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Miami Marlins vs. Arizona Diamondbacks

● quote just now
Sports→Closes: 7 daysLiquidity: $83.8KOfficial 24h Vol: $413.3KEvent: Miami Marlins vs. Arizona Diamondbacks
75.5¢
Miami Marlins
24.5¢
Arizona Diamondbacks
5.0¢
Spread
anomaly100Activity anomaly — current observed activity versus the market baselinedirection18Direction — strength and consistency of signed flow between the two outcomeswallets9Wallet quality — contribution from verified profitable non-bot walletsexecution90Execution — spread, depth and quote quality; not expected valuepriority49Opportunity priority — ranking score, not predicted return or edgedata 78%💡 14 smartMeasured profitable wallets: positive real PnL, 20+ trades, non-bot
24h sample:129 trades$212.3K tracked2% 🐋source coverage 51%BUY/SELL known 100%
tape 8 min agoofficial metadata 2 min ago
Profitable-wallet flow · 7d:Miami Marlins · $3.6K net·14 wallets·$39.0K gross
Largest observed trade · 30d:BUYArizona Diamondbacks$67.1K@ 55¢·0x5e94…5ba1

Decision read

Evidence and execution checklist — not a trade recommendation

TOO LATE — DO NOT CHASE
What the tape says

Miami Marlins pressure: $38.5K net directional flow in 1h.

1h
+$38.5K
6h
−$66.8K
tracked
$212.3K

14 verified profitable wallets: Miami Marlins · $3.6K net over 7d.

Can it be executed?
5.0¢displayed spread

Expensive before size: wait for tighter quotes or reduce size.

Data confidence 78% · priority 49

Since latest large flow: +18.0pp at executable prices.

Priority ranks review urgency; it is not probability or expected value.

Risks / missing evidence
  • •Spread is 5.0¢ before size-dependent slippage.
  • •Executable BUY price moved 18.0pp since the latest alert; its original entry no longer exists.

The read weakens if 1h flow flips away from Miami Marlins or execution deteriorates.

Resolution & market truth

Verify what settles the market before reading flow as a thesis

Resolution
OPEN
Trading
Orders accepted
Deadline
2026-09-22 01:40 UTC
Event constraint
Not verified
Resolution source: https://www.mlb.com/
Outcome meaning

•This market will resolve to "Miami Marlins" if the Miami Marlins win the game.

•This market will resolve to "Arizona Diamondbacks" if the Arizona Diamondbacks win the game.

Read full resolution rules

In the upcoming MLB game between the Miami Marlins and Arizona Diamondbacks, scheduled for September 14 at 9:40PM ET: This market will resolve to "Miami Marlins" if the Miami Marlins win the game. This market will resolve to "Arizona Diamondbacks" if the Arizona Diamondbacks win the game. If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed. If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, or ends in a tie, this market will resolve 50-50. The primary resolution source for this market is the official final statistics of the event as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. However, if the governing body or event organizers have not published final match statistics within 24 hours after the event's conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead.

Evidence receipts

Timestamped alerts and their measured outcomes; losses and unavailable checks remain visible

ANTI CHASEBUY Miami Marlins4m ago
Outcome checks pending
LARGE FLOWBUY Miami Marlins@ 60.0¢12m ago
Outcome checks pending
MARKET SWEEPBUY Miami Marlins@ 67.0¢57m ago
15m CONFIRMED +4.0pp
LARGE FLOWBUY Arizona Diamondbacks@ 56.0¢4h ago
15m STALLED -1.0pp1h STALLED -1.0pp
Latest book event: Arizona Diamondbacks UP 3.0pp · near-book depth $10.2K → $2.5K · 73s

Outcome Price History

Executable orderbook · both outcomes
Loading executable orderbook…

Signals Trend

Market Analytics

Signed Order Flow

Directional flow: positive values favor Miami Marlins; negative values favor Arizona Diamondbacks. Only trades with known BUY/SELL action are included.
1hMiami Marlins · $38.5K
6hArizona Diamondbacks · $66.8K
24hArizona Diamondbacks · $59.8K

Miami Marlins price VWAP

Volume-weighted Miami Marlins price. Arizona Diamondbacks fills are converted to the complementary Miami Marlins probability before aggregation. Distance from VWAP is displacement, not an overbought/oversold signal.
Current75.5¢
VWAP 24h49.8¢▲ above by 25.7pp
VWAP 7d49.8¢
Largest observed holdersActual token balances from Polymarket's holders endpoint. Coverage is limited to the top 20 holders per outcome; percentages are within the reported sample, not total supply.

Largest holders

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Miami Marlins price Volume Profile · tracked 30d

95¢
$0
90¢
$0
85¢
$0
80¢
$0
75¢
← now
$1.2K
70¢
$53
65¢
$5.9K
60¢
$21.2K
55¢
$44.1K
50¢
$6.3K
45¢
$98.6K
40¢
$21.3K
35¢
$13.7K
30¢
$0
25¢
$0
20¢
$0
15¢
$0
10¢
$0
5¢
$0
0¢
$0

VPOC = 45¢ · highlighted bar = current price · blue bar = VPOC

Observed net position building

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Observed Tape · BUY/SELL shown outcome · retained 30dupdated less than a minute ago
Loading trades…
🐋 Large Trades$10,000+ · retained 30dBUY/SELL shown outcomeΔ now
BUYArizona Diamondbacks$10.0K@ 61.0¢0x17c4…2471🐋—about 2 hours ago
BUYArizona Diamondbacks$12.2K@ 56.0¢0x5e94…5ba1🐋—about 4 hours ago
BUYArizona Diamondbacks$67.1K@ 55.0¢0x5e94…5ba1🐋—about 5 hours ago

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Observed whale buys · 7d

Aggregated BUY fills of $10K+ per wallet and outcome

0x5e94…5ba1Arizona Diamondbacks$84.6K
BUY VWAP 55.1¢·3 fills
DimSumConnoisseur.Miami Marlins$41.7K
BUY VWAP 58.9¢·8 fills
0x17c4…2471Arizona Diamondbacks$10.0K
BUY VWAP 61.0¢·1 fill

Observed BUY activity; current holdings and position change may be unconfirmed.