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Genoa: Duje Ajdukovic vs Stefanos Sakellaridis

● quote just now
Sports→Closes: 7 daysLiquidity: $21.2KOfficial 24h Vol: $115.3KEvent: Genoa: Duje Ajdukovic vs Stefanos Sakellaridis
30.0¢
Duje Ajdukovic
70.0¢
NO
2.0¢
Spread
anomaly100Activity anomaly — current observed activity versus the market baselinedirection34Direction — strength and consistency of signed flow between the two outcomeswallets0Wallet quality — contribution from verified profitable non-bot walletsexecution77Execution — spread, depth and quote quality; not expected valuepriority0Opportunity priority — ranking score, not predicted return or edgedata 56%
24h sample:8 trades$28.6K trackedsource coverage 25%BUY/SELL known 100%
tape 43 min agoofficial metadata 3 min ago
Largest observed trade · 30d:SELLDuje Ajdukovic$7.3K@ 28¢·0x78be…bde0

Decision read

Evidence and execution checklist — not a trade recommendation

WAIT — EVIDENCE TOO THIN
What the tape says

NO pressure: $9.8K net directional flow in 1h.

1h
−$9.8K
6h
+$8.9K
tracked
$28.6K

No verified profitable-wallet confirmation in the observed sample.

Can it be executed?
2.0¢displayed spread

Workable spread; verify depth and the $10K slippage estimate below.

Data confidence 56% · priority 0

Priority ranks review urgency; it is not probability or expected value.

Risks / missing evidence
  • •Observed tape is 43 minutes old.

The read weakens if 1h flow flips away from NO or execution deteriorates.

Resolution & market truth

Verify what settles the market before reading flow as a thesis

Resolution
OPEN
Trading
Orders accepted
Deadline
2026-09-16 08:00 UTC
Event constraint
Not verified
Resolution source: https://www.atptour.com/en/scores/current
Read full resolution rules

This market refers to the tennis match between Duje Ajdukovic and Stefanos Sakellaridis in the Genoa, originally scheduled for September 9, 2026 at 4:00AM ET. This market will resolve to 'Duje Ajdukovic' if Duje Ajdukovic advances against Stefanos Sakellaridis. This market will resolve to 'Stefanos Sakellaridis' if Stefanos Sakellaridis advances against Duje Ajdukovic. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or a winner has not been determined by September 23, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the ATP Tour. A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

Evidence receipts

Timestamped alerts and their measured outcomes; losses and unavailable checks remain visible

No decision-grade alert has been emitted for this market yet.
Latest book event: NO DOWN 4.0pp · near-book depth $1.1K → $7.1K · 3s

Outcome Price History

Executable orderbook · both outcomes
Loading executable orderbook…

Signals Trend

Market Analytics

Signed Order Flow

Directional flow: positive values favor Duje Ajdukovic; negative values favor NO. Only trades with known BUY/SELL action are included.
1hNO · $9.8K
6hDuje Ajdukovic · $8.9K
24hDuje Ajdukovic · $8.9K

Duje Ajdukovic price VWAP

Volume-weighted Duje Ajdukovic price. NO fills are converted to the complementary Duje Ajdukovic probability before aggregation. Distance from VWAP is displacement, not an overbought/oversold signal.
Current30.0¢
VWAP 24h31.8¢▼ below by 1.8pp
VWAP 7d31.8¢
Largest observed holdersActual token balances from Polymarket's holders endpoint. Coverage is limited to the top 20 holders per outcome; percentages are within the reported sample, not total supply.

Largest holders

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Duje Ajdukovic price Volume Profile · tracked 30d

95¢
$0
90¢
$0
85¢
$0
80¢
$0
75¢
$0
70¢
$0
65¢
$0
60¢
$0
55¢
$0
50¢
$0
45¢
$0
40¢
$0
35¢
$9.0K
30¢
← now
$9.8K
25¢
$9.8K
20¢
$0
15¢
$0
10¢
$0
5¢
$0
0¢
$0

VPOC = 25¢ · highlighted bar = current price · blue bar = VPOC

Observed net position building

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Observed Tape · BUY/SELL shown outcome · retained 30dupdated less than a minute ago
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🐋 Large Trades$10,000+ · retained 30dBUY/SELL shown outcomeΔ now
No whale activity

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Observed whale buys · 7d

Aggregated BUY fills of $10K+ per wallet and outcome

0x78be…bde0Duje Ajdukovic$13.0K
BUY VWAP 35.2¢·4 fills

Observed BUY activity; current holdings and position change may be unconfirmed.