RESOLVED

Resolution & market truth

Verify what settles the market before reading flow as a thesis

Resolution
RESOLVED
Trading
Orders paused
Deadline
2026-09-16 09:00 UTC
Event constraint
Not verified
Resolution source: https://www.atptour.com/en/scores/current
Read full resolution rules

This market refers to the tennis match between Moez Echargui and Billy Harris in the Cassis, originally scheduled for September 9, 2026 at 5:00AM ET. This market will resolve to 'Moez Echargui' if Moez Echargui advances against Billy Harris. This market will resolve to 'Billy Harris' if Billy Harris advances against Moez Echargui. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or a winner has not been determined by September 23, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the ATP Tour. A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

Evidence receipts

Timestamped alerts and their measured outcomes; losses and unavailable checks remain visible

ANTI CHASEBUY Billy Harris2h ago
Outcome checks pending
LARGE FLOWBUY Billy Harris@ 53.0¢2h ago
15m INVALIDATED -25.0pp1h INVALIDATED -36.9pp
Latest book event: Billy Harris DOWN 6.2pp · near-book depth $839 → $2 · 12s

Outcome Price History

Execution status
Market resolved · the orderbook is not executable.

Signals Trend

Market Analytics

LifecycleCanonical market state overrides the analytics stage after resolution. discovery/climax/resolving describe open-market analytics only; resolved/void are terminal states.resolved

Signed Order Flow

Directional flow: positive values favor Moez Echargui; negative values favor Billy Harris. Only trades with known BUY/SELL action are included.
1hBilly Harris · $1.3K
6hBilly Harris · $46.5K
24hBilly Harris · $46.5K

Moez Echargui price VWAP

Volume-weighted Moez Echargui price. Billy Harris fills are converted to the complementary Moez Echargui probability before aggregation. Distance from VWAP is displacement, not an overbought/oversold signal.
Current100.0¢
VWAP 24h57.3¢▲ above by 42.7pp
VWAP 7d57.3¢
Largest observed holdersActual token balances from Polymarket's holders endpoint. Coverage is limited to the top 20 holders per outcome; percentages are within the reported sample, not total supply.

Largest holders

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Moez Echargui price Volume Profile · tracked 30d

95¢
← now
$16.7K
90¢
$1.8K
85¢
$14.9K
80¢
$2.3K
75¢
$269
70¢
$2.7K
65¢
$1.1K
60¢
$2.1K
55¢
$3.0K
50¢
$1.4K
45¢
$17.2K
40¢
$14.3K
35¢
$31.6K
30¢
$7.2K
25¢
$4.8K
20¢
$20
15¢
$0
10¢
$0
5¢
$0
0¢
$0

VPOC = 35¢ · highlighted bar = current price · blue bar = VPOC

Observed net position building

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Historical observed tape · BUY/SELL shown outcome · retained 30dupdated less than a minute ago
Loading trades…
🐋 Large Trades$10,000+ · retained 30dBUY/SELL shown outcomeΔ now
BUYBilly Harris$15.0K@ 60.2¢0x78be…bde0🐋—about 2 hours ago
BUYBilly Harris$10.8K@ 58.0¢0x78be…bde0🐋—about 2 hours ago
SELLMoez Echargui$11.5K@ 39.5¢0x78be…bde0🐋—about 2 hours ago

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Observed whale buys · 7d

Aggregated BUY fills of $10K+ per wallet and outcome

0x78be…bde0Billy Harris$25.8K
BUY VWAP 59.3¢·2 fills
0x78be…bde0Moez Echargui$10.0K
BUY VWAP 34.4¢·2 fills

Observed BUY activity; current holdings and position change may be unconfirmed.