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Phan Thiet 3: Maximus Jones vs Hiroki Moriya

Sports→Settlement: Hiroki MoriyaLiquidity: $607.4KOfficial 24h Vol: $176.0KEvent: Phan Thiet 3: Maximus Jones vs Hiroki Moriya
0.0¢
Maximus Jones payout
100.0¢
Hiroki Moriya payout
Historical analytics · no executable quote
Profitable-wallet flow · 7d:Hiroki Moriya · $2.5K net·2 wallets·$2.5K gross
Largest observed trade · 30d:BUYHiroki Moriya$20.0K@ 55¢·0x78be…bde0

Historical decision record

Market resolved · outcome Hiroki Moriya. Flow, alerts and prices below are retained evidence, not an executable setup.

RESOLVED

Resolution & market truth

Verify what settles the market before reading flow as a thesis

Resolution
RESOLVED
Trading
Orders paused
Deadline
2026-09-16 03:00 UTC
Event constraint
Not verified
Resolution source: https://www.atptour.com/en/scores/current
Read full resolution rules

This market refers to the tennis match between Maximus Jones and Hiroki Moriya in the Phan Thiet 3, originally scheduled for September 8, 2026 at 11:00PM ET. This market will resolve to 'Maximus Jones' if Maximus Jones advances against Hiroki Moriya. This market will resolve to 'Hiroki Moriya' if Hiroki Moriya advances against Maximus Jones. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or a winner has not been determined by September 22, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the ATP Tour. A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

Evidence receipts

Timestamped alerts and their measured outcomes; losses and unavailable checks remain visible

ANTI CHASEBUY Hiroki Moriya1d ago
Outcome checks pending
ANTI CHASEBUY Hiroki Moriya1d ago
Outcome checks pending
ACCUMULATIONBUY Hiroki Moriya@ 58.0¢1d ago
15m CONFIRMED +15.0pp1h CONFIRMED +16.0pp6h UNAVAILABLE24h UNAVAILABLE
LARGE FLOWBUY Hiroki Moriya@ 58.0¢1d ago
15m CONFIRMED +15.0pp1h CONFIRMED +16.0pp6h UNAVAILABLE24h UNAVAILABLE

Outcome Price History

Execution status
Market resolved · the orderbook is not executable.

Signals Trend

Market Analytics

LifecycleCanonical market state overrides the analytics stage after resolution. discovery/climax/resolving describe open-market analytics only; resolved/void are terminal states.resolved

Signed Order Flow

Directional flow: positive values favor Maximus Jones; negative values favor Hiroki Moriya. Only trades with known BUY/SELL action are included.
1hHiroki Moriya · $1.3K
6hHiroki Moriya · $40.9K
24hHiroki Moriya · $40.9K

Maximus Jones price VWAP

Volume-weighted Maximus Jones price. Hiroki Moriya fills are converted to the complementary Maximus Jones probability before aggregation. Distance from VWAP is displacement, not an overbought/oversold signal.
Current0.0¢
VWAP 24h46.2¢▼ below by 46.2pp
VWAP 7d46.2¢
Largest observed holdersActual token balances from Polymarket's holders endpoint. Coverage is limited to the top 20 holders per outcome; percentages are within the reported sample, not total supply.

Largest holders

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Maximus Jones price Volume Profile · tracked 30d

95¢
$0
90¢
$0
85¢
$0
80¢
$0
75¢
$0
70¢
$0
65¢
$0
60¢
$0
55¢
$24.1K
50¢
$2
45¢
$21.0K
40¢
$35.6K
35¢
$51
30¢
$18
25¢
$2.1K
20¢
$1.8K
15¢
$19
10¢
$0
5¢
$0
0¢
← now
$150

VPOC = 40¢ · highlighted bar = current price · blue bar = VPOC

Observed net position building

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Historical observed tape · BUY/SELL shown outcome · retained 30dupdated less than a minute ago
Loading trades…
🐋 Large Trades$10,000+ · retained 30dBUY/SELL shown outcomeΔ now
BUYHiroki Moriya$15.0K@ 57.3¢0x78be…bde0🐋—1 day ago
BUYHiroki Moriya$20.0K@ 54.9¢0x78be…bde0🐋—1 day ago
BUYHiroki Moriya$10.0K@ 55.9¢0x78be…bde0🐋—1 day ago
BUYHiroki Moriya$10.0K@ 57.6¢0x78be…bde0🐋—1 day ago
BUYMaximus Jones$10.0K@ 56.2¢
Runemup0x75f2…ff6d
🐋—1 day ago

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Observed whale buys · 7d

Aggregated BUY fills of $10K+ per wallet and outcome

0x78be…bde0Hiroki Moriya$55.0K
BUY VWAP 56.2¢·4 fills
RunemupMaximus Jones$21.6K
BUY VWAP 55.9¢·3 fills

Observed BUY activity; current holdings and position change may be unconfirmed.