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New York Yankees vs. Minnesota Twins

● quote just now
Sports→Closes: 7 daysLiquidity: $66.6KOfficial 24h Vol: $451.6KEvent: New York Yankees vs. Minnesota Twins
98.0¢
New York Yankees
2.1¢
Minnesota Twins
1.1¢
Spread
anomaly100Activity anomaly — current observed activity versus the market baselinedirection4Direction — strength and consistency of signed flow between the two outcomeswallets43Wallet quality — contribution from verified profitable non-bot walletsexecution91Execution — spread, depth and quote quality; not expected valuepriority54Opportunity priority — ranking score, not predicted return or edgedata 86%💡 14 smartMeasured profitable wallets: positive real PnL, 20+ trades, non-bot
24h sample:177 trades$192.4K tracked3% 🐋source coverage 42%BUY/SELL known 100%
tape 6 min agoofficial metadata 1 min ago
Profitable-wallet flow · 7d:New York Yankees · $29.4K net·14 wallets(2🐋)·$67.8K gross
Largest observed trade · 30d:BUYMinnesota Twins$19.5K@ 53¢·xifutloong3

Decision read

Evidence and execution checklist — not a trade recommendation

TOO LATE — DO NOT CHASE
What the tape says

Minnesota Twins pressure: $7.9K net directional flow in 1h.

1h
−$7.9K
6h
−$60.2K
tracked
$192.4K

14 verified profitable wallets: New York Yankees · $29.4K net over 7d.

Can it be executed?
1.1¢displayed spread

Workable spread; verify depth and the $10K slippage estimate below.

Data confidence 86% · priority 54

Since latest market sweep: +36.5pp at executable prices.

Priority ranks review urgency; it is not probability or expected value.

Risks / missing evidence
  • •Price is near 0/100¢; headline flow can have little remaining payoff.
  • •Executable BUY price moved 36.5pp since the latest alert; its original entry no longer exists.

The read weakens if 1h flow flips away from Minnesota Twins or execution deteriorates.

Resolution & market truth

Verify what settles the market before reading flow as a thesis

Resolution
OPEN
Trading
Orders accepted
Deadline
2026-09-21 23:40 UTC
Event constraint
Not verified
Resolution source: https://www.mlb.com/
Outcome meaning

•This market will resolve to "New York Yankees" if the New York Yankees win the game.

•This market will resolve to "Minnesota Twins" if the Minnesota Twins win the game.

Read full resolution rules

In the upcoming MLB game between the New York Yankees and Minnesota Twins, scheduled for September 14 at 7:40PM ET: This market will resolve to "New York Yankees" if the New York Yankees win the game. This market will resolve to "Minnesota Twins" if the Minnesota Twins win the game. If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed. If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, or ends in a tie, this market will resolve 50-50. The primary resolution source for this market is the official final statistics of the event as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. However, if the governing body or event organizers have not published final match statistics within 24 hours after the event's conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead.

Event-level hedge context · observed 7d flow
MAGATheeStallion2 linked markets · $4.0K gross
naturalbornchiller2 linked markets · $3.4K gross
1winstreak12 linked markets · $1.9K gross

Multi-market activity can be a hedge; do not read one leg as the wallet’s full thesis.

Evidence receipts

Timestamped alerts and their measured outcomes; losses and unavailable checks remain visible

ANTI CHASEBUY New York Yankees22m ago
Outcome checks pending
MARKET SWEEPBUY New York Yankees@ 62.0¢25m ago
15m CONFIRMED +36.4pp
ACCUMULATIONBUY Minnesota Twins@ 53.0¢2h ago
15m INVALIDATED -18.0pp1h INVALIDATED -19.0pp
LARGE FLOWBUY Minnesota Twins@ 50.0¢2h ago
15m INVALIDATED -15.0pp1h INVALIDATED -16.0pp
Latest book event: Minnesota Twins DOWN 4.1pp · near-book depth $40 → $60 · 1s

Outcome Price History

Executable orderbook · both outcomes
Loading executable orderbook…

Signals Trend

Market Analytics

Signed Order Flow

Directional flow: positive values favor New York Yankees; negative values favor Minnesota Twins. Only trades with known BUY/SELL action are included.
1hMinnesota Twins · $7.9K
6hMinnesota Twins · $60.2K
24hMinnesota Twins · $50.6K

New York Yankees price VWAP

Volume-weighted New York Yankees price. Minnesota Twins fills are converted to the complementary New York Yankees probability before aggregation. Distance from VWAP is displacement, not an overbought/oversold signal.
Current98.0¢
VWAP 24h53.7¢▲ above by 44.3pp
VWAP 7d53.7¢
Largest observed holdersActual token balances from Polymarket's holders endpoint. Coverage is limited to the top 20 holders per outcome; percentages are within the reported sample, not total supply.

Largest holders

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New York Yankees price Volume Profile · tracked 30d

95¢
← now
$1.9K
90¢
$8.1K
85¢
$1.3K
80¢
$1
75¢
$4.0K
70¢
$4.1K
65¢
$12.0K
60¢
$10.4K
55¢
$20.2K
50¢
$43.8K
45¢
$69.5K
40¢
$143
35¢
$18
30¢
$8.9K
25¢
$7.7K
20¢
$394
15¢
$0
10¢
$0
5¢
$0
0¢
$0

VPOC = 45¢ · highlighted bar = current price · blue bar = VPOC

Observed net position building

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Observed Tape · BUY/SELL shown outcome · retained 30dupdated less than a minute ago
Loading trades…
🐋 Large Trades$10,000+ · retained 30dBUY/SELL shown outcomeΔ now
BUYNew York Yankees$10.5K@ 57.0¢0x2c33…0563🐋—30 minutes ago
BUYMinnesota Twins$16.2K@ 53.0¢
xifutloong30x2dc1…b33c
🐋—about 2 hours ago
BUYMinnesota Twins$15.2K@ 53.0¢
xifutloong30x2dc1…b33c
🐋—about 2 hours ago
BUYMinnesota Twins$19.5K@ 53.0¢
xifutloong30x2dc1…b33c
🐋—about 2 hours ago
BUYMinnesota Twins$11.8K@ 47.0¢
Feromont0xabb8…bba3
🐋—about 3 hours ago
BUYNew York Yankees$11.3K@ 54.0¢0x1610…ae49🐋—about 10 hours ago

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Observed whale buys · 7d

Aggregated BUY fills of $10K+ per wallet and outcome

xifutloong3Minnesota Twins$51.0K
BUY VWAP 53.0¢·3 fills
FeromontMinnesota Twins$11.8K
BUY VWAP 47.0¢·1 fill
0x1610…ae49New York Yankees$11.3K
BUY VWAP 54.0¢·1 fill
dabossrealmanNew York Yankees$11.2K
BUY VWAP 71.3¢·3 fills
0x2c33…0563New York Yankees$10.5K
BUY VWAP 57.0¢·1 fill

Observed BUY activity; current holdings and position change may be unconfirmed.